Player props in the WNBA offer one of the most beatable areas in all of sports, so in this free article series, we’ll be breaking down the best WNBA props and DFS picks today.
While NBA props are subject to sharp numbers and massive volume, WNBA props often lag behind in pricing accuracy, especially early in the season and during weekday slates. The operators sometimes simply don’t dedicate the same algorithmic or human resources to these projections, which gives informed players a rare edge.
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Best WNBA Props Today – Free Player Picks & Analysis
Every day during the regular season and playoffs, we run through the best WNBA props and DFS pick’em plays. We also provide a comprehensive DFS and betting strategy guide in the world of WNBA picks.
Thursday, June 5 WNBA Props & Picks
Here are our favorite targets for today’s slate:
Breanna Stewart
Stewart is averaging 18.1 points, 4.4 rebounds, 3.9 assists, 1.4 steals, and 1.3 blocks in 28 minutes over seven games this season. She hits 0.6 3-pointers per game in 3.1 attempts (18.2 percent).
Stewart finished with 13 points, five assists, and three rebounds in 23 minutes in Sunday’s 100-52 home win against the Sun. She went 1-of-2 from 3-point range. The star forward had 10 points, seven assists, and three rebounds in 25 minutes of an 85-63 road win against the Mystics on Friday.
Stewart is showcasing elite defensive instincts and rim protection, complementing her well-established scoring prowess to further elevate her all-around impact. Her timing on help defense, ability to read offensive sets, and quick reaction to weak-side actions make her a disruptive force in the paint.
Whether she’s contesting shots at the rim, rotating to cut off driving lanes, or switching onto guards in pick-and-rolls, Stewart brings a level of defensive versatility that anchors the Liberty’s schemes.
Offensively, she remains a reliable and versatile weapon, capable of scoring in a variety of ways, whether it’s knocking down 3-point shots, operating in the mid-post, or driving to the basket with finesse and control.
Even in limited minutes, she finds ways to fill up the stat sheet, contributing points, rebounds, assists, steals, and blocks. Her ability to affect the game without needing high usage is a testament to her efficiency, high basketball IQ, and elite court awareness.
Stewart’s presence elevates New York’s ceiling on both ends of the floor, and her consistency continues to make her one of the most impactful players in the league.
Stewart is projected to remain a steady contributor in all facets against the Mystics. Expect balanced play with modest scoring and enough assists to cash this prop, as she continues her efficient all-around impact.
She’s one of the better passers among bigs in the league and has recorded 12 assists over her last two games. Averaging six assists per game consistently is unsustainable. She will regress soon, but this is a good number to attack.
Pick: Breanna Stewart to Record 4+ Assists | FanDuel
Sabrina Ionescu
Sabrina Ionescu is averaging 17.9 points, 4.7 assists, 4.3 rebounds, and 1.1 steals in 28.9 minutes over seven games this season. She hits 2.9 3-pointers per game in eight attempts (35.7 percent). Ionescu had 18 points (6-of-9 FG, 4-of-6 3Pt, 2-of-2 FT), five assists, two rebounds, two steals, and one block over 19 minutes in Sunday’s 100-52 home win against the Sun.
The star guard had 28 points, five assists, three rebounds, and two steals in 32 minutes on Friday’s 85-63 road win against the Mystics. She was 4-of-11 from 3-point range.
Ionescu consistently facilitates within the Liberty offense, serving as a steady playmaker even when operating in limited minutes. Her court vision, quick decision-making, and ability to manipulate defenses help keep the offense flowing smoothly, whether she’s running the point or playing off the ball.
Despite occasionally taking on a secondary role in New York’s stacked lineup, she’s proven time and again that she can take over games offensively when given the minutes and usage. Whether it’s pulling up from deep, creating separation off the dribble, or attacking closeouts to find open teammates, Ionescu thrives when she’s fully engaged.
