We asked our Props analyst, Justin Bales, to come up with his best NFL ladder bets for the Week 13 main slate. Let’s dive into the top NFL betting picks today.
If you’re not familiar with this kind of play, a ladder bet is essentially betting on a prop at multiple lines with the odds getting progressively larger the further up the ladder you go.
Don’t Look Down – NFL Week 13 Main Slate Ladder Bets
We’ve done the research for you here and below we’ll dive into all of the rationale for our best NFL ladder bets for the Week 13 main slate.
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Jalen Hurts Passing Yards Ladder
Hurts has looked outstanding as a passer this season, but he hasn’t had elite volume. He’s thrown for 2,376 yards with 13 touchdowns and 5 interceptions through 11 games. He’s averaging a ridiculous 8.3 yards per attempt.
Hurts saw 35+ pass attempts in only one game this season, throwing for 311 yards against the New Orleans Saints. He’s posted as high as 11.8 yards per attempt against the Cincinnati Bengals, flashing elite efficiency. Overall, he’s only struggled in 2 of 11 games this season, and both of those were in the first four weeks.
Hurts gets an ideal matchup against the Baltimore Ravens. They’re allowing a league-high 284.5 passing yards per game this season. The Ravens are also giving up the fifth-most yards per attempt (7.7).
Baltimore’s currently a 3-point favorite, and they’re an offense that is going to be able to score in this game. They’ll force the Philadelphia Eagles to continue to push the ball in their offense, meaning Hurts could see 35+ pass attempts for the second time this season.
I don’t expect the Eagles quarterbacks’ efficiency to drop much in this game, and he comes with tremendous upside in this particular matchup.
What to Bet: Jalen Hurts 225+ passing yards through 300+ passing yards
Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Ladder
Stevenson hasn’t been a consistent option throughout the 2024 season, but he has flashed some upside. He owns 598 yards and 6 touchdowns on 162 carries thus far. He’s also topped out at 120 yards, although that was in Week 1 against the Cincinnati Bengals.
Stevenson isn’t an efficient player, as he’s posted over 4.0 yards per carry in only 2 of his 11 games. He’s also recorded under 3.0 yards per carry in 2 of those 11 games this season. Still, he’s getting great volume, recording 20+ carries in 3 of his last 5 games.
Stevenson gets a plus matchup against the Indianapolis Colts this weekend. They’re allowing the sixth-most rushing yards (115.1) per game to opposing running backs this season. The Colts are also allowing the second-most rushing attempts (26.5) per game to running backs.
The New England Patriots should be comfortable allowing Stevenson to be the focal point of the offense, as they take a run-heavy approach. The spread is only 2.5 points, and both teams should be able to focus on any type of offense they want in this game.
If we’re getting 20+ carries for Stevenson in this game, 50 yards is entirely too low, and he has the potential to run up the ladder.
What to Bet: Rhamondre Stevenson 50+ rushing yards through 110+ rushing yards
Nico Collins Receiving Yards Ladder
Collins has dealt with a major injury this season, but he’s been the best receiver in the NFL when healthy. He’s posted 41 receptions for 713 yards and 4 touchdowns on 60 targets through seven games. He’s also recorded 78+ yards in six of those games.
Collins returned from injury in Week 11, posting 4 receptions for 54 yards. He only ran 21 routes, though. He bumped that up to 32 routes last week, recording 5 receptions for 92 yards and 1 touchdown on 9 targets. It’s fair to expect him to be fully healthy with full snaps this weekend.
Collins gets an elite matchup against the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 13. They’re allowing the fourth-most receiving yards (183.5) to wide receivers this season. They’re also allowing 13.5 receptions on 19.6 targets.
Collins already faced off against Jacksonville this season, posting 12 receptions for 151 yards and 1 touchdown on 15 targets. The Jaguars were already keyed in on him in that game, so they’re going to have to drastically change their defense if they want to slow him down this week.
The spread is oddly set at only 3.5 points, meaning Houston could throw from the start to the finish of this game. Collins comes with as much upside as any receiver in the NFL, and it feels like we’re getting a shocking discount at only 80 yards to start the ladder.
What to bet: Nico Collins 80+ receiving yards through 120+ receiving yards
