It’s once again time to go through our best college football picks for this Week 13 Saturday slate. We sifted through tons of daily fantasy sports picks and came up with our top CFB player props for Saturday.
Make sure to check back every week for a new article with all of our best college football player prop picks.
CFB Player Props – Week 13 Saturday Picks
Below, Props.com analyst Kyle Krogstad breaks down his top CFB player props for Week 13.
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Trebor Pena Higher Than 61.5 Receiving Yards
My first play of the week is between the Syracuse Orange and UConn Huskies. Pena has cleared this number in 7 of his 10 games this season. He is Kyle McCord’s favorite target as he has 8+ targets 7 of the last 8 games.
We all know Syracuse wants to throw the ball. They rank 3rd in the country in passing percentage as they are dropping back almost 63% of plays this season. McCord has attempted 40 passes in all but two games this season (35 and 39 in the two losses). The volume will be there no matter the script of this game.
UConn ranks 46th in the country in pass defense, allowing 206 passing yards per game. Although, this number is definitely skewed a bit from their weak schedule. The few “passing” offenses they’ve played all found success. Billy Edwards from Maryland had over 311 passing yards. Both Duke and Wake Forest racked up close to 300 yards as well.
I think this ‘Cuse offense will find success through the air like they have all season long. Pena is McCord’s number one target, and I expect him to have another high-volume game Saturday.
Where to play: Trebor Pena Higher Than 61.5 Receiving Yards | Underdog
Marcel Reed More Than 42.5 Rushing Yards
In the games Reed has started this season, he has surpassed this number in three of those five games, not counting LSU where he came in and ran all over them in the second half.
Similar to Syracuse, we all know what Texas A&M wants to do, and that is run the ball. They rank in the top 15 in the country in rushing play percentage and rushing attempts per game.
Auburn has been very good against the run this year as they rank 19th in the country, allowing just over 112 rushing yards per game. One thing they haven’t been great at is sacks, as they average only two sacks per game. Since sacks are negative rushing yards in college, this is key. If Reed can drop-back and not go down on Saturday, this should be an easy winner.
In every game but last week’s blowout vs New Mexico St., he has double-digit carries. Those will come from designed QB runs, zone reads, and even dropping back and finding lanes to scramble.
If Reed can stay upright in the pocket and not take any huge sacks Saturday night, he should have no issue cashing this number. I have him around 10-12 carries for 50+ yards.
Where to play: Marcel Reed More Than 42.5 Rushing Yards | PrizePicks
Kevin Coleman Jr. More Than 61.5 Receiving Yards
We’re back to the well here as Kevin Coleman has been great to us this season. He’s surpassed this number in 7 of his 10 games this season and is in a good spot to do it again.
He has been an absolute volume machine this year. Coleman is averaging over 10 targets per game in his past six outings. He has been Mississippi State’s best receiver by far, and he’s been putting up numbers against one of the SEC’s toughest schedules.
MSU gets Mizzou this weekend. Missouri ranks 33rd in the country, allowing about 200 passing yards per game. They’ve played a lot of run-first offenses, as well as some very bad teams to boost this number a bit. Last week, they allowed South Carolina and LaNorris Sellers to throw for 350 passing yards and 5 TDs. I think this Mizzou defense is a bit of a sigh of relief for Miss. State as they’ve had to play Georgia, Texas, Tennessee, Texas A&M already this season.
Coleman has pretty much proven he is matchup-proof, and he will get his targets, catches, and yards no matter what.
Where to play: Kevin Coleman Jr. More Than 61.5 Receiving Yards | Sleeper
Bryson Daily More Than 85.5 Rushing Yards
Undefeated Army will take on #6 Notre Dame under the lights in South Bend Saturday night. Daily has surpassed this number in 7 of his 8 games this season, but this is the best run defense Army has played all season.
Notre Dame ranks 38th in the country in rush defense, allowing just over 126 rushing yards per game. Although, they’ve had a cupcake schedule and still have shown some vulnerability against the run.
Army, with their triple-option offense, runs the ball about 54 times per game. They rank first, by far, in the country in rushing yards per game with an unbelievable 330 rushing yards per game (2nd is 258 yards). They’re led by star-QB Bryson Daily. He’s averaging 22 carries per game for 133 yards. In Army’s only close game this season, he carried the ball 36 times.
We saw Notre Dame struggle to stop the QB run against Navy a few weeks ago. Blake Horvath averaged 9.2 yards per carry in that game, and had 129 rushing yards. Now, Notre Dame can use that game as a tune-up because Army has a very similar style, but is just a lot better across the board.
On the other hand, I think Jeff Monken can use that film and find success here. I believe he will find a way to have success against this ND defense. Army should keep this game close, giving Daily 25+ carries, which should give him another 100+ rushing yard performance.
Where to play: Bryson Daily More Than 85.5 Rushing Yards | Sleeper
Quinshon Judkins Higher Than 62.5 Rushing Yards
Last play of the week is in the Big-10 showdown between #2 Ohio State and #5 Indiana. Judkins comes into this one surpassing this number in 5 of his 10 games this season. He has slightly more carries than TreVeyon Henderson in what is shaping out to be a split backfield.
Indiana has been fantastic against the run, as they are ranked 2nd this year. However, they’ve played absolutely nobody so far. Ohio State is far superior in the trenches and that’s what this comes down to.
Ohio State ranks right around middle of the pack in run offense, running the ball just over 54% of the time. Against Penn State, they leaned completely on this rushing attack, as their two RBs ran for 150 rushing yards, averaging 6.21 yards per carry.
Indiana hasn’t played any o-line like the Buckeyes have. I think they will lean on these guys all game Saturday, and if Indiana can’t stop it, this pick should cash easily. Judkins will get his normal 15 or so carries, which should definitely be enough.
Where to play: Quinshon Judkins Higher Than 62.5 Rushing Yards | Underdog
