If you’re looking for Chiefs vs. Eagles predictions, you’re in the right place!
Week 1 is finally in the books, and we’re in for a real treat this coming Sunday.
Kansas City is coming off a Week 1 loss to the Chargers, while the Eagles ousted the Cowboys after a lengthy weather delay. Who will come out on top in this Super Bowl rematch?
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Chiefs vs Eagles Predictions: Player Props and Preview
Matt LaMarca is circling two players to bounce back in big ways during this 4 p.m. EST game of the week.
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Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards – Higher Than 34.5
The Chiefs’ running game is a major question mark at the moment. Pacheco operated as the team’s starting running back before getting injured last season, but he didn’t appear to be the same player when he returned.
He averaged just 3.1 yards per attempt in his four starts to end the regular season, and he followed that up with a 2.8 mark in the postseason.
That stands out as a clear outlier for Pacheco compared to what he’s done the rest of his career. He averaged 4.9 yards per carry as a rookie and 4.6 in his second season.
Ultimately, now that he’s presumably fully recovered from his injury, he should go back to being a more efficient runner.
Sure enough, we saw exactly that in Week 1. He averaged 5.0 yards per carry vs. the Chargers, but his volume was extremely disappointing.
He had just five carries, which was the exact same number as Kareem Hunt. That makes Pacheco a bit risky heading into Week 2, especially against a potentially stout Eagles’ defense.
Still, there are reasons to believe in better days for Pacheco moving forward. He was clearly done in by the game script in Week 1.
The Chiefs were trailing throughout, which put them into plenty of passing situations. Hunt is the Chiefs’ go-to pass-catching RB, so he saw a boost in playing time.
There’s no guarantee the Chiefs are more competitive vs. the Eagles, but this is still an offense led by Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid.
They’ve been one of the best teams in football for a long time, so it’s way too early to abandon ship. I have Pacheco projected for double-digit carries in this contest, and if he reaches that threshold, he should be able to breeze past 34.5 yards.
Where to play: Isiah Pacheco Higher Than 34.5 Rushing Yards | Underdog
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A.J. Brown Receptions – Higher Than 4.5
Brown was basically invisible in the Eagles’ first game of the year. He saw just one target, and it didn’t come until late in the ball game. He ultimately finished with just one catch for eight yards, making him one of the biggest disappointments on the Week 1 slate.
That makes this a prime “squeaky wheel” spot for Brown. He’s the prototypical alpha receiver, meaning he needs to get fed to be happy. Brown has had poor showings with the Eagles in the past, and they typically make a concerted effort to get him the ball the following week.
He followed up his worst performance last year with a five-catch, 109-yard performance vs. the Cowboys, and he had at least five receptions in 10 of his 13 regular-season games overall.
Brown has a wider range of outcomes than most true No. 1 receivers, largely due to the Eagles’ propensity for running the football. However, when they do take to the air, Brown is typically on the receiving end.
He had a massive 33% target share last year, which was second only to Malik Nabers. He was at just 5% in Week 1, so he has significant room for growth vs. the Chiefs. Ultimately, this feels like an elite buy-low opportunity.
Where to play: A.J. Brown Higher Than 4.5 Receptions | Underdog
