NFL Week 7 Odds: Sharp Bets Land On Saints And Seahawks

UPDATE 9 P.M. ET SATURDAY: WynnBet opened New Orleans at -3 (-120) for the Monday nighter and is now at -4.5. Ticket count is beyond 2/1 and money more than 3/1 on the road favorite Saints. The total dipped from 44 to 42.5, with 58% of bets and practically all the money, 92%, on the Under. This is another game in which weather might be a factor.

UPDATE 3 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: New Orleans moved from -3.5 to -5.5 by lunch hour Monday, then receded to -4.5 at DraftKings . Ticket count in this Week 8 Monday night game is close, with 54% going to the Saints, but the money edge is more significant, at 75% on the Saints. The total dipped from 44 to 43 by Monday night, with 75% of bets on the Over/69% of money on the Under. Five of the first six Monday Night Football games have gone Over.

UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Seattle (2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS) performed reasonably well in the Week 6 Sunday nighter, despite not having QB Russell Wilson (finger surgery). The Seahawks pushed Pittsburgh to overtime, losing 23-20 but covering as 5.5-point road pups. New Orleans (3-2 SU and ATS) will be well-rested for this road trip, coming off its bye week.

There was no early movement on the spread or total for the Week 7 Monday night game. Worth noting: Not including its season-opening neutral-site victory over Green Bay, New Orleans is 2-1 SU and ATS on the road while the Seahawks are 0-2 SU and ATS at home.

“We opened Saints -3.5 and turned it off when the Sunday night game kicked,” Murray said, noting The SuperBook will put Saints-Seahawks back up Monday morning. “Not much discussion on this one. We had the Saints -3.5 going into the weekend. The Saints are on a bye, and the Seahawks are playing in the night game. On Monday, turn it back on, see if anyone wants it.”

UPDATE 8:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: In arguably the top game this week, WynnBet opened Kansas City -3.5 and advanced to -5. But there’s two-way play, with Tennessee taking 62% of tickets and K.C. netting 55% of money. The total moved from 56 to 57, with 67% of bets/82% of cash on the Over.

UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The Chiefs opened -4 at DraftKings and are now out to 5.5-point road favorites, despite the Titans’ big 31-24 home win over the Bills on Monday night. Recall that Buffalo went to Kansas City two weekends ago and scorched the Chiefs 38-20. Point-spread ticket count and money are both running just beyond 2/1 on the Chiefs. The total of 57.5, up from 56.5, is the highest on the Week 7 board by several points. The Over is taking 61% of early tickets and 79% of early dollars.

UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Kansas City (3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS) halted its 1-3 SU and ATS skid with a 31-13 victory at Washington, pulling away late to cover as a 6-point favorite. Tennessee (3-2 SU and ATS) still has Week 6 work remaining, as it hosts Buffalo in the Monday night game.

“We opened the Chiefs -4 and haven’t moved the line,” Murray said Sunday night. “This will be one of our biggest decisions of the week. The public will be betting the Chiefs with both hands at this number – especially if the Titans lose to the Bills on Monday night. The Chiefs actually shut out Washington in the second half today, but next week, they will face an offense that actually has a pulse.

“I could see the wiseguys backing the Titans if this number drifts any higher.”

The total also was stable on Sunday night.

UPDATE 8:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: The Ravens are down a tick from -6.5 to -6 at WynnBet, where the Bengals are certainly getting some respect. Baltimore is drawing 61% of spread bets and 55% of spread dollars. The total is down a point to 46.5, although the Over is landing 85% of bets/882% of money.

UPDATE 3 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Baltimore opened as a 6.5-point favorite at DraftKings, briefly hit -7 Monday morning, dropped up -6 Tuesday morning and is now back to -6.5. The Ravens are netting 62% of spread tickets and 72% of spread money. The total is down to 47, although tickets and money are about 4/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Anybody who had Cincinnati at 4-2 SU through six weeks and playing in a game for first place in the AFC North, go collect your prize. The Bengals (3-3 ATS) belted the Lions 34-11 in Week 6, cashing as 3.5-point road favorites.

But Cincinnati’s path forward must go through surging Baltimore (5-1 SU, 3-3 ATS). The Ravens posted their fifth straight win with an impressive 34-6 thumping of the Chargers as 3-point home favorites.

“We haven’t moved off the opener of -6.5,” Murray said. “Our room was split between -6.5 and -7, but we went with the lower number, because we’ve been very impressed with the Bengals so far this season. This should be one of the best games of the weekend, but it won’t get the betting attention that the Chiefs game will.”

