Looking for the best MLB batter vs. pitcher matchups today? You’re in the right place.
Justin Carlucci brings you his model projections for today’s slate to get a better idea of which pitchers we should pick on.
Top 20 Batter vs. Pitcher Matchups Today
In this section, we’ll break down the top MLB hitter projections for the upcoming slate..
Included in the table: hitter data, pitcher vulnerability numbers, overall scores, tiers and more. This cheat sheet should help you quickly identify the best MLB hitting matchups of the day.
📊 TOP 20 HITTER MATCHUPS
August 5, 2025 | Advanced Analytics Framework
| RANK | PLAYER (TEAM) | VS | PITCHER (TEAM) | PLATOON | HITTER SCORE | PITCHER VULN | SCORE | TIER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juan Soto (NYM) | vs | Logan Allen (CLE) | Bad | 92 | 87 | 82 | ELITE |
| 2 | Rafael Devers (SF) | vs | Mike Burrows (PIT) | Good | 89 | 91 | 81 | ELITE |
| 3 | Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | vs | Miles Mikolas (STL) | Good | 95 | 79 | 80 | ELITE |
| 4 | Corey Seager (TEX) | vs | Will Warren (NYY) | Good | 85 | 95 | 78 | ELITE |
| 5 | Freddie Freeman (LAD) | vs | Miles Mikolas (STL) | Good | 88 | 79 | 76 | ELITE |
| 6 | Max Muncy (LAD) | vs | Miles Mikolas (STL) | Good | 90 | 79 | 74 | STRONG |
| 7 | Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | vs | Dean Kremer (BAL) | Good | 88 | 82 | 72 | STRONG |
| 8 | Aaron Judge (NYY) | vs | Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) | Even | 98 | 68 | 71 | STRONG |
| 9 | Bryce Harper (PHI) | vs | Dean Kremer (BAL) | Good | 87 | 82 | 70 | STRONG |
| 10 | George Springer (TOR) | vs | Anthony Molina (COL) | Even | 90 | 85 | 69 | STRONG |
| 11 | Jose Ramirez (CLE) | vs | Clay Holmes (NYM) | Even | 86 | 92 | 68 | STRONG |
| 12 | Pete Alonso (NYM) | vs | Logan Allen (CLE) | Good | 89 | 87 | 67 | STRONG |
| 13 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | vs | Anthony Molina (COL) | Even | 87 | 85 | 66 | STRONG |
| 14 | Bo Bichette (TOR) | vs | Anthony Molina (COL) | Even | 84 | 85 | 65 | STRONG |
| 15 | Nick Castellanos (PHI) | vs | Dean Kremer (BAL) | Even | 83 | 82 | 64 | SOLID |
| 16 | Nathaniel Lowe (TEX) | vs | Will Warren (NYY) | Good | 78 | 95 | 63 | SOLID |
| 17 | Francisco Lindor (NYM) | vs | Logan Allen (CLE) | Even | 81 | 87 | 62 | SOLID |
| 18 | Willy Adames (SF) | vs | Mike Burrows (PIT) | Even | 77 | 91 | 61 | SOLID |
| 19 | J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | vs | Dean Kremer (BAL) | Good | 75 | 82 | 60 | SOLID |
| 20 | Marcus Semien (TEX) | vs | Will Warren (NYY) | Even | 72 | 95 | 59 | SOLID |
🎯 KEY MATCHUP INSIGHTS
🔥 PRIMARY EDGES:
Mikolas LHH Weakness: Three elite Dodgers lefties (Ohtani, Freeman, Muncy) all exploit documented vulnerability vs LHH
Will Warren Massive Vulnerability: Elite vulnerability score creates goldmine for Seager, Lowe at Texas
Juan Soto Elite Ability: $765M contract reflects talent transcending platoon disadvantages
🏟️ BALLPARK BOOSTS:
Citizens Bank Park: Schwarber/Harper/Castellanos/Realmuto power boost
Coors Field: Springer/Guerrero/Bichette contact gains from altitude
Globe Life Park: Climate-controlled power for Seager/Lowe/Semien
Top MLB Hitter Matchup Predictions
After diving deep into tonight’s slate, we have some bangers!
Let me break down exactly why these individual matchups are built for exploitation.
1. JUAN SOTO (LHH) vs LOGAN ALLEN (LHP) – Soto’s generational hitting ability creates value even same-handed vs Allen’s documented struggles.
2. RAFAEL DEVERS (SF) vs MIKE BURROWS (PIT) – Post-trade motivation meets favorable platoon advantage! Devers’ fresh start in San Francisco + LHH vs RHP edge against Burrows = systematic perfection.
3. SHOHEI OHTANI (LAD) vs MILES MIKOLAS (STL) – The most elite hitter in baseball (173 wRC+, .367 ISO) with favorable platoon vs Mikolas’s LHH weakness. This is systematic convergence at its finest.
4. COREY SEAGER (TEX) vs WILL WARREN (NYY) – Warren’s massive vulnerability (95 score!) meets Seager’s elite power at home. Climate-controlled Globe Life Park amplifies this systematic goldmine.
5. FREDDIE FREEMAN (LAD) vs MILES MIKOLAS (STL) – Career dominance (9-20, .450 vs Mikolas) meets current excellence (155 wRC+). Historical + systematic = institutional-level edge.
6. MAX MUNCY (LAD) vs MILES MIKOLAS (STL) – Power + patience + favorable platoon = systematic value creation. Third Dodgers lefty exploiting Mikolas’s documented LHH weakness.
7. KYLE SCHWARBER (PHI) vs DEAN KREMER (BAL) – Elite power (155 wRC+, .309 ISO) at hitter-friendly Citizens Bank Park with favorable platoon. Environmental amplification at its best.
8. AARON JUDGE (NYY) vs NATHAN EOVALDI (TEX) – Generational talent (204 wRC+, .336 ISO) transcends neutral platoon matchups.
9. BRYCE HARPER (PHI) vs DEAN KREMER (BAL) – Home field power boost meets favorable platoon advantage. Harper’s systematic excellence amplified by Citizens Bank Park.
10. GEORGE SPRINGER (TOR) vs ANTHONY MOLINA (COL) – Elite recent form (159 wRC+) gets Coors Field altitude boost. Contact-heavy approach becomes extra-base opportunity at elevation.
