Justin Bales dives in to this prime time matchup to kick off the 2024 NFL with his best Ravens vs. Chiefs same game parlay.
Each leg of the parlay will be laid out for you to consider before combining it all for some of the best value you’ll find for Week 1.
So the waiting is finally over, and our best Ravens vs. Chiefs SGP is ready to roll.
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Baltimore Ravens vs. Kansas City Chiefs SGP (+850)
Henry left the Tennessee Titans to sign with the Baltimore Ravens in one of the most obvious changes in the NFL this offseason. He’s going to have a massive role for Baltimore, specifically after they proved to be comfortable riding Gus Edwards last season.
The Kansas City Chiefs weren’t dominant against the run last season, allowing 4.5 yards per carry. Granted, they did only allow 113.2 yards per game, but that’s because they generally had a massive lead. I’m taking a low number on Henry, who I expect to see a sizeable role throughout the game tonight.
We’re getting a bit riskier with Watson and Likely, although I’m not opposed to laddering either of these options.
Likely is coming off of a successful sophomore season, posting 30 receptions with 411 yards and 5 touchdowns on 40 targets. He looked great late in the season, but that was only after an injury to Mark Andrews.
This is Likely’s second season under offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the offseason reviews have been outstanding. There have been reports that Likely is unguardable, and he’s playing all over the formation.
The obvious concern is the unknown about how the Ravens are going to use Andrews and Likely together. The ladder averaged 1.45 yards per route run in 2023, and he averaged a healthy 13.7 yards per reception.
There are likely two players that the Chiefs defense is going to key in on in the passing game. Zay Flowers and Andrews are the two obvious options. It makes more sense to get Likely snaps with Andrews in the slot rather than keep Nelson Agholor on the field.
If Likely finds similar snaps to what he did when Andrews was injured, he boasts tremendous receiving upside.
Watson’s quietly a reasonable receiving option for Kansas City. He’s been praised as a player who is always doing the right thing with 100% effort. He quietly posted 27 receptions for 460 yards and 3 touchdowns on 52 targets last season.
The key for Watson is that he’s a big play waiting to happen. He averaged 17.0 yards per reception last season, and he had a ridiculous 18.8 aDOT. He also had 22 targets that were 20+ yards down the field in 2024.
Watson isn’t a great YAC option, but he still posted 25+ yards in 9 of his 16 games last season. He’s going to play a relatively large role in the Kansas City offense with Hollywood Brown already ruled out of this game.
Watson and Likely are the two higher upside options in this bet, and they are players who can be individually laddered, although they do come with quite a bit of risk. Henry is a bit safer, but he adds a bit more upside to the bet overall.
Where to Play: Justin Watson 25+ receiving yards, Isaiah Likely 25+ receiving yards, & Derrick Henry 50+ rushing yards | +850 at DraftKings Sportsbook