The total remained at 47.5 Sunday night.

UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Cleveland hit DraftKings’ odds board as a 5.5-point chalk Sunday night, even with the knowledge that quarterback Baker Mayfield had a dislocated left shoulder. By Tuesday, the line had made a couple of trips to -4. Then came this morning’s news that Mayfield would sit and Case Keenum would start in the Thursday night game.

In addition, the Browns won’t have running backs Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt, as both are dealing with calf injuries. DraftKings is now down to Browns -2, with 62% of tickets and 54% of cash on Cleveland. The total is down to 41.5 from a 44 opener, with 60% of tickets and money on the Over.

UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Week 6 brought insult and injury for Cleveland (3-3 SU and ATS). The Browns got dumped 37-14 as a 3-point home chalk against Arizona and saw star QB Baker Mayfield dislocate his left shoulder in the process. Making matters worse: Cleveland faces a quick turnaround, as this matchup against Denver is the Week 7 Thursday nighter.

The Broncos (3-3 SU and ATS) enter off a 34-24 home loss laying 5 points against Las Vegas.

“We opened Cleveland -6, but the market has come down a little on this game with a number of question marks on the Cleveland offense, most notably Baker Mayfield,” Murray said. “We will be watching the injury report closely in the days leading up to that game. Although I don’t think too many people are in a rush to bet on Denver right now.”

The SuperBook dipped to Browns -5 about an hour after posting Sunday night, while the total ticked up to 44.

UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: This line bounced around quite a bit at DraftKings, from San Francisco -4 to -4.5 to -3.5, then back to -4.5, where it spent most of the week. Today, however, it’s back down to 49ers -3.5, with the Colts attracting 70% of spread tickets and 68% of spread dollars. The total initially went from 44.5 to 45, but it’s been in decline since, now at 41.5. Weather is expected to be an issue tonight, and although the Over is getting 80% of tickets, the Under is seeing 63% of money.

UPDATE 8:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: San Francisco opened as a 4.5-point chalk at WynnBet and currently sits at -4. Indianapolis is seeing 59% of spread tickets and 66% of spread money. The total is down 2 points to 43 — in part due to potentially foul Sunday night weather — with the Over taking 61% of tickets/63% of cash.

UPDATE 3 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The Week 8 Sunday night tilt saw some up-and-down early in the week at DraftKings. San Francisco opened -5, quickly dipped to -4 Sunday night on the way to -3.5, and is now at -4.5. Underdog Indianapolis is actually taking 60% of early bets, while money is running almost dead even.

The total moved from 44.5 to 46 by Monday, then backed up to 43.5 and is now 44 on interesting splits: 81% of bets on the Over, 72% of money on the Under. Worth nothing: The Over is 4-1-1 in Sunday Night Football action this season.

UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: After losing its first three games, Indianapolis has won two of three and cashed in all three outings. The Colts (2-4 SU, 4-2 ATS) went off as the biggest favorite on the Week 6 board and easily got the money, flattening Houston 31-3 as hefty 11.5-point chalk.

San Francisco (2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS) should be well-rested off a bye week and will perhaps see QB Jimmy Garoppolo return from a calf injury. The Niners are 0-for-2 at home to start the season, falling to the Packers and Seahawks as a short favorite in each contest.

“We opened 49ers -4.5 but have moved it down to -4,” Murray said Sunday night. “We’ve seen sharp support for the Colts several times in the last few weeks. They bet the Colts against the Dolphins [in Week 4], and they bet the Colts today against the Texans. We even saw a respected player putting in futures bets on the Colts this afternoon. They are still live in that AFC South, despite the 1-4 start.”

The total didn’t move Sunday night.

UPDATE 8:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: WynnBet dropped Tampa Bay from -13 to -12, and the betting splits bear out that move. The Bucs are netting just 55% of spread tickets, while the Bears are nabbing 68% of spread dollars. The total is down a point, as well, from 48 to 47, with 66% of tickets on the Under/55% of money on the Over.

UPDATE 3 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Tampa Bay went up as 12.5-point fave Sunday night at DraftKings, peaked at -13.5, bottomed out at -12, and is now back to -12.5. The Bucs are drawing 62% of spread bets and 64% of spread cash. The total is down to 47 from a 49 opener, with 59% of bets on the Under but 60% of cash on the Over.

UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Defending Super Bowl champion Tampa Bay (5-1 SU, 2-4 ATS) is coming off a mini-bye, having played in the Week 6 Thursday nighter. The Buccaneers let a 28-7 lead fade away at Philadelphia but held on for a 28-22 victory laying 7 points. Chicago (3-3 SU and ATS) fell to Green Bay 24-14 catching 5.5 points at home.

“We’ll need the Bears here. The afternoon games next Sunday are brutal — three huge favorites and the Eagles-Raiders game,” Murray said, alluding to the Cardinals and Rams joining the Bucs as heavy chalk. “Nothing to report so far on Bears-Bucs. We just wanted to open it to the high side because we know what’s coming, and these big favorites keep covering.”

To Murray’s point: With the Colts’ spread-cover against Houston in Week 6, double-digit favorites are off to an 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS start in 2021.

The spread and total on Bears-Bucs didn’t move Sunday night.

8:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: The Raiders opened the week at -3 and currently sit -3 (even) at WynnBet, with a little premium on the Eagles, who are +3 (-120). Las Vegas is landing 66% of tickets and 56% of money. The total is at 48.5 from a 48 opener, with 62% of tickets/75% of money on the Over.

UPDATE 3 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Las Vegas made a couple of trips from -3 to -3.5 at DraftKings and is currently at the -3 opener. The Raiders are seeing 57% of early bets and 59% of early dollars on the spread. The total initially dipped from 48 to 47.5, then rose to 49.5. But it’s two-way action, with 56% of bets on the Over and 56% of money on the Under.

UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Las Vegas successfully navigated a week that began with coach Jon Gruden’s sudden departure. The Raiders (4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS) went to Denver as 5-point underdogs and exited with a 34-24 victory. Meanwhile, Philadelphia (2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS) fell to Tampa Bay 28-22, but cashed as a 7-point home pup in the Thursday night game.

“We opened Raiders -3 and are still there,” Murray said. “There was some discussion surrounding this game, with numbers in the room ranging from Raiders -1.5 to Raiders -5.5. The Eagles will have three extra days off to prepare for this game. Definitely the best afternoon game. Not much competition there.”

There was no early movement on the total, either.

UPDATE 3 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Carolina has been a fairly stable 3-point chalk this week at DraftKings, save for a few hours at -2.5. The Panthers are getting plenty of early support, at 88% of tickets and money on the spread. The total fell from 44 to 43 by Monday afternoon, with tickets 2/1 on the Over and money 3/1 on the Under.

UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: After getting out of the gate 3-0 SU and ATS, Carolina has dumped its next three to stand at a middling 3-3 SU and ATS. In Week 6, the Panthers rallied to force overtime against Minnesota, but ultimately lost 34-28 as 2.5-point home pups.

New York (1-5 SU, 2-4 ATS) actually led the Rams 3-0 after the first quarter in Week 6. But the Giants gave up the next 38 points, including 28 in the second quarter, in a 38-11 loss as a 7.5-point home underdog. New York is now 0-3 SU and ATS at home.

The line stuck at 3 Sunday night, but the juice adjusted to Panthers -3 (even)/Giants +3 (-120). The total didn’t move.

UPDATE 9 P.M. ET SATURDAY: WynnBet dropped the Packers from -9.5 to -7.5 over the course of the week, but you wouldn’t know it from the betting splits. Green Bay is grabbing 89% of spread bets and 82% of spread money. In fact, the Packers are WynnBet’s top Week 7 liability at the moment.

“We opened -9.5, anticipating sharp money on the Football Team,” WynnBet junior trader Patrick Wall said. “We took a sharp bet at +8 that sent us to +7.5.”

The total fell from 49 to 48, with 55% of bets on the Over and 64% of money on the Under.

UPDATE 3 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Green Bay moved from -10 to -10.5 within minutes Sunday night at DraftKings but fell back to -8.5 Monday morning. Then the number bounced to -9.5 Tuesday morning, followed by another dip to -8 earlier today. All that noted, ticket count is 3/1 and money 4/1 on the Packers. The total went from 49.5 to 48.5 by Monday, though tickets are now 2/1 and money 3/1-plus on the Over.

UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Since laying a Week 1 egg against New Orleans, Green Bay (5-1 SU and ATS) is a perfect 5-0 SU and ATS. The Packers dispatched the Bears 24-14 giving 5.5 points on the road in Week 6. Washington (2-3 SU, 1-5 ATS) led Kansas City 13-10 at halftime, but couldn’t keep up in a 31-13 loss getting 6 points. The Football Team now sports the NFL’s worst point-spread mark.

