Looking for the best MLB batter vs. pitcher matchups today? You’re in the right place.
Justin Carlucci brings you his model projections for today’s slate to get a better idea of which pitchers we should pick on.
Editor’s Note: Want to craft your skills? Check out our MLB pick’em tips when playing at sites such as Underdog Fantasy.
Top 20 Batter vs. Pitcher Matchups Today
In this section, we’ll break down the top MLB hitter projections for the upcoming slate.
Included in the table: hitter data, pitcher vulnerability numbers, overall scores, tiers and more. This cheat sheet should help you quickly identify the best MLB hitting matchups of the day.
📊 TOP BATTER vs. PITCHER MATCHUPS TODAY
August 6, 2025 | Complete Systematic MLB Analysis
| RANK | PLAYER (TEAM) | VS | PITCHER (TEAM) | PLATOON | HITTER SCORE | PITCHER VULN | PARK FACTOR | SCORE | TIER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Murphy (ATL) | vs | Jose Quintana (MIL) | Good | Elite Hitter Premium Power |
Highly Vulnerable Clear Weakness |
Truist Park 1.04x |
154 | ELITE |
| 2 | Yandy Diaz (TBR) | vs | Tyler Anderson (LAA) | Good | Elite Hitter Solid Power |
Highly Vulnerable Clear Weakness |
Angel Stadium 1.02x |
125 | ELITE |
| 3 | Ernie Clement (TOR) | vs | Kyle Freeland (COL) | Good | Elite Hitter Contact Focus |
Extremely Vulnerable Major Weakness |
Coors Field 1.15x |
123 | ELITE |
| 4 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | vs | Kyle Freeland (COL) | Good | Elite Hitter Average Power |
Extremely Vulnerable Major Weakness |
Coors Field 1.15x |
115 | ELITE |
| 5 | Pete Alonso (NYM) | vs | Gavin Williams (CLE) | Even | Elite Hitter Good Power |
Somewhat Vulnerable Minor Concerns |
Citi Field 1.02x |
110 | ELITE |
| 6 | Bo Bichette (TOR) | vs | Kyle Freeland (COL) | Good | Strong Hitter Good Power |
Extremely Vulnerable Major Weakness |
Coors Field 1.15x |
107 | ELITE |
| 7 | Mike Trout (LAA) | vs | Shane Baz (TBR) | Even | Strong Hitter Good Power |
Somewhat Vulnerable Minor Concerns |
Angel Stadium 1.02x |
95 | ELITE |
| 8 | George Springer (TOR) | vs | Kyle Freeland (COL) | Good | Strong Hitter Average Power |
Extremely Vulnerable Major Weakness |
Coors Field 1.15x |
93 | ELITE |
| 9 | Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | vs | Jose Quintana (MIL) | Good | Strong Hitter Average Power |
Highly Vulnerable Clear Weakness |
Truist Park 1.04x |
72 | STRONG |
| 10 | Taylor Ward (LAA) | vs | Shane Baz (TBR) | Even | Solid Hitter Good Power |
Somewhat Vulnerable Minor Concerns |
Angel Stadium 1.02x |
71 | STRONG |
| 11 | Zach Neto (LAA) | vs | Shane Baz (TBR) | Even | Strong Hitter Average Power |
Somewhat Vulnerable Minor Concerns |
Angel Stadium 1.02x |
66 | STRONG |
| 12 | Jo Adell (LAA) | vs | Shane Baz (TBR) | Even | Solid Hitter Good Power |
Somewhat Vulnerable Minor Concerns |
Angel Stadium 1.02x |
64 | STRONG |
| 13 | Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | vs | Kyle Freeland (COL) | Good | Solid Hitter Contact Focus |
Extremely Vulnerable Major Weakness |
Coors Field 1.15x |
56 | STRONG |
| 14 | Freddie Freeman (LAD) | vs | Matthew Liberatore (STL) | Good | Strong Hitter Average Power |
Moderately Vulnerable Some Issues |
Dodger Stadium 1.03x |
51 | STRONG |
| 15 | Jung Hoo Lee (SFG) | vs | Andrew Heaney (PIT) | Even | Solid Hitter Average Power |
Very Vulnerable Notable Struggles |
PNC Park 1.01x |
53 | SOLID |
| 16 | Francisco Alvarez (NYM) | vs | Gavin Williams (CLE) | Even | Solid Hitter Some Power |
Somewhat Vulnerable Minor Concerns |
Citi Field 1.02x |
31 | SOLID |
| 17 | Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | vs | Matthew Liberatore (STL) | Good | Strong Hitter Good Power |
Limited Vulnerability Slight Edge |
Dodger Stadium 1.03x |
30 | SOLID |
| 18 | Mookie Betts (LAD) | vs | Matthew Liberatore (STL) | Good | Strong Hitter Good Power |
Limited Vulnerability Slight Edge |
Dodger Stadium 1.03x |
29 | SOLID |
| 19 | Christian Walker (ARI) | vs | Nestor Cortes (SD) | Good | Strong Hitter Good Power |
Limited Vulnerability Slight Edge |
Chase Field 1.05x |
28 | SOLID |
| 20 | Kyle Tucker (HOU) | vs | Janson Junk (MIA) | Even | Elite Hitter Premium Power |
Limited Vulnerability Slight Edge |
Marlins Park 0.88x |
26 | SOLID |
Best Batter vs Pitcher Matchups Today
Here’s some insight on today’s top 5 model plays!
- Sean Murphy (ATL) vs Jose Quintana (MIL)
Murphy’s sitting on a legitimate .347 ISO this season – that’s not a typo, that’s elite thunder in his bat. Quintana’s been getting absolutely torched by righties, and Murphy gets the perfect platoon advantage as a right-handed stick. Plus, we’re at Truist Park, where the ball carries better than your average ballpark.
- Yandy Diaz (TBR) vs Tyler Anderson (LAA)
Anderson is a lefty, but he’s actually WORSE against left-handed hitting – one of those reverse-split guys that the market always misprices. Diaz, as a right-handed stick, gets to face Anderson’s better side, but “better” is relative when you’re talking about a pitcher who’s been getting torched all season.
- Ernie Clement (TOR) vs Kyle Freeland (COL)
Clement has been absolutely unconscious this season – 157 wRC+ vs. LHP is legitimately elite production. Freeland has been getting crushed by righties all year, and now we get to watch it happen at high altitude.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) vs Kyle Freeland (COL)
Vladdy is crushing southpaws with a 162 wRC+ against them this season. Same vulnerable pitcher in Freeland, same Coors Field advantage. The difference between Vlad and Clement is mainly the power profile, but we’re splitting hairs between elite options.
- Pete Alonso (NYM) vs Gavin Williams (CLE)
Alonso proves that elite individual talent can overcome neutral platoon matchups when facing genuinely vulnerable pitching. His 156 wRC+ (vs. RHP) with serious thump gives him the firepower to exploit Williams.
