NFL Week 12 odds provide plenty to be thankful for, most notably that there are three games on Thanksgiving. If you’re gonna overindulge in turkey, stuffing, and pumpkin pie, why not make it a superfecta with football, as well?
While the Turkey Day tilts are interesting, the best matchups are on Sunday. Atop the list: The Tennessee Titans travel to take on the New England Patriots in a battle of first-place squads
Multiple sportsbook insiders provided insights on opening odds, line moves, and action on NFL Week 12 betting. Check back all week for updates on every game.
NFL Week 12 Odds
Matchup | Time | Spread | Over/Under |
Bears at Lions | 12:30 p.m. ET Thursday | Bears -3 | 41.5 |
Raiders at Cowboys | 4:30 p.m. ET Thursday | Cowboys -7.5 | 51.5 |
Bills at Saints | 8:20 p.m. ET Thursday | Bills -6 | 45 |
Titans at Patriots | 1 p.m. ET Sunday | Patriots -7 | 43 |
Jets at Texans | 1 p.m. ET Sunday | Texans -2.5 | 44.5 |
Eagles at Giants | 1 p.m. ET Sunday | Eagles -3.5 | 45 |
Buccaneers at Colts | 1 p.m. ET Sunday | Buccaneers -3 | 53 |
Falcons at Jaguars | 1 p.m. ET Sunday | Falcons -1.5 | 46 |
Panthers at Dolphins | 1 p.m. ET Sunday | Panthers -1.5 | 40.5 |
Steelers at Bengals | 1 p.m. ET Sunday | Bengals -3.5 | 43.5 |
Chargers at Broncos | 4:05 p.m. ET Sunday | Chargers -3 | 47 |
Vikings at 49ers | 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday | 49ers -3.5 | 49 |
Rams at Packers | 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday | Rams -2 | 47 |
Browns at Ravens | 8:20 p.m. ET Sunday | Ravens -3 | 47 |
Seahawks at Washington | 8:15 p.m. ET Monday | Seahawks -2 | 46.5 |
Odds via The SuperBook and updated as of 6:30 p.m. ET Nov. 29
Seahawks at Washington
Opening line: Seahawks -3, Over/Under 46
UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET MONDAY: This line swung around throughout the week at WynnBet. Seattle opened -2.5, the number flipped to Washington -1.5 by Wednesday night, and it’s now at Seattle -2. Ticket count is almost dead even, but the Seahawks are getting 69% of money on the spread. The total opened at 46, peaked at 48 today and is at 47.5 now, with 61% of tickets on the Under/62% of money on the Over.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Seattle opened -2.5 at WynnBet, and by Wednesday, this line jumped the fence to Washington -1.5. On Thursday, Washington fell back to -1, where the line sits now for the Week 12 Monday night game. Point-spread ticket count is almost dead even, but the Football Team is attracting 87% of cash on the spread. The total moved from 46 to 46.5 midweek, with 62% of bets on the Under, but 77% of cash on the Over.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The Week 12 Monday nighter isn’t terribly attractive, with a pair of 3-7 teams likely playing out the string over the next few weeks. Caesars books opened Seattle -2, and by Tuesday morning, the number jumped the fence to Washington -1, where it sits now. Ticket count is 2/1 and money beyond 9/1 on Washington. The total crept from 46 to 46.5 Tuesday afternoon.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: It’s probably not too early to put a fork in Seattle’s season. The Seahawks (3-7 SU, 5-5 ATS) went off as 3-point home favorites against a Kyler Murray-less Arizona squad and lost outright 23-13.
Washington (4-6 SU, 3-7 ATS) followed up its shocking Week 10 home upset of Tampa Bay with another win in Week 11. The Football Team topped Carolina 27-21 getting 3 points on the road.
“We opened Seattle -3 and quickly saw sharp money come in on Washington, moving us to Seattle -1.5,” Murray said. “I’m not too worried about it. The Redskins never win on Monday Night Football.”
While the line moved in a hurry, the total was unchanged tonight.
