Our crew at Props.com aims to uncover the best MLB parlays today…for every day of the MLB season. After all, everyone loves a nice parlay, assuming it’s within reason.
That’s the goal of this article: to provide sensible MLB parlay picks with established reasoning to support them. That is, you won’t see a 12-team MLB parlay (otherwise known as a lottery ticket) in this column.
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Best MLB Parlays Today: Thursday, June 27
Parlay Odds: +107 at Caesars Sportsbook
- Cubs-Giants NRFI at -140 odds.
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Best MLB Prop Bets Today – Top MLB Player Props (Daily Picks)
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Best MLB Parlays Today: Wednesday, August 30
MLB Parlay Picks
- Pick 1: Wilmer Flores Under 0.5 Singles
- Pick 2: Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Bases
- Pick 3: Adam Frazier Under 0.5 Singles
Parlay Odds: +500 at Underdog Fantasy
- Flores continues to struggle at the plate and is 2 for 19 in his last 21 plate appearances.
- Lindor has consistently been falling beneath the 2 total bases marker and has gone under this line in his last 6 games.
- Frazier has been on a downward skid offensively and is currently 3 for his last 13.
Best MLB Parlays Today: Tuesday, August 29
MLB Parlay Picks
- Pick 1: Cole Ragans Under 2 Earned Runs
- Pick 2: Brayan Bello Under 5 Strikeouts
- Pick 3: Wilmer Flores Under 0.5 Singles
Parlay Odds: +500 at Underdog Fantasy
- Cole Ragans has been dominating as a starter as of late. The Pirates are toward the top of the league in strikeouts so expect them to struggle against Ragans since opponents are batting just .238 against him since joining the Royals.
- Bello has consistently been going under this number in his recent starts (3 of his last 5). The Astros also don’t strikeout much as they rank toward the bottom of the league in strikeouts.
- Flores is batting .196 in the past 7 days contrary to his impressive season BA (.296).
Best MLB Parlays Today: Monday, August 28
MLB Parlay Picks
- Pick 1: Kevin Gausman Under 19 Outs.
- Pick 2: Christian Walker Under 0.5 Singles.
- Pick 3: Taijuan Walker Over 4.5 Strikeouts.
Parlay Odds: +500 at Underdog Fantasy
- Gausman has recorded fewer than 19 outs in 10 of his last 11 starts. Additionally, he’s up against a pesky Washington offense known for putting the ball in play.
- Christian Walker has struggled recently, batting just .216 over his last 10 games. Moreover, he has gone 0-3 with a strikeout when facing Dodgers’ starting pitcher Bobby Miller.
- Taijuan Walker is set to pitch against an Angels team that has the sixth-highest strikeout rate. He’s also coming off a strong performance, registering 7 strikeouts in his last start.
Previous Best MLB Parlays Today: Tuesday, Oct. 11
MLB Parlay Picks
- Leg 1: Dodgers Moneyline (-235)
- Leg 2: Braves moneyline (-205)
Parlay Odds: +112 at FanDuel Sportsbook
This parlay is pretty straightforward. We are taking a pair of significant home favorites to start off the Divisional Series. If you read our MLB playoff predictions article last week, then you know I’m high on the Dodgers and Braves to both advance. These squads should get off on the right foot on Tuesday.
Max Fried takes the bump for Atlanta, and he has been absolutely brilliant this season. The Braves are better than the Phillies in every category: starting pitching, lineup top to bottom, and bullpen. On top of that, Truist Park should be rocking for an afternoon matchup. Give me Atlanta to win Game 1.
The Dodgers made the cut in this parlay for the same reason as the Braves: they are better than their opponent in every facet of the game. It helps that Julio Urias is taking the bump for LA, as opposing Padres’ hitters are a combined 26-143 (.182) with 29 strikeouts against him. On the other hand, the Dodgers have smacked around San Diego RHP Mike Clevinger in the past, as Los Angles hitters carry a .329 average and .958 OPS against him. Mookie Betts and Trea Turner lead the way with a combined 11-24 mark against Clevinger.
