January 24th Update
Final Score & Game Recap
The San Antonio Spurs defeated the Indiana Pacers 140-110 at Accor Arena in Paris, breaking open a tight game with a 45-23 third quarter. Indiana had won eight of its last nine, but the loss dropped the Pacers to 24-20 while boosting San Antonio to 20-22.
Player Performance Analysis
Victor Wembanyama starred in his home country, posting 30 points, 11 rebounds, six assists, and five blocks. His all-around brilliance anchored the Spurs on both ends and overshadowed Bennedict Mathurin’s 24-point effort. Wembanyama also tied Tim Duncan for the second-most 30-10-5-5 performances in franchise history, underscoring his key role in San Antonio’s push back toward .500.
January 23rd Update
How Many Points Will Wemby Score Tonight? – Model-Based Projections
Our projection predicts Victor Wembanyama will log 26 points, 11 rebounds, and 4 assists in Thursday’s matchup.
Matchup Overview
Thursday’s showdown tips off at 2 p.m. EST (8 p.m. local time) from Accor Arena in Paris, offering a highly anticipated homecoming for Wembanyama, who was born in the City of Light. While the Spurs (19-22) are on a three-game losing skid and carry a road record of 7-12 with a point differential of -1, the Pacers (24-19) have soared into fifth in the East by winning eight of their last nine and holding a 12-7 mark on their home floor this season. Even so, this neutral site clash is expected to favor the Spurs in the stands, as local fans have closely followed Wembanyama’s journey from a top draft pick to a franchise centerpiece. San Antonio will need to tighten up on defense, which ranks 24th in the league, after allowing 128 or more in two straight outings, especially with Indiana’s offense averaging 117.2 points over its last nine games.
Player Performance This Seaso
Although the Spurs remain stuck in a slump, Wembanyama has continued to impress, leading the team with 24.4 points and 10.8 rebounds per game. He showcased his all-around skill set on Sunday by tallying 21 points and 10 boards despite the 128-107 defeat. Returning to France, where he grew into the league’s top draft prospect, gives Wembanyama a prime opportunity to break out of this losing streak and energize San Antonio as they vie for a crucial road victory.
January 20th Update
Final Score & Game Recap
In Miami’s 128-107 victory over San Antonio, the Heat broke open the game with an 11-0 run late in the second quarter, turning a narrow contest into a double-digit lead. The Spurs trailed by just five at halftime, but Miami’s 25-8 burst early in the third sealed San Antonio’s fate, extending their losing streak to three.
Player Performance Analysis
Despite the defeat, Victor Wembanyama contributed 21 points, chipping in crucial baskets while continuing his usual presence inside with Jeremy Sochan still sidelined. Although he flashed his scoring ability, Wembanyama’s efforts weren’t enough to halt the slump, underscoring San Antonio’s reliance on him for both offense and interior defense.
January 19th – Game Day Preview
Model-Based Projections
Our model projects Victor Wembanyama to deliver around 27 points, 12 rebounds, and 3 assists in Sunday’s matchup.
Matchup Overview & Key Injuries
The Miami Heat (20-20) host the San Antonio Spurs (19-21) at Kaseya Center as both teams look to break recent losing spells. Miami is on a three-game slide, coming off a 133-113 setback to Denver despite getting Jimmy Butler back from suspension. San Antonio has lost five of its last six, most recently enduring consecutive blowouts by Memphis. Forward Jeremy Sochan (back) remains out for the Spurs, placing additional frontcourt pressure on Wembanyama.
Player Performance This Season
Wembanyama has been a dominant presence, topping 23 points in six consecutive outings and ranking first in the NBA at 4.1 blocks per game. Despite some mid-January fatigue, he remains the Spurs’ linchpin, averaging 24.5 points and 10.8 rebounds. With San Antonio’s defense struggling, his interior impact on both ends could be the deciding factor against a Heat squad hungry to shake off their recent slump.
January 18th – Game Recap & Info
Final Score & Game Recap
In a challenging home matchup, the Spurs fell 140-112 to Memphis on Friday, marking San Antonio’s largest loss of the season. The Grizzlies seized control in the third quarter with a 40-22 surge and closed the period on an 18-2 run, fueled by Santi Aldama’s career-high 29 points and Desmond Bane’s 22-point, 14-assist outing.
Player Performance Analysis
Despite the defeat, Victor Wembanyama delivered 19 points, 12 rebounds, six blocks, and one steal in 31 minutes, showcasing his shot-blocking presence. He converted 8 of 19 from the floor and drained three three-pointers, though turnovers hindered a comeback. Still, his strong production remains a bright spot in the Spurs’ developing rotation.
January 17th Update
Matchup Overview & Key Injuries
The San Antonio Spurs (19–20) host the Memphis Grizzlies (26–15) at Frost Bank Center on Friday night in a quick rematch of Wednesday’s high-scoring showdown. Memphis prevailed 129–115 in that meeting, using a 43-point third quarter to flip a first-half deficit into a comfortable margin. Ja Morant (questionable with foot soreness) led the Grizzlies with 21 points and 12 assists, while Desmond Bane chipped in 21 points of his own.
San Antonio, which has dropped four of its past five outings, remains without forward Jeremy Sochan (back) and a few depth pieces. The Spurs have plenty to prove as they try to even this mini-series on home court. Meanwhile, Memphis continues dealing with absences in the backcourt—Marcus Smart, Cam Spencer, and Vince Williams Jr. are all sidelined—but the Grizzlies’ deep rotation has held strong.