Titans at Patriots
Opening line: Patriots -5.5, Over/Under 44.5
UPDATE 12:45 P.M. ET SUNDAY: The Patriots stretched out to -8 a couple of times this morning and are now -7.5 at PointsBetUSA, after opening -5.5. Ticket count is very close, but money is running 2/1 on New England. The total moved from 44.5 to 42.5 to 43, with the Over taking 55% of tickets/58% of money.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SATURDAY: New England hit WynnBet’s NFL Week 12 odds board as a 6-point chalk and topped out Friday afternoon at -7. It’s two-way action with a modest lean toward the Patriots, at 52% of tickets and 55% of money. The total opened at 45 and has been at 44 since Wednesday, with 60% of tickets on the Over/74% of money on the Under. On the combined wagering for the spread/total/moneyline at WynnBet, this game is drawing the second-most action of the Sunday matchups.
UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: DraftKings opened New England -6, quickly fell back to -5.5, returned to -6 Tuesday and made multiple trips to -7 over the past three days. The Patriots are currently -7 on a fairly close ticket count, with 54% going to the Titans, while the Pats are getting 71% of money. The total dipped from 44.5 to 43.5, with 70% of bets/55% of money on the Over.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: New England hit Caesars Sportsbook’s board as a 5.5-point chalk, got to -6.5 by Tuesday, then -7 earlier this evening. Ticket count is reasonably close, with 58% on the Patriots, but money is way out of whack, at 96% on the Pats.
“The Titans got beat by the Texans last week, and people react to what they last saw,” Caesars assistant director of trading Adam Pullen said. “But it’s strange to see a decent team that big of a ‘dog, even though the Patriots are playing lights-out. It’s weird that [this] game would have the biggest spread of the Sunday games. I’m guessing the Titans will be one of our biggest needs this week.
“The Patriots are up to 7, but there’s a ton of value there with the Titans. In these situations where one team looks horrible and the other team looks great, the next week things could totally flip-flop.”
The total ticked down to 44 as of late Wednesday night.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Tennessee’s six-game win streak (5-1 ATS) ended in most unusual fashion Sunday. The Titans (8-3 SU, 7-4 ATS) went off as 10-point home favorites against hapless Houston and lost outright, 22-13.
Meanwhile, surprising New England is on a 5-0 SU and ATS spree that has grabbed oddsmakers’ attention. The Patriots drubbed Atlanta 25-0 as a 6.5-point road favorite in the Week 11 Thursday nighter.
“We opened Patriots -5.5 tonight and are still there,” Murray said, before pointing to last week’s look-ahead line. “We had been at -2.5/-3 on New England before this week’s games, but the Patriots’ thrashing of the Falcons on Thursday night and the Titans’ loss today caused a big adjustment in this number. It’ll be interesting to see if and when wiseguy support comes back on Tennessee.”
The total also had no movement tonight.
Rams at Packers
Opening line: Packers -2, Over/Under 50
UPDATE 1:15 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Green Bay opened -1.5 at DraftKings and spent much of the first half of the week at -1. On Wednesday morning, the line jumped the fence to Rams -1 and got as far as Rams -2.5 this morning. Los Angeles is now -2 (-115), with 51% of bets on the Rams and 54% of money on the Packers. The total is down to 46.5 from a 50 opener, with cold weather likely an issue. That said, ticket count is 3/1 and money 4/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SATURDAY: WynnBet opened Green Bay -1, spent Monday at Packers -1.5, then began moving toward Los Angeles. The game went to pick ’em Tuesday, flipped to Rams -1 Wednesday and Rams -1.5 Friday afternoon. The Packers are taking 54% of bets and the Rams 56% of money on the spread. The total tumbled to 47 from a 50.5 opener, with tickets 3/1 on the Over, but money almost 5/1 on the Under.
UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Green Bay opened -1.5 at DraftKings, and this line has steadily gone toward the Rams all week, now sitting at L.A. -2. That said, it’s two-way point-spread action with a lean toward Los Angeles, at 57% of tickets/54% of money. The total opened at 50 and has been at 47 since Wednesday, although tickets and money are running 3/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Aaron Rodgers has a bum toe, and it’s influencing the number for this key NFC clash. The line at Caesars opened at Packers -2, dropped to pick by late this morning, then jumped the fence to Rams -1 this evening. Green Bay is getting 60% of spread bets, while L.A. is nabbing 66% of spread dollars.
“I’m a little surprised,” Caesars assistant director of trading Adam Pullen said. “I guess the [Aaron] Rodgers news — that he’s not 100 percent with that toe injury — has something to do with it. In my opinion, though, the Packers should be a favorite. I know bettors are expecting the Rams to come back off their bye and be ready to go. And I know injury news drives the line. So if people think Rodgers is dinged up, that’s how people are going to bet.”
The total is on the move, too, falling from 50 to 47.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Green Bay twice trailed Minnesota by 13 in Week 11, then rallied behind Aaron Rodgers before ultimately falling short 34-31 as a 1-point road chalk. The loss halted a nine-game spread-covering streak for the Packers (8-3 SU, 9-2 ATS). Los Angeles (7-3 SU, 4-6 ATS) got a much-needed bye in Week 11 after back-to-back losses.
“There are a lot of really solid matchups Sunday, and this might be the best one,” Murray said. “Both of these teams are in the mix for the top seed in the NFC, and this game really sets up to be a toss-up. Tough scheduling spot for the Packers, off an emotional loss to the Vikings today and catching the Rams off the sequence of loss-loss-bye.”
The line fell to Packers -1.5 late tonight, while the total was stable.
Buccaneers at Colts
Opening line: Buccaneers -2.5, Over/Under 51
UPDATE 12:45 P.M. ET SUNDAY: PointsBet USA moved Tampa Bay from -2.5 to -3.5, then spent the past couple of days bouncing between -3 and -2.5. The Bucs are currently -2.5 (-115), while taking 59% of bets/71% of money. The total rose from 51 to 53.5, with 69% of bets/82% of money on the Over.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Tampa Bay opened -2 at WynnBet and got to -3.5 early this afternoon, before backing up to -3. The Bucs are taking a relatively modest 60% of tickets, but 86% of money. In fact, Bucs spread is currently WynnBet’s No. 1 liability in the NFL Week 12 odds market. The total initially dipped from 52 to 51, then rebounded to 53, where it’s been since Wednesday night. Ticket count is 2/1 and money 4/1 on the Over. This matchup is also the most-bet Week 12 Sunday game at WynnBet, when combining action on the spread/total/moneyline.
UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Tampa Bay opened as a 2.5-point chalk at DraftKings and spent most of the week at -3, with a few visits to -3.5. The Bucs are currently -3 (-115) while attracting 59% of tickets/68% of cash on the spread. After opening at 51, the total reached 53.5 this afternoon, with ticket count 2/1 and money 5/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Short of a couple of juice adjustments, this line is nailed to Tampa Bay -3 at Caesars Sportsbook. The Bucs are currently -3 (-105) while taking 54% of bets and 71% of cash. However, the total is on the move, up to 53 from a 51 opener.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Indianapolis arguably had the most impressive Week 11 win. The Colts (6-5 SU, 7-4 ATS) went to Buffalo as 7-point ‘dogs and put it on the Bills 41-15, Indy’s third straight win and its sixth spread cover in its last eight contests. Defending Super Bowl champion Tampa Bay (6-3 SU, 3-6 ATS) still has Week 11 work to do, hosting the New York Giants on Monday night.
“We still think the Bucs are the highest power-rated team in the NFL, but they will have their hands full on the road against Indianapolis in this one,” Murray said. “This has the makings of a classic wiseguy vs. public game, with the public firing on the Super Bowl champs at the cheap number.”
In fact, the Bucs rose to -3 (even) tonight, while the total held firm.