Best MLB Parlays Today: Wednesday, Oct. 5
MLB Parlay Picks
- Leg 1: Los Angeles Angels Moneyline (-215)
- Leg 2: Chicago White Sox Moneyline (-120)
Parlay Odds: +168 at DraftKings Sportsbook
It’s tricky picking MLB contests to bet on during the final day of the regular season. Some teams might rest starters or pull them early. Other teams might hope to build momentum with a win before the postseason or before wrapping up their 2022 campaign. Thus, I chose to lean into the pitching advantages for both legs of this parlay.
Leg 1: Angels (-215) at Athletics
Shohei Ohtani has been astonishingly good this season. He’s had a career year on the mound. According to FanGraphs, among qualified pitchers, Ohtani is sixth in ERA (2.35), tied for third in xERA (2.72) and second in xFIP (2.65).
Additionally, he’s clowned the A’s this year. Unfortunately, he lost to the A’s on August 3, despite allowing just three runs (two earned) in 5.2 innings. However, since then, he’s spun six scoreless innings on August 9 and eight more scoreless innings on September 29 against Oakland.
Meanwhile, Ken Waldichuk has struggled to adjust from pitching in the minors to doing so in the majors. The rookie lefty has a 6.18 ERA and 5.04 xERA in six starts spanning only 27.2 innings. Finally, the Angels also have a slight bullpen advantage, owning a 3.96 ERA versus Oakland’s 4.30 bullpen ERA. Thus, I trust Ohtani to get the job done for the first left of today’s parlay.
Leg 2: White Sox (-120) vs. Twins
I admit it. Davis Martin has overachieved his 3.65 ERA in 13 appearances (eight starts), evidenced by his 4.22 xERA and 4.26 xFIP. Further, the righty’s 3.80 ERA in only his starts has outpaced his 4.28 xFIP. Nonetheless, even Martin’s ERA estimators have been acceptable.
Conversely, Louie Varland has struggled in his first taste of the majors. In four starts spanning 21.0 innings, he’s had a 4.71 ERA, 5.41 xERA, and 4.41 xFIP. Yes, the Twins have had a slight bullpen advantage over the White Sox this year, spinning a 3.86 ERA versus a 4.04 ERA.
However, the White Sox have been better at the dish down the stretch. Since MLB’s trade deadline on August 2, the Pale Hose have had a 100 wRC+, and the Twins have had a 95 wRC+. So, Chicago has small advantages on the hill and at the plate. As a result, I’ll take them as the second leg of today’s parlay at a fair price.
Best MLB Parlays Today: Tuesday, Oct. 4
MLB Parlay Picks
- Leg 1: Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles Over 7.5 Runs (+100)
- Leg 2: Los Angeles Dodgers Over 4.5 Runs (-137)
Parlay Odds: +245 at Caesars Sportsbook
The Blue Jays and Orioles have excellent offensive outlooks. However, rather than betting either team’s total, I’ve opted to bet the game total. This is because either offense has the firepower to pick up the slack if one of the offenses fails to take advantage of a good matchup. Meanwhile, the Dodgers have a dreamy matchup. So, they should light up the scoreboard tonight.
Blue Jays at Orioles Over 7.5 Runs (+100)
Sadly, the weather isn’t hitter-friendly. Still, the pitching matchups are. First, Mike Baumann is starting for the Orioles. The 27-year-old righty has found sledding challenging in the majors. He made four relief appearances last year and has split time between starting at relieving this year. Overall, according to FanGraphs, Baumann has had a 5.77 ERA and 5.06 xFIP in 39 innings for the Orioles. Moreover, he’s also had an underwhelming 4.20 ERA in 60 innings split between starting and relieving in Triple-A this year.
The right-handed hurler has also been at his worst against righties, coughing up a .480 slugging and .364 wOBA to the 108 of them he’s faced in the bigs. Therefore, Toronto’s righty-laden lineup should thrive in the matchup.
Conversely, the Orioles have a matchup against a pitcher who’s vomited all over his cleats since the MLB trade deadline. In a trade, the Blue Jays acquired Mitch White from the Dodgers, and he’s proceeded to get lit on fire. In 39 innings for the Jays, White has had a 7.38 ERA and 4.77 xFIP. White has yielded at least three runs in six consecutive contests. Additionally, he’s pitched only 7.2 innings in his previous two turns while getting ripped for six runs.
