We asked our Props analyst, Justin Bales, to come up with his best NFL ladder bets for Week 14. Let’s dive into the top NFL betting picks today.
If you’re not familiar with this kind of play, a ladder bet is essentially betting on a prop at multiple lines with the odds getting progressively larger the further up the ladder you go.
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Don’t Look Down – NFL Week 14 Main Slate Ladder Bets
We’ve done the research for you here and below we’ll dive into all of the rationale for our best NFL ladder bets for Week 14.
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Kirk Cousins Passing Yards Ladder
Cousins has seen plenty of ups and downs throughout his first season with the Atlanta Falcons. He owns 3,052 yards with 17 touchdowns and 13 interceptions through 12 games. He’s averaging 7.6 yards per attempt this season.
Cousins boasts incredible upside, but he isn’t overly consistent. He threw for over 500 yards against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 5. He also recently threw for over 300 yards against the New Orleans Saints in Week 10.
Cousins gets an outstanding matchup against the Minnesota Vikings this week. They’re allowing the fourth-most passing yards (264.7) per game to quarterbacks. The Vikings are also giving up 10.8 yards per completion this season.
This is a revenge game for Cousins, but I don’t put a ton of stock into that. Instead, it’s more important that the Falcons are near-touchdown underdogs. They’re going to be forced to throw throughout the entire game, adding to Cousins’ upside.
What to bet: Kirk Cousins 250+ passing yards through 300+ passing yards
Isaac Guerendo Rushing Yards Ladder
Guerendo’s seen very limited action throughout his rookie season. He posted 246 yards and 2 touchdowns on 42 carries thus far. He’s averaging a healthy 5.9 yards per carry.
Guerendo’s recorded double-digit carries in only two games thus far. He recorded 99 yards and 10 carries and 85 yards on 14 carries against the Seattle Seahawks and Dallas Cowboys, respectively. He’s flashed elite upside with a 76-yard run already in his career.
Guerendo gets a great matchup against the Chicago Bears this weekend. They’ve struggled against running backs, allowing the fourth-most rushing yards (116.4) per game to the position. Running backs are also averaging 5.0 yards per carry against Chicago.
Guerendo is expected to take on a major role in the offense this week. Christian McCaffrey and Jordan Mason are both injured, leaving the rookie atop the depth chart.
He’s consistently found success when given the ball this season, and he could see a new career-high in carries. If that’s the case, he makes an outstanding option to record his first 100+ rushing-yard game.
What to bet: Isaac Guerendo 70+ rushing yards through 130+ rushing yards
Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards Ladder
Ridley started the season off well before struggling for a trio of games. Since then, he’s found plenty of success. Overall, he boasts 43 receptions for 679 yards and 3 touchdowns on 81 targets.
Ridley’s caught fire over his last six games. He owns 31 receptions for 496 yards and 2 touchdowns in those games. He had his best game of the season in Week 8 against the Detroit Lions, posting 10 receptions for 143 yards on 14 targets.
Ridley gets an elite matchup against the Jacksonville Jaguars. They’re allowing the third-most receiving yards (181.4) per game to opposing wide receivers. The Jaguars are also giving up 9.3 yards per target and 13.6 yards per reception this season.
Ridley’s clearly the alpha receiver in Tennessee with DeAndre Hopkins out of town. He’s seeing plenty of deep targets, as he owns an aDOT north of 20 yards in two of his last three games.
The Titans’ offense should find plenty of success in this matchup, and big plays should be available. Ridley boasts elite upside, and he’s a receiver who can complete this entire ladder.
What to bet: Calvin Ridley 70+ receiving yards through 120+ receiving yards