When locked in, she plays with precision and poise, delivering highly efficient scoring performances while limiting mistakes. Defensively, she’s shown increased awareness and effort, contributing with timely rotations, active hands, and improved positioning. Her two-way impact continues to grow, making her an essential part of the Liberty’s success on both ends of the court.
Ionescu is projected to remain a high-usage scoring option against the Mystics. Expect continued efficiency and steady contributions across all categories.
Pick: Sabrina Ionescu Over 22.5 Points + Assists | FanDuel
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Tuesday, June 3 WNBA Props & Picks
Here are our favorite targets for today’s slate:
Aliyah Boston
Boston is averaging 16.8 points, 9.2 rebounds, 3.5 assists, and 1.8 blocks in 29.8 minutes over six games this season. She hits 0.2 3-pointers per game in 0.3 attempts (50%).
Boston had 17 points (8-of-10 FG, 1-of-2 FT), eight assists, five rebounds, and one steal over 26 minutes during Friday’s 85-83 home loss against the Sun. She led the Fever in points and assists while finishing second in rebounds behind Natasha Howard (six).
The 23-year-old has a playmaking role in Caitlin Clark’s (quadriceps) absence. She now has a total of 12 assists in the Fever’s last two games. Boston finished with 10 points, seven rebounds, four assists, three blocks, and two steals across 29 minutes in an 83-77 road loss against the Mystics on Wednesday.
Boston continues to dominate in the paint, establishing herself as one of the most efficient interior scorers in the league. Her high field-goal percentage is a product of smart shot selection, excellent footwork, and the strength to seal defenders deep in the post.
She consistently controls the glass for Indiana, boxing out with discipline and securing rebounds on both ends to spark transition opportunities or generate second-chance points. In Clark’s absence, Boston has embraced a more active facilitating role, displaying sharp decision-making from the high post and drawing double teams that open up scoring chances for her teammates.
Defensively, she anchors the paint with elite positioning, shot-blocking instincts, and the ability to alter drives without fouling. Her presence on the floor sets the tone for Indiana on both ends, and her growing two-way impact makes her an indispensable piece of the team’s identity.
Boston is projected to deliver a well-rounded performance against the Mystics. Expect steady interior production and continued playmaking as she maintains her expanded role in Indiana’s offense.
Pick: Aliyah Boston to Score 15+ Points | FanDuel
Satou Sabally
Sabally is averaging 21.3 points, 8.1 rebounds, 2.4 assists, and 2.1 steals in 30.7 minutes over seven games with the Mercury this season. She hits 1.6 3-pointers per game in six attempts (26.2 percent).
Sabally finished with 24 points, nine rebounds, four steals, and two assists on 7-of-19 shooting and 2-of-5 from 3-point range in 32 minutes on Sunday’s 85-80 road win against the Sparks. She had a monster game with 26 points, 11 rebounds, four assists, and three steals in 32 minutes in a 74-71 home loss against the Lynx on Friday.
Sabally’s ability to consistently stuff the stat sheet is a testament to her versatility and motor. She’s a high-impact presence on both ends of the floor, bringing relentless pursuit on the glass, often outworking opponents for second-chance opportunities and defensive rebounds.
Defensively, her quick hands, sharp instincts, and timing allow her to disrupt passing lanes and rack up steals at a strong clip. While her shooting efficiency can fluctuate, Sabally remains a three-level scoring threat.
She has the confidence to step into perimeter shots, the touch to convert in the mid-range, and the athleticism to finish through contact around the rim. Her ability to create mismatches and contribute across multiple statistical categories makes her one of the more complete forwards in the league.
Sabally is projected to continue leading the Mercury offense against the Lynx. Expect another aggressive two-way performance with strong production across the board.
Pick: Satou Sabally to Score 20+ Points | FanDuel
WNBA Player Props: What To Know
Before diving into numbers, you need to understand how the WNBA’s format and roster structure impact props. Fewer teams, a shorter season, and heavier reliance on starters all shape how props are set—and how you should attack them.