As a result, the Orioles have a perfect opportunity to rebound from an underwhelming game against Jose Berrios last night. Collectively, these AL East foes should combat the dreary weather and make the most of their cushy matchups. So, I’m taking the game Over 7.5 runs.
Dodgers Over 4.5 Runs (-137) vs. Rockies
The Dodgers have one of the best matchups for an offense tonight. Jose Urena has a 5.01 ERA in 97 innings this season. Further, he’s split time between starting and relieving, and he’s done his worst work as a starter, tallying a 5.14 ERA when starting.
Of course, Urena doesn’t belong in a big-league rotation. Additionally, he hasn’t belonged in one for multiple seasons. The veteran righty has had an ERA above 5.00 since 2019. In addition, Urena has been clobbered for a 5.36 ERA in 305.2 innings since 2019. Yikes.
Yes, Urena has allowed two runs or less in five consecutive starts. Still, his track record of futility is longer, casting doubt on his recent heater being more than a fluke.
In addition, Colorado’s bullpen is a mess. Colorado’s relievers have had the highest ERA (4.84) in the majors this year. So, even if Urena’s fluke run of success continues, LA’s offense can eclipse their team total with the help of Colorado’s dumpster fire bullpen.
Finally, the Dodgers are a juggernaut on offense. They have the highest wRC+ (122) against righties, the highest wRC+ (126) at home, and the third-highest wRC+ (117) since the MLB trade deadline on August 2. So, LA’s offense is elite, no matter how you slice it. Thus, I’ll gladly make LA’s team total for over 4.5 runs as the second leg of tonight’s MLB parlay.
Best MLB Parlays Today: Monday, Oct. 3
MLB Parlay Picks
- Leg 1: Baltimore Orioles Over 3.5 Runs (-105)
- Leg 2: Tampa Bay Rays Over 3.5 Runs (-165)
Parlay Odds: +213 at BetMGM Sportsbook
Two AL East teams with tantalizing matchups should hang some runs tonight. Thus, I’m using Baltimore’s and Tampa Bay’s team totals as the two legs of tonight’s two-leg parlay.
Leg 1: Orioles Over 3.5 Runs (-105) vs. Blue Jays
Jose Berrios has been a tire fire this season. According to FanGraphs, the righty has the highest ERA (5.37), HR/9 (1.57), and the second-highest xERA (5.22) among qualified pitchers this year. Berrios has also been tattooed for 11 runs in his last two starts spanning just 7.1 innings.
Berrios has been mediocre against righties and woefully inept against lefties. He’s allowed a .327 wOBA to right-handed batters this season. Yet, the .530 slugging and .381 wOBA he’s yielded to lefties are more exciting for Baltimore’s scoring outlook tonight.
The O’s lineup should include six batters who will hit left-handed against Berrios tonight. Moreover, four of them will hit from the first five spots in the lineup. So, they can immediately get after Berrios and exploit his susceptibility against lefties. As a result, I love Baltimore’s chances of scoring more than 3.5 runs tonight.
Leg 2: Rays Over 3.5 Runs (-165) at Red Sox
The Rays should shine tonight, too. Rich Hill hasn’t had success navigating hitter-friendly Fenway Park. According to ESPN, Fenway Park has the fourth-highest park factor for runs (1.128) this season. And, again, Hill has struggled there, evidenced by his 5.19 ERA and .347 wOBA allowed to opposing hitters in 52 innings at home this season.
The veteran lefty has been below-average against lefties and righties in 2022. Hill has allowed a .321 wOBA to lefties and a .329 wOBA to righties.
Additionally, Boston’s bullpen is a trainwreck. The Red Sox have had the fifth-highest ERA (4.64) this season. So, even if Hill pitches over his skis, the Rays can score runs against Boston’s terrible bullpen. Thus, they have multiple paths to scoring more than 3.5 runs. So, let’s make them the second leg of tonight’s parlay.
