Last week represented our first losing stanza in some time. Cue the sad trombone. We went 3-4 on these college football props last time around, but things are still looking up with a 13-6 record over the past three. Let’s zoom out a little bit and keep that momentum going. As usual, we will turn to PrizePicks for these listings.
PrizePicks is technically a fantasy sports site, although they allow you to wager on a series of prop bets within their platform. They are legal in 30 states as well, including some places that don’t allow sports betting at the moment.
You can read more details on how and where to play Prizepicks by clicking here.
Another cool thing about PrizePicks is that they have college football props listed. I have perused those lines to find the best College Football Props for Week 9 – all of which can be found on the PrizePicks app.
With that, let’s get to the best props!
QB Logan Bonner – Utah State: OVER 234.5 Passing Yards
This can’t be right? My model has Bonner conservatively projected for nearly 300 yards against Hawaii on Saturday. We’ll take that value…I guess?
Bonner crossed this total in four of his last six games, and three of those weren’t even close with 275-300+ yards. He has proven his ability to air it out with a 390 yard game against North Dakota earlier this season.
Logan Bonner dropped it right in the bread basket @USUFootball pic.twitter.com/6UMu0Tu0Kz
— Stadium (@Stadium) October 24, 2021
It’s not like Hawaii has an excellent pass defense either. The Warriors currently rank 113th in the country while allowing more than 282 passing yards per contest.
I don’t understand why this passing prop is so low, but I’m not going to complain. Grab it before PrizePicks decides to rise it too much. I’ll take it up to 265 yards to be safe.
QB Aidan O’Connell – Purdue: OVER 234.5 Passing Yards
O’Connell will take on Nebraska this weekend, a team that is coming off a bye with a pretty solid defense. However, I’m still very optimistic that the Boilermakers’ QB can easily surpass this prop.
First off, O’Connell has beaten this passing total in much tougher matchups. He posted 371 yards against Minnesota and 375 yards against Iowa in back-to-back weeks. That’s pretty impressive.
The Purdue QB has volume on his side. In those aforementioned matchups, he slung the ball 52 and 40 times respectively. That’s a realistic range for his upcoming matchup with Nebraska. In fact, Purdue ranks eighth in the country in passing rate, as they throw the ball more than 60% of the time.
Now let’s address the elephant in the room. O’Connell was extremely shaky against Wisconsin, tossing three interceptions. However, he’s still listed as QB1 for the Boilermakers. There’s a chance Jack Plummer will take some snaps if O’Connell struggles, but #16 will take the first reps.
Honestly, I believe O’Connell can easily march over this total on volume alone. This is another spot where my projections have him closer to 300 yards. That makes the prospect of losing a few snaps in a QB rotation more tolerable.
RB Max Borghi – Washington State: OVER 56.5 Rushing Yards
It would be nice if Borghi got more carries, but we can safely assume that he’ll have 15-18 attempts to make it over this 56.5 rushing yard total. That comes out to anywhere from 3.14 to 3.77 yards per attempt. Pretty manageable, right?
Borghi is averaging 5.0 yards per carry this season, and his career marks are even better. That makes things look even better as far as this prop goes.
Max Borghi (Washington State RB) shows great balance here to stay on his feet and score the touchdown!
He has some fans in the draft community and could be a solid 3rd down back at the next level! pic.twitter.com/7JqlJhejil
— RiseNDraft.com (@RNDScouting) October 23, 2021
Arizona State has been decent against the run, but they still allow 3.8 yards per rushing attempt. That number starts to spike when you examine how the Sun Devils performed against legitimate running backs:
- Tavion Thomas (RB – UTA): 20-84
- Zach Charbonnet (RB – UCLA): 21-89
- Tyler Allgeier (RB – BYU): 21-69
It’s safe to say that Borghi is in similar company as that list in terms of ability and rushing potential. The Wazzu RB has cleared 80 yards in back-to-back games, and I believe he has an excellent chance to make it three straight.
More College Football Props
Jeff Sims (QB – GT) OVER 224.5 Pass Yards. Georgia Tech is not afraid to let Sims sling the ball around the yard. The Yellow Jackets’ QB has thrown for more than 297 yards in three straight games, yet his prop rests at a comfortable 224.5 level. Take the over!
Makai Polk (WR – MSST) OVER 6.5 Receptions. Mississippi State loves to throw short passes, which really benefits Polk’s reception total. He has gone over 6.5 catches in five of seven games this season. The two shortcomings came in double-digit victories when the Bulldogs throttled back their passing game. That won’t be the case against #12 Kentucky.