- 13 teams, 44 games per season (in 2025): Smaller sample sizes make trends easier to spot but also demand quick adaptation.
- Star-dominant rotations: Unlike the NBA’s frequent load management, WNBA stars often play heavy minutes—35+ MPG is normal for top-tier players.
- Condensed rotations: Most teams use 7–8 players consistently. That means injury news creates bigger swings in usage rates and prop outcomes than in deeper leagues.
- Fewer back-to-backs: Game scheduling allows stars to play more regularly without rest days, which boosts reliability when betting overs.
Key Stats to Track for Successful WNBA Betting
Raw stat averages won’t give you the full edge. To consistently beat prop lines, you need to understand not just what a player produces—but how, why, and against whom. These are the core metrics that actually matter in 2025 WNBA betting.
Usage Percentage
This is your cornerstone stat for scoring props. Players with high usage dominate possessions, touch the ball frequently, and are the first scoring option. In 2024, Kahleah Copper, A’ja Wilson, and Chennedy Carter led the league in usage percentage.
Tip: Compare usage percentage with minutes per game. A player with a 31.1% usage rate playing 32.4 minutes (like Kahleah Copper in 2024) is far more likely to cash a scoring prop than someone with similar usage but fewer minutes.
Rebounds Per Game and Opponent FG%
With no access to rebound chances or rebounding rate data in the WNBA, your best angles are actual rebounds per game, opponent field goal percentage, and team rebounding volume.
- Angel Reese led the league with 13.1 RPG in 2024.
- A’ja Wilson ranked second with 11.9 RPG.
- Chicago Sky and New York Liberty led the league in team rebounding with 36.6 RPG.
Low opponent FG% creates more missed shots, which means more rebound chances. That gives rebound props value when a strong rebounder faces an inefficient offense.
Assists Per Game and Ball-Handling Role
Actual assist numbers and role clarity offer plenty of betting value.
- Caitlin Clark led the league with 8.4 assists per game last season.
- Alyssa Thomas (7.9 APG) and Natasha Cloud (6.9 APG) followed close behind.
- Sabrina Ionescu rounded out the top five with 6.2 APG.
Look for high-assist players who dominate possessions and initiate plays. You can also gain value by fading secondary ballhandlers in games where usage is shared.
Team and Opponent Pace
More possessions = more opportunities for points, rebounds, assists, and made threes. Pace stats tell you how many trips up the court teams average per 40 minutes.
Target overs in games involving teams like the Las Vegas Aces, Los Angeles Sparks, and Seattle Storm, all of which played at a top-five pace in 2024. Slower matchups (like Minnesota vs. Atlanta or Connecticut) are better for unders on volume stats.
Opponent Positional Matchups
Some teams are consistently bad against specific positions. For example:
- Guards feasted against the Indiana Fever backcourt in 2024.
- Bigs routinely put up strong rebounding and scoring numbers against Dallas and Phoenix.
Use recent box scores, player logs, and betting performance histories to identify teams that allow strong production from players in certain position.
Timing Matters: When to Bet WNBA Props
Prop betting isn’t just about what you bet—it’s when you bet it. Knowing the optimal windows for attacking the market can be the difference between grabbing a soft line and chasing a stale number.
Opening Lines (Early Value)
Books often release WNBA props the morning of a game. That’s when the lines are softest. Jump on overs for role players stepping into new minutes before news gets baked into the line.
After Injury News Impacts
WNBA depth charts are shallow. If a starter is ruled out, the ripple effects are immediate and measurable. The sixth player suddenly becomes the second scoring option, and books are often slow to adjust.
Example: If Sabrina Ionescu is ruled out for the Liberty, Natasha Cloud and Marine Johannes both see significant upticks in usage and assist opportunities.
Late Market Steam (Fade or Follow Carefully)
Once a line moves significantly—say, a points line jumps from 14.5 to 16.5—be cautious. Don’t chase steam blindly. Sometimes you’re better off passing than betting into a line that’s lost its edge.
