CFB Player Props – Week 8: Saturday Picks

Sep 28, 2024; Tuscaloosa, Alabama, USA; Georgia Bulldogs quarterback Carson Beck (15) rolls out to throw against the Alabama Crimson Tide during the third quarter at Bryant-Denny Stadium.
Image Credit: John David Mercer-Imagn Images

Here we go with our best college football picks for this Week 8 Saturday slate. We sifted through tons of daily fantasy sports picks and came up with our top CFB player props for Saturday.

Make sure to check back every week for a new article with all of our best college football player prop picks.

CFB Player Props – Week 8 Saturday Picks

Below, Props.com analyst Kyle Krogstad breaks down his top CFB player props for Week 8.

Luther Burden More Than 71.5 Receiving Yards  

Burden has surpassed this number in just 3 of 6 games this season, with all the misses coming in blowout wins. In the three close games, he has an average of 8.3 targets and 92 yards. He is the guy who steps up in close games for Mizzou. 

Auburn ranks 59th in the country in pass defense, allowing just over 215 passing yards per game. However, they have a fairly solid run defense, and I think that will cause Mizzou to turn to the passing game early and often.

Missouri likes to throw the ball and is 71st in the country in pass play percentage. I think that’s their path to success on Saturday. In a game with Mizzou as 4-point favorites, I expect them to have to air it out a bit more. 

Mizzou has also yet to have a signature win. They’ve blown out bad teams and got embarrassed by Texas A&M two weeks ago. Auburn is better than their record suggests, and I think they will hang in this game from start to finish with Mizzou, which should give us plenty of passing opportunity.

This is the perfect chance to put themselves back on the nation’s map. I expect Burden to be a huge focal point for Mizzou’s success on Saturday.

Where to play: Luther Burden More Than 71.5 Receiving Yards | Underdog

Carson Beck More Than 270.5 Passing Yards 

This is a huge SEC showdown between Georgia and Texas. This is a lot of yards against a very good defense, but I really think this is a great pick. Beck has surpassed this number in just 3 of 6 games, but that is due to Georgia being up big on some of their weaker opponents.

Number one ranked Texas comes into this game 6-0. They’ve taken care of easy business week-in and week-out. If you look at some of those QBs they’ve played, the best passer and probably best offense they’ve played is maybe Michael Van Buren and Miss. State, which is not saying much at all. Georgia is light years ahead of any offense Texas has seen.

The Bulldogs turned into a bit of a shootout team, which should make this game script perfect. I’m expecting Texas to hang a big number on the board, with Georgia airing it out with Beck as their only response. 

The only game Georgia has been trailing in is against Alabama, where he had almost 500 yards passing. I can see a similar kind of game going down Saturday night.

Where to play: Carson Beck More than 270.5 Passing Yards | PrizePicks

Ryan Williams More Than 60.5 Receiving Yards (43.5 promo at Sleeper Fantasy)

I like this at the regular line, and obviously love the discounted 43.5 promo. Ryan Williams comes into this game with his only miss last week against South Carolina. He continues to lead Alabama in the receiving department, and this is a perfect matchup for him. 

Tennessee is 6th in the country in run defense, allowing just under 81 rushing yards per game. Now, they do rank 19th in pass defense, allowing only 174 passing yards per game, but they also are getting their biggest test of the season… by far. Alabama’s offense is extremely explosive with Jalen Milroe at the helm.

Tennessee’s pass defense is strictly based on getting to the passer with their fantastic pass rush. However, if Bama’s offensive line can hold up, it should be bombs away for Milroe. Tennessee blitzes the QB a lot, leaving their corners on islands. We know the big play ability of Ryan Williams in man coverage, and I’ll take that matchup any day.  

Where to play: Ryan Williams More Than 43.5 Receiving Yards | Promo at Sleeper Fantasy

Isaiah Horton More Than 40.5 Receiving Yards 

Horton comes into this Week 8 matchup cashing in 4 of 6 games (both misses were at 34 yards). He plays second option to Xavier Restrepo, but seems to have cleared out Jacolby George for that clear #2 role. 

Horton is coming off an 11-target game where he had 9 catches for 83 yards and a TD. He’s averaging 6.5 targets per game this year, which is perfect volume for a number like this. Miami also loves throwing the football, as they rank 16th in pass attempts at just over 40 per outing. 

They’ll face a bottom-tier secondary in Louisville, who rank 90th in the country, allowing around 250 passing yards per game. Those numbers are extremely skewed by a weak non-conference schedule (Austin Peay & Jax State). They allowed Haynes King to throw for 312 yards, Kevin Jennings to throw for 281 yards, and Anthony Colandrea last week had 279 passing yards. They will be facing a massive step up in competition going against this Miami offense. 

With Miami on the road as only 5-point favorites, this game might be close. They’ve been letting opponents stay in the fight the past few weeks, so I can see Louisville hanging in this one, which will keep Cam Ward’s foot on the gas all day. 

Where to play: Isaiah Horton More Than 40.5 Receiving Yards | Sleeper Fantasy

LaNorris Sellers Less Than 27.5 Rushing Yards 

Although Sellers has big play ability, I like this pick for a few reasons. 

First, Oklahoma’s run defense has been great (33rd in the country). They allowed Texas to gash them a bit, but this is South Carolina here. They also get after the QB constantly, as they rank 10th-best in the country with 3.2 sacks per game.

On the other side, South Carolina ranks 4th-worst in the country, allowing 4.3 sacks per game. That’s a recipe for success with a top-10 pass rush and a bottom-5 pass blocking team. This Oklahoma pass rush should be all over Sellers as a result. 

Now, Brent Venables is in a must-win game here. Losing might give the Sooners a potential under .500 season. The game plan will definitely be to let Sellers try to beat them with his arm. 

Where to play: LaNorris Sellers Less Than 27.5 Rushing Yards | Underdog