The SuperBook moved the Packers to -10 shortly after posting this game, while the total remained at 49.

UPDATE 3 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: This contest opened a pick ’em at DraftKings and moved to Atlanta -2.5 by Monday night. That’s perhaps partly aided by Miami not getting a bye following last week’s game in London, where it lost to previously winless Jacksonville. The Falcons are taking 62% of bets and 61% of money early on. The total ticked from 48 to 47.5 Monday, with 72% of bets on the Under/70% of cash on the Over.

UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Miami (1-5 SU, 2-4 ATS) is on a five-game slide, giving Jacksonville its first win in the process. The Dolphins allowed two late field goals in a 23-20 setback to the Jags as 1.5-point neutral-site faves in London. Atlanta (2-3 SU and ATS) is coming off its bye week.

Neither the spread nor the total moved Sunday night at The SuperBook.

UPDATE 4:45 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: DraftKings bounced between Patriots -6.5 and -7 a few times early in the week and is at -7 this afternoon. New England has won 19 of the last 21 meetings against the Jets—including the last 11 in a row—so it’s no surprise that the spread action has been all Patriots, who are taking at 88% of early bets and 96% of early dollars. The total dipped from 43 to 42, then returned to 43 earlier this afternoon, with 52% of bets/57% of dollars on the Under.

UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: New England (2-4 SU and ATS) had a wild and unsatisfying ending against Dallas in Week 6. The Patriots gave up a late pick-six to fall behind 26-21, but immediately rebounded with a 75-yard Mac Jones-to-Kendrick Bourne TD pass. A successful 2-point conversion put New England up 29-26, but Dallas then drove for a game-tying field goal to force overtime.

After punting on the first possession of overtime, the Pats then gave up a TD to lose 35-29 as 3.5-point home ‘dogs. New York (1-4 SU and ATS) had a bye in Week 6.

The SuperBook moved New England to -7 later Sunday evening, while the total was stable.

UPDATE 9 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Los Angeles landed on WynnBet’s board at -16 and is now -15.5, with big ‘dog Detroit actually getting a little attention. The Lions are landing 71% of spread tickets, while the Rams are netting a very modest majority of spread money at 53%. The total is at 50.5 from a 49.5 opener, with 78% of tickets/93% of money on the Over.

UPDATE 4:45 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The Rams hit DraftKings’ odds board as hefty 14.5-point faves and advanced to -15.5 late Sunday night before backing up and stabilizing at the opener Monday night. Los Angeles is attracting 71% of spread bets and a healthy 91% of spread money thus far. The total is up to 51 from DK’s 49.5 opener, with the Over seeing a relatively modest 54% of bets/62% of money.

UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Los Angeles (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS) got off to a slow start against the New York Giants, trailing 3-0 after the first quarter. Then the Rams scored the next 38 points, including 28 in the second quarter of a 38-11 beatdown as 7.5-point road favorites. Detroit (0-6 SU, 3-3 ATS) was on the losing end of a similar score, falling 34-11 to visiting Cincinnati as a 3.5-point home underdog.

This matchup pits Rams QB Matt Stafford and Lions QB Jared Goff against their former teams. The SuperBook shortened the Rams a tick to -15 Sunday night, while the total was stable at 50.

UPDATE 9 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Arizona is up a tick from -17.5 to -18 at WynnBet, where it’s two-way action on a giant point spread. The Texans are drawing 54% of tickets and the Cardinals 54% of cash. The total dipped from 48 to 47.5 tonight, with 56% of tickets on the Over and 66% of money on the Under.

UPDATE 4:45 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Arizona shifted from -17 to -16.5, then rose to -17.5 over the past three days at DraftKings. Despite the huge line, the Cardinals are taking 70% of bets and 66% of money. The total moved from 48 to 47 to 47.5, with ticket count 2/1 on the Over, but money 3/1 on the Under.

UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Another Sunday afternoon game, another giant point spread. But it’s merited, with unbeaten Arizona (6-0 SU, 5-1 ATS) making a powerful statement in a Week 6 non-conference clash. Without head coach Kliff Kingsbury (positive COVID-19 test) the Cardinals went off as 3-point underdogs at Cleveland and belted the Browns 37-14.

Houston (1-5 SU, 3-3 ATS) got pounded by Indianapolis 31-3 as an 11.5-point road ‘dog.

There was no movement on the line or total Sunday night.