WNBA Prop Types and Strategy By Category
Each stat category behaves differently in the WNBA. Understanding how to approach each type of prop lets you build a sharper and more efficient betting card.
Points Props
Most straightforward, but often inflated for stars. Look for inefficiencies in mid-tier players with increased roles or favorable matchups.
- Target high-usage, high-minute players in pace-up matchups.
- Bet overs for players facing poor perimeter or interior defenses.
- Unders are valuable when a player’s role shrinks due to rotation changes or tough matchups (e.g., facing Breanna Stewart or Ezi Magbegor inside).
Rebounds Props
Look beyond averages. Use:
- Opponent FG%
- Shot volume
- Low shooting percentages = more rebound chances.
Assists Props
Unlike the NBA, WNBA assist tracking is limited — but assist props are still beatable if you focus on who actually handles the ball and creates offense. Use:
- Assists Per Game – In 2024, Caitlin Clark (8.4), Alyssa Thomas (7.9), and Natasha Cloud (6.9) led the league. These are primary facilitators playing heavy minutes.
- Minutes + Role – Look for players who run the offense and stay on the floor 30+ minutes per night. For example, Alyssa Thomas initiates most of Connecticut’s offense despite being a forward. (She is now with the Mercury and will likely do the same).
- Game Pace and Matchup – Fast-paced matchups (like vs. Indiana or Vegas) lead to more possessions and assist chances. Also look for teams with weak on-ball defense that allow a high number of assists.
- Recent Trends – Did a player just shift to a new lineup spot (e.g., starting PG due to injury)? That usage jump might not be baked into the lines yet.
3-Pointers Made Props
Only a few players consistently attempt 6+ 3-pointers per game. Look for:
- Teams Opponent Shooting Percentage
- Matchups where defenders sag off
- Players who get extended run due to blowouts or injury absences
Situational Angles For WNBA
Sometimes it’s not just stats that tell the story—certain matchups, emotional edges, or game formats can produce unique betting opportunities.
Blowout Games
In lopsided spreads (10+ points), starters might sit early in the fourth. Look to fade points props for stars and take overs for bench players whose minutes spike in garbage time.
Revenge or Narrative Games
WNBA players, like their NBA peers, rise to the occasion in certain matchups. If a player is returning to face a former team or rival, motivation may lead to increased usage and shot attempts.
Second Leg of Home-and-Home
When teams play each other twice in a row, adjustments are key. Defensive schemes tighten, and scoring often drops. Consider unders on volume shooters or assist props if passing lanes get clogged.
Tools and Resources For WNBA Picks
You don’t need to handicap everything manually. These tools save time and bring consistency to your research so you can act quickly when markets shift.
- WNBA Stats Site (stats.wnba.com): For advanced data, including usage, shooting zones, and play-type frequencies.
- ESPN WNBA Box Scores: For historical context and player trends.
- Beat reporters and team X accounts: For lineup changes and late-breaking injury news.
Bankroll Strategy for WNBA Props
Your betting edge means nothing without discipline. If you don’t manage your units, variance will catch up no matter how sharp your picks are.
- Flat betting: Bet the same unit size on each prop to avoid volatility.
- Limit overs: Don’t blindly bet overs just because it’s fun. The best value is often in unders that the public avoids.
- Track CLV (closing line value): If you consistently beat the closing number, you’re on the right path—even if the early results are volatile.
Final Thoughts
Betting on WNBA props is all about information, timing, and niche awareness. You’re not trying to outsmart the sharpest NBA lines—you’re navigating a market that often reacts slower and offers more value to those who dig deep.
If you learn how to interpret advanced metrics, follow team-specific trends, monitor injury impact, and apply strict bankroll discipline, WNBA props can become a profitable long-term betting angle—especially during the summer when many bettors shift their attention elsewhere.