Browns at Ravens
Opening line: Ravens -4.5, Over/Under 46.5
UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: TwinSpires Sportsbook opened the Ravens -4.5 and made its way down the ladder this week, arriving at -3 today. Ticket count is just shy of 2/1 Baltimore, but money is 2/1 Cleveland. “It’s Pros vs. Joes. Sharp money on the Browns +4.5 down to +3.5.” The total moved from 46.5 to 47, with tickets 2/1 and money a bit beyond 2/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Baltimore has been at -3.5 since Wednesday morning at WynnBet, after opening -5 and spending time at -4.5 and -4. Ticket count is just shy of 2/1 Ravens, while money is just beyond 2/1 Browns for the Sunday night game. The total opened at 47, fell to 46, and returned to 47 by Thursday afternoon. The Under is drawing 57% of bets and the Over 55% of money.
UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: This number has bounced around all week at DraftKings. Baltimore opened at -4 and on Monday first went to -3.5, then to -4.5, then back to -3.5 before setting at -4. Early Wednesday, the line returned to -3.5, then Wednesday afternoon again went to -4, where it sits now. Ticket count is 2/1 Ravens, but money is almost dead even. The total moved from 46.5 to 45.5, then up to 47 by this afternoon, with 53% of tickets on the Under and 54% of money on the Over.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Baltimore is down a point to -3.5 at Caesars Sportsbook, where 56% of early spread tickets are on the Ravens, but 68% of early spread dollars are on the Browns. The total moved from 46.5 to 46 Tuesday morning and remains 46 for the Week 12 Sunday night matchup.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Baltimore, minus an ill Lamar Jackson, was looking squarely at its third loss in four games late in Sunday’s game at Chicago. But backup QB Tyler Huntley led a 72-yard last-minute touchdown drive, and the Ravens (7-3 SU, 4-6 ATS) beat the Bears 16-13 laying a single point.
Cleveland (6-5 SU, 5-6 ATS) wasn’t impressive at all against the winless and undermanned Lions. The Browns led 13-0 at recess but didn’t score again, hanging on for a 13-10 victory as a 13.5-point home favorite.
“We opened Ravens -4.5, mostly due to the Browns’ struggles the last couple of weeks,” Murray said. “The Browns don’t look right on offense right now, and we certainly expect Lamar Jackson to be back for Baltimore, making this a really tough test for Cleveland on the road.”
Neither the line nor total moved tonight for the Week 12 Sunday night game.
Steelers at Bengals
Opening line: Bengals -4.5, Over/Under 45.5
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Cincinnati opened at and is currently -3.5 at WynnBet, after rising to -4 and -4.5. The Steelers are seeing 51% of bets, while the Bengals are getting 66% of money. The total fell from 45.5 to 43.5, with 58% of bets on the Over and 88% of money on the Under. Pittsburgh moneyline, currently +165, is WynnBet’s third-largest Sunday NFL liability, with the Steelers getting 85% of cash to beat the Browns outright.
UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: DraftKings moved Cincinnati from -4.5 to -3.5, then peaked at -5 Wednesday night. By late this morning, the line was back down to -3.5, with Pittsburgh landing 56% of spread bets and 58% of spread dollars. The total opened at 46 and is down to 44.5, with 70% of bets on the Over and 56% of money on the Under.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Cincinnati initially backed up from -4 to -3.5, then advanced to -4.5 by Tuesday morning at Caesars and remained there Wednesday night. This game also has some wonky splits, with ticket count almost dead even — 51% Bengals — but Cincy nabbing 98% of money. In past weeks, that’s been indicative of taking a substantially large wager on a team, but Caesars hasn’t yet noted that for this contest. The total inched down Tuesday to 45 from the 45.5 opener.
UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Cincinnati (6-4 SU, 5-5 ATS) snapped a two-game skid by dropping Las Vegas 32-13 as a 2-point road chalk. And in a Week 11 Sunday night shootout, Pittsburgh (5-4-1, 4-6 ATS) rallied from a 17-point fourth-quarter deficit to forge a tie with the Chargers, but then surrendered a long touchdown late to lose 41-37 as a 6.5-point road underdog.
Per The SuperBook’s standard operating procedure, Steelers-Bengals was taken off the board once the Steelers-Chargers game kicked off. Neither the side nor total moved prior to kickoff, and the game will go back up Monday morning.
Jets at Texans
Opening line: Texans -3, Over/Under 44.5
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Houston has been pinned to -2.5 all week at WynnBet. The Texans are taking 70% of spread bets and 77% of spread money. The total moved from 43 to 45.5 to 45, all by Tuesday afternoon, with 72% of bets on the Under/64% of money on the Over.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Speaking of unattractive games, this contest certainly has NFL Draft implications, with the loser perhaps ultimately being the winner. Houston is a 2.5-point favorite at Caesars after opening -3, with early ticket count 2/1 and money beyond 9/1 on New York. The total rose from 44 to 44.5 late Tuesday night and remained there Wednesday night.
UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Houston has only two wins all season, and the first was no great shakes (a Week 1 home upset of Jacksonville). But in Week 11, the Texans (2-8 SU, 5-5 ATS) went to Tennessee and stunned the first-place Titans 22-13 catching 10.5 points. New York (2-8 SU and ATS) was a 3.5-point home underdog to Miami and lost 24-17.
The SuperBook didn’t move the point spread, but the total dipped to 44 tonight.
Eagles at Giants
Opening line: Eagles -3.5, Over/Under 46.5
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Philadelphia bounced between -3 and -3.5 a couple of times this week at WynnBet and is currently at -3.5 (-115). Ticket count is 5/1 and money 3/1 on the Eagles, who are WynnBet’s second-largest liability Sunday. The total is down to 45 from a 47 opener, with 56% of bets on the Over, but 85% of money on the Under.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Philadelphia hasn’t moved off -3.5 at Caesars, where point-spread tickets and dollars are running 3/1 on the Eagles. The total dipped from 46.5 to 45.5 by this morning.
UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Philadelphia has won three of four SU and ATS, scoring 30 or more in each of those victories. In Week 11, the Eagles (5-6 SU, 6-5 ATS) built a 33-7 lead against New Orleans en route to a 40-29 victory as a 3-point home chalk. New York (3-6 SU, 5-4 ATS) plays in the Week 11 Monday nighter at Tampa Bay.
The line and total were unchanged tonight.
Falcons at Jaguars
Opening line: Pick, Over/Under 48
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SATURDAY: On Wednesday, WynnBet moved Atlanta from -1 to -2, and the number remains -2 tonight. Ticket count is beyond 2/1 and money beyond 7/1 on the Falcons. The total was at 46.5 all week before inching down to 46 this afternoon. Ticket count is 4/1 and money 6/1 on the Under.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Caesars Sportsbook is out to Atlanta -2.5 in a game that opened a pick ’em. It’s all Falcons to this point, at 85% of spread bets and 92% of spread money. The total was down to 46 by lunch hour today after opening 47.5.
UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: These two bottom-feeders combined for 10 points in Week 11 — and Jacksonville scored all of them. The Jaguars (2-8 SU, 4-6 ATS) lost to San Francisco 30-10 catching 6.5 points at home, while Atlanta (4-6 SU and ATS) got dumped 25-0 by New England as a 6.5-point home underdog in the Thursday night game.
The line was stable Sunday night at The SuperBook, while the total dipped to 47.
Panthers at Dolphins
Opening line: Dolphins -1.5, Over/Under 43
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SATURDAY: This line jumped the fence at WynnBet, opening Miami -1 and sitting at Carolina -1.5 since Tuesday afternoon. Ticket count is 3/1-plus and money 4/1 on the Panthers. The total has been pinned to 41.5 all week, despite tickets 2/1 and dollars 3/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: In another game that opened pick ’em at Caesars, Carolina on Monday night reached -1.5 and is still there now. Ticket count is 4/1 and money well beyond 9/1 on the Panthers so far. The total is down a tick, from 43 to 42.5.
UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Miami has followed a seven-game losing streak (1-5-1 ATS) with three consecutive wins and covers. In Week 11, the Dolphins (4-7 SU, 5-5-1 ATS) beat the New York Jets 24-17 giving 3.5 points on the road. Cam Newton and Carolina (5-6 SU and ATS) lost to Washington 27-21 as a 3-point home fave.
