There should be fireworks in a Monday Night Football battle between the Bengals and Bills. Both teams have pass-happy offenses led by elite quarterbacks. So, some receiving overs are appealing. However, the stars won’t be the only players to shine in this game, making a few of the ancillary players’ props exciting. Let’s dive into our top three Bengals vs. Bills player props below.
Bengals vs. Bills Player Props: MNF Week 17
For a full list of Bengals vs. Bills player props and odds, check out our dedicated page for NFL player props.
Tyler Boyd Over 34.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Tyler Boyd was once a more integral part of Cincinnati’s offense. However, Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins have pushed past him in the pass-catching hierarchy. Nevertheless, the veteran slot wideout had more than 35.5 receiving yards in eight of 14 games he didn’t leave early with an injury.
According to Pro-Football-Reference, Boyd averages 47.4 receiving yards per game this year. Boyd also has a median outcome of 40 receiving yards in his healthy games. So, even having a standard game should get him over his total of 34.5 receiving yards.
However, this game has shootout potential, and the matchup is outstanding. First, according to Football Outsiders, the Bills have allowed 53.2 receiving yards per game to other wide receivers (wideouts they didn’t identify as a team’s No. 1 or No. 2 wide receiver). Second, per The 33rd Team and data from Sports Info Solutions, receivers who’ve aligned in the slot against the Bills since Week 10 have averaged 102.7 receiving yards per game. Justin Jefferson (106 receiving yards), Amari Cooper (58), Amon-Ra St. Brown (114), Garrett Wilson (68), Elijah Moore (48), and Jaylen Waddle (67) each had more than 34.5 receiving yards against the Bills when aligned in the slot.
No one will confuse Boyd with some of the wideouts who’ve recently barbecued the Bills from the slot, but he’s not a slouch. Further, Boyd should be busy in Cincinnati’s pass-heavy attack. According to numberFire, the Bengals have attempted only 81 rushes by non-quarterbacks and 154 passes in neutral game scripts since their bye in Week 10. As a result, I love Boyd’s chances to exceed 34.5 receiving yards in a likely shootout.
Where to bet: Tyler Boyd Over 34.5 Receiving Yards | -114 at FanDuel Sportsbook
Dawson Knox Over 37.5 Receiving Yards (-108)
The Bills, like the Bengals, take to the air frequently. Since Week 10, they’ve attempted 183 passes and 100 rushes by non-quarterbacks in neutral game scripts. Stefon Diggs is the top dog in Buffalo’s passing attack, but it’s a revolving door of contributors behind him.
Dawson Knox has had his number occasionally called this season. Since Week 10, he’s had a 15.1% Target Share, 26 receptions, and 321 receiving yards. Knox has also come on strong lately. According to Pro Football Focus (PFF), he was third on the Bills in routes (89) and first in targets (20), receptions (13), and receiving yards (177) in Buffalo’s previous three games. The fourth-year pro had more than 37.5 receiving yards in his previous three games and five of his last seven.
Knox should enjoy the matchup tonight, too. Since Week 11, the Bengals have allowed 79 receiving yards to Pat Freiermuth in Week 11, 35 to Chig Okonkwo and 30 to Austin Hooper in Week 12, 56 to Travis Kelce in Week 13, 59 to David Njoku in Week 14, and 25 to Cameron Brate and 20 to Cade Otton in Week 15. Knox’s stellar production lately, coupled with Cinci’s susceptibility to getting beaten up by tight ends, are grounds for betting Knox’s over for 37.5 receiving yards.
Where to bet: Dawson Knox Over 37.5 Receiving Yards | -108 at Caesars Sportsbook
Isaiah McKenzie Over 23.5 Receiving Yards (-104)
Isaiah McKenzie is another ancillary piece of Buffalo’s revolving cast of pass-catchers behind Diggs. The slot wideout hasn’t consistently contributed and posted a bagel in the box score last week. Still, McKenzie’s had more than 23.5 receiving yards in three of his last five games and averages 28.9 receiving yards this season. Unfortunately, McKenzie’s median outcome is 21 receiving yards.
McKenzie has a superb matchup for playing well tonight, though. Cincinnati’s allowed an average of 103.5 receiving yards per game to wide receivers aligned in the slot in their previous six games. Additionally, nine receivers had more than 23.5 receiving yards when in the slot against the Bengals during that stretch, including George Pickens (46 yards), Gunner Olszewski (39), Treylon Burks (66), Nick Westbrook-Ikhine (58), Marquez Valdes-Scantling (29), Chris Godwin (76), Mike Evans (71), Jakobi Meyers (74), and Kendrick Bourne (38). The previously listed wideouts were an eclectic group and not merely superstars. So, McKenzie can best 23.5 receiving yards, and I think he will.
Where to bet: Isaiah McKenzie Over 23.5 Receiving Yards | -104 at Caesars Sportsbook