Player to Pop
Victor Wembanyama has been the Spurs’ focal point from day one, and his overall production underscores why. The rookie big man is averaging 24.7 points, 10.7 rebounds, and 4.0 blocks per game this season, shooting 47.5% from the floor and an impressive 86.8% from the charity stripe. In Wednesday’s defeat, Wembanyama piled up 13 points, 12 rebounds, and a jaw-dropping eight blocks—fully illustrating how much he can impact a game defensively.
Model-Based Projections
Our data-driven model sees Wembanyama delivering another strong line, albeit with fewer blocks than his last performance:
- Points: 27
- Rebounds: 10
- Assists: 3
- Three-Pointers Made: 1
Even against Memphis’ bruising frontcourt—which features Jaren Jackson Jr. and Zach Edey—the Spurs figure to feed Wembanyama frequently, especially if Ja Morant returns to energize the Grizzlies’ transition game.
Prop Pick via Recent Game Performance
Though Wembanyama is pulling down 10.7 boards a night, Memphis ranks near the top of the league in rebounding percentage, thanks to active bigs and guards who crash the glass. On Wednesday, the Grizzlies again won the battle on the boards (52–44), limiting second-chance opportunities. If you’re looking for a smart prop angle, consider Under 11.5 rebounds for Wembanyama. The Spurs may speed up their offense if they trail, often resulting in long rebounds or quick breaks that reduce Wemby’s typical edge on the glass.
January 16th Update
Game Outcome & Recap
Memphis pulled away in the second half for a 129–115 victory over San Antonio on Wednesday night, overcoming the Spurs’ early momentum at Frost Bank Center. The Grizzlies trailed by double digits at halftime but exploded for 43 points in the third quarter to swing the game in their favor. Ja Morant (21 points, 12 assists) and Desmond Bane (21 points) orchestrated an efficient offense, while Santi Aldama delivered 20 off the bench to help Memphis thwart a late push by the Spurs.
Player Performance Analysis
Victor Wembanyama showcased his rim protection and rebounding prowess, finishing with 13 points, 12 rebounds, and a remarkable eight blocks. All of his blocks came in the first half, illustrating how forceful he can be defensively. However, the Grizzlies adjusted in the second half, attacking the paint with well-timed passes and transition opportunities to negate Wembanyama’s impact down the stretch. Rookie Stephon Castle led San Antonio offensively with 26 points, but it wasn’t enough to offset Memphis’ balanced scoring.
How the Predictions Fared
Our model anticipated a strong Wembanyama showing, but the recommended prop play—Under 11.5 rebounds—did not materialize, as he grabbed 12 boards despite Memphis’ commitment to crashing the glass. Offensively, the projections were conservative on his scoring total, and his 13-point finish landed near expectations.
January 15th Update
The San Antonio Spurs (19–19) host the Memphis Grizzlies (25–15) on Wednesday night at Frost Bank Center. Memphis opened as a slight favorite (-2.5), but both teams have something to prove. The Grizzlies dropped a tight road contest to Houston on Monday, while the Spurs dominated the Lakers in Los Angeles to snap a three-game skid.
Matchup Overview & Key Injuries
Injury-wise, San Antonio will be without Jeremy Sochan (back) and a few depth pieces assigned to the G League. Memphis has several absences of its own, including Marcus Smart (finger) and GG Jackson (foot), but remains dangerous with Ja Morant, Desmond Bane, and Jaren Jackson Jr. all active.
Player to Pop
Victor Wembanyama has emerged as the Spurs’ focal point on both ends, posting 25.1 points, 10.7 rebounds, 3.8 assists, and 3.9 blocks per game. He’s shooting 48.2% from the field and an impressive 86.8% from the charity stripe, showing little trouble adapting to the NBA’s physicality. At 7-foot-3 with a versatile skill set, Wembanyama has quickly become the league’s most intriguing talent.
Current Trends & Team Storyline
The Spurs’ fate often hinges on Wembanyama’s night. Over his last five games, he’s averaging around 23 points and 12 rebounds. He even snagged 23 boards in an overtime loss to the Nuggets, illustrating his monster presence on the glass. Beyond “Wemby,” the Spurs lean on perimeter scoring from Devin Vassell and Stephon Castle, while Chris Paul’s veteran poise helps orchestrate the offense.
San Antonio has been up and down, going 4–6 in its last 10, but Monday’s stunning road blowout of the Lakers reminded everyone that Wembanyama’s supporting cast can deliver. Meanwhile, Memphis is fueled by the league’s top-scoring offense (122.9 PPG), but the Grizzlies’ defense has been vulnerable of late, giving up more than 120 points in three of their last four. The Spurs will look to exploit that leaky defense on home turf.
Model-Based Projections
Our data-driven model sees Wembanyama posting another strong outing:
- Points: 27
- Rebounds: 10
- Assists: 3
- Three-Pointers: 1 made
Expect him to see plenty of touches against Memphis’ physical frontcourt. While the Grizzlies excel in rebounding, Wembanyama’s length and knack for the ball should still yield double-digit boards—though it may be tough to crack 12 or more.
Prop Pick via Recent Game Performance
Given Wembanyama’s 10.7 rebounds season average—