This contest quickly dropped to pick ’em tonight at The SuperBook, and the total fell to 42.5.
Chargers at Broncos
Opening line: Chargers -1.5, Over/Under 48.5
UPDATE 1:15 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Caesars Sportsbook spent most of the week at Los Angeles -2.5, then moved to -3 this morning. Ticket count is 2/1 Chargers, but money is running dead even on the spread. The total opened at 47 and spent most of the week at 47.5, with 54% of tickets on the Under/55% of money on the Over.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Los Angeles landed on WynnBet’s NFL Week 12 odds board at -2.5 and spent pretty much all week at -3. Ticket count is 3/1 Chargers, but money is almost dead even. The total nudged from 47 to 47.5 Tuesday and hasn’t moved since, with 53% of bets on the Under/66% of money on the Over.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The line at Caesars Sportsbook is stable at Los Angeles -2.5, despite the Chargers taking 83% of early tickets and 96% of early dollars. The total is up a notch, from 47 to 47.5.
UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Los Angeles squandered a 17-point fourth-quarter lead against the Steelers in the Week 11 Sunday nighter but pulled out a 41-37 victory. However, the Chargers (6-4 SU, 5-5 ATS) failed to cash as a 6.5-point home favorite, falling to 1-4 ATS in their last five. Denver (5-5 SU and ATS) was on bye in Week 11.
The Chargers-Broncos line came off the board once the Steelers-Chargers game kicked off Sunday night. There was no movement at that point, and the game will go back up Monday morning.
Vikings at 49ers
Opening line: 49ers -2.5, Over/Under 48.5
UPDATE 1:15 P.M. ET SUNDAY: San Francisco opened as a 2.5-point favorite at DraftKings, got to -3.5 Tuesday, spent much of the past few days at -3 (-120), then returned to -3.5 today. Interestingly, though, tickets are 2/1-plus and money exactly 2/1 on Minnesota.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SATURDAY: WynnBet hasn’t moved off San Francisco -3 all week, currently at a price of -120. The Vikings are nabbing 65% of bets, while the 49ers are drawing 55% of dollars. The total is nailed to 49, with 53% of bets on the Over/74% of money on the Under.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: San Francisco opened as a 2.5-point chalk at Caesars and has spent much of the week at -3. Despite that line move, it’s been two-way action on the spread, with 62% of tickets and 52% of cash on the 49ers. The total opened at 48.5, spent a day at 48, and went back to 48.5 this afternoon.
UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Both these teams got much-needed Week 11 victories to remain in the playoff hunt. Minnesota’s was the more impressive, with the Vikings (5-5 SU, 6-4 ATS) edging Green Bay 34-31 as 1-point home ‘dogs. San Francisco (5-5 SU, 4-6 ATS) coasted past Jacksonville 30-10 as a 6.5-point road chalk.
This line initially dipped to 49ers -2, then rebounded to the -2.5 opener late tonight.
Bears at Lions
Opening line: Bears -3.5, Over/Under 43.5
UPDATE 3 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The appetizer for the three-game Thanksgiving football feast has seen the line bounce around quite a bit. DraftKings opened at Chicago -3.5, spent a few hours Monday at -4, then made its way to -2.5 for a few minutes Tuesday night. The Bears are now -3 (even-money) while taking 57% of both tickets and money. The total dipped from 43 to 41.5, currently the lowest on the Week 12 docket, with 65% of bets/72% of money on the Under.
UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Chicago (3-7 SU, 4-6 ATS) gave Baltimore a test in Week 11, with the Ravens minus QB Lamar Jackson. But the Bears yielded a final-minute TD in a 16-13 home loss as a 1-point home pup. Chicago has now dropped five in a row (1-4 ATS).
Meanwhile, Detroit (0-9-1 SU, 6-4 ATS) hung around at Cleveland but remained winless, falling 13-10. However, the Lions did cash as a hefty 13.5-point ‘dog, the first time all season they have covered the spread in consecutive games.
