Welcome to our College Football Week 14 predictions! We’ll look at the top games of the day, odds on the betting board, and what that means for our favorite CFB picks and player props.
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College Football Week 14 Predictions and Picks
Friday brought the fireworks — a handful of top-10 squads on national TV — while Saturday is comparatively calmer. But the matchups we do get have real stakes, including one of the biggest rivalry games on the calendar anchoring the Big Noon window.
No. 1 Ohio State at No. 15 Michigan Prediction
Line: Ohio State -9.5
Total: 43.5
The Big Noon game — and easily the best matchup of the weekend.
Ohio State comes in behind Heisman candidate Julian Sayin, but the funny part is: the Buckeyes’ numbers haven’t come from him recently.
- Sayin has just four passing TDs across his last three games.
- He’s been held under 200 passing yards in back-to-back weeks.
- Yet Ohio State has scored 90 total points in those two games, leaning on defense, field position, and explosive run-game moments.
Michigan, meanwhile, has been a rollercoaster.
- Last week they blew out Maryland, but the three games prior were all tight, late-possession wins.
- QB Bryce Underwood hasn’t hit preseason expectations, but he’s finally trending upward:
- 2 TDs last week
- 200+ passing yards after a month of inconsistency
- 2 TDs last week
Both defenses are physical. The rivalry tends to play tight and low-scoring.
Playoff seeding, bragging rights, and the most important win on either team’s schedule.
Ohio State wants a dominant showing; Michigan wants validation after a choppy season and a chance to derail the No. 1 team’s path.
With struggling QBs on both sides and two elite defenses, this profiles like a slog.
Pick: Under 43.5
No. 12 Miami at No. 22 Pitt Prediction
Line: Miami -6.5
Total: 49.5
A massive ACC chess match in the noon ABC window.
Miami is trying to punch its postseason ticket, and the passing attack has been carrying the load.
- WR Malachi Toney is in full superstar mode:
- 12 catches, 146 yards, TD last week vs. Virginia Tech
- 3 TDs in his last two games
- 12 catches, 146 yards, TD last week vs. Virginia Tech
- The Hurricanes feel explosive and confident, especially on the perimeter.
Pitt is very alive at 6–1 in the ACC, coming off their most complete win of the season:
- Beat No. 16 Georgia Tech last week
- Led 28–14 at halftime
- Held GT scoreless in two separate quarters
This is the definition of a coin-flip momentum game. The ACC race is tight, and Pitt still has a path if they keep stacking wins. Miami needs this one to assert itself as a legitimate top-15 team entering Championship Week.
Both offenses have heaters coming in. Miami’s passing game is surging, and Pitt showed last week they can impose tempo.
Pick: Over 49.5
No. 14 Vanderbilt at No. 19 Tennessee Prediction
Line: Tennessee -2.5
Total: 66.5
The 3:30 ESPN slot delivers a fascinating contrast.
Vanderbilt, after stumbling vs. Texas, suddenly looks like a top-10 offense:
- Beat Auburn and Kentucky while scoring 45 points in BOTH games
- QB Diego Pavia was sensational last week:
- 5 passing TDs
- 484 yards
- Team-leading 48 rushing yards and another rushing TD
- Just one INT
- 5 passing TDs
- He is the offense, and right now he’s one of the hottest players in college football.
Tennessee is good — but not what they hoped for.
- Loss to Oklahoma two weeks ago derailed momentum.
- Since then:
- Dominated New Mexico State
- Beat Florida
- Dominated New Mexico State
- But Oklahoma showed the blueprint how to beat Tennesse:
- 2 INTs forced
- 3 forced fumbles
Tennessee has struggled when facing a complete, ranked defense.
- 2 INTs forced
Tennessee needs a résumé win after weeks of beating up weaker opponents. Vanderbilt can make a late-season statement and crawl back into the playoff committee’s good graces.
This comes down to one question: can Tennessee’s defense contain Pavia?
Recent history says they struggle against elite QB play.
Pick: Vanderbilt +2.5
No. 9 Notre Dame at Stanford Prediction
Line: Notre Dame -32.5
Total: 49.5
A late-night rivalry matchup with emotional chaos potential.
Stanford is 4–7 but coming off their best win of the season, a 31–10 upset of Cal:
- Freshman QB Elijah Brown:
- 1 TD, 0 INT
- Efficient, poised, clean
- 1 TD, 0 INT
- RB Mika Ford:
- 150 rushing yards + TD
- 150 rushing yards + TD
- The defense shut out Cal in the second half
- After losses to Miami, Pitt, and UNC, Stanford finally found a W.
Notre Dame remains a strong top-10 team:
- Dominated Syracuse last week, putting up 70 points
- But this is a long road trip, and this rivalry tends to get weird
Notre Dame needs to finish strong to keep a New Year’s Six bid locked in. Stanford has no postseason path — but they do have momentum, home field, and nothing to lose.
This is the perfect profile for a “plays closer than the spread” matchup.
Pick: Stanford +32.5
Final Thoughts: What Week 14 Could Change
Week 14 looks cleaner than last Saturday but carries much bigger implications:
- Ohio State–Michigan is the biggest hinge game of the week; the winner secures playoff leverage.
- Miami–Pitt shapes the next tier of ACC positioning.
- Vanderbilt is the team no one wants to play right now — especially Tennessee.
- Stanford has real spoiler vibes in a tricky spot for the Irish.
It’s a quieter Saturday, but one with land mines scattered across the schedule. Buckle up — rivalry week rarely stays predictable.