The line was stable tonight at The SuperBook, but the total dropped 1.5 points to 42.
Raiders at Cowboys
Opening line: Cowboys -7.5, Over/Under 50
UPDATE 12:45 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Less than three hours before kickoff, Dallas is a 7.5-point favorite at WynnBet, up from the -7 opener. The Cowboys are attracting 72% of spread bets and 60% of spread dollars. The total is currently 50.5 on two-way play, with 53% of bets/58% of money on the Over.
UPDATE 3 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Dallas dipped from -7 to -6.5 for a couple of hours late Sunday/early Monday, then stretched to -7.5 a couple of times at DraftKings. The Cowboys are currently -7.5 (even) while garnering 61% of spread tickets/78% of spread money. The total opened at 51.5, bottomed out at 50 on Monday, and is now 51.5 again, with 53% of bets/55% of money on the Under.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: After a 6-1 SU start in which it cashed in every game, Dallas (7-3 SU, 8-2 ATS) has now dropped two of three both SU and ATS. The Cowboys left their offense at home in Week 11, failing to score a touchdown in a 19-9 loss at Kansas City as a 2.5-point underdog.
Getting to host Las Vegas (5-5 SU, 4-6 ATS) on a short week might just be the Thanksgiving treat Dallas needs. The Raiders got rolled by Cincinnati 32-13 catching 2 points at home, their third consecutive SU and ATS setback.
Las Vegas was catching more than a touchdown on The SuperBook’s opening line despite the fact the Cowboys won’t have star WR Amari Cooper for a second straight (positive COVID-19 test). Also, fellow WR CeeDee Lamb is in concussion protocol after leaving the Chiefs game early in the second half.
“We had this game Cowboys -7 [on the look-ahead line] and actually raised it by half a point, despite the Cowboys’ loss today and the issues Dallas has right now at wide receiver,” Murray said. “The Raiders don’t look anything like the team they were at the start of the season. I see a lot of Dallas moneyline parlays and teasers in our future.”
That said, The SuperBook’s first move on this game was down to Cowboys -7, while the total rose to 50.5.
Bills at Saints
Opening line: Bills -4.5, Over/Under 47
UPDATE 12:45 P.M. ET THURSDAY: The Thanksgiving Day nightcap opened Buffalo -4 at WynnBet and is up to Buffalo -6.5. Ticket count and money are both running 5/1 on the Bills. The total fell from 47.5 to 45, with 69% of tickets on the Over/63% of money on the Under.
UPDATE 11 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: DraftKings pegged Buffalo a 4.5-point favorite Sunday night, fell to -4 early Tuesday, then climbed to -6.5 by early today, where it remained late Wednesday night. Not unexpectedly based on the line move, ticket count is 4/1 and money is beyond 5/1 on Buffalo. The total fell from 47.5 to 44.5 by early today, then poked up to 46 before settling at 45 late Wednesday. The Over is getting 62% of tickets/54% of cash.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Buffalo, which a few weeks ago was actually the Super Bowl favorite, has lost three of five and doesn’t even lead the AFC East anymore. In Week 11, the Bills (6-4 SU, 5-4-1 ATS) took the field against Indianapolis as a 7-point home favorite and got housed 41-15.
New Orleans enters this Thanksgiving night clash at .500 thanks to an ongoing three-game skid, with its Week 8 upset of Tampa Bay long forgotten. In Week 11, the Saints (5-5 SU and ATS) fell to Philadelphia 40-29 as 3-point road pups.
“We think the real number on this game is more like Bills -3.5, but you have to consider the scheduling spot,” Murray said. “Bills -4.5 is more of a booking number, knowing how heavily the public will back Buffalo. The Bills need this win, and this game will have a ton of eyeballs on it on Thanksgiving night. And I don’t think many of those people will be looking to bet on Trevor Siemian.”
Indeed, the Saints’ QB doesn’t exactly make you want to reach for your wallet. However, it should be noted that that New Orleans has alternated ATS wins and losses in every game this season. The spread in this one was unchanged tonight, while the total nudged down to 46.5 at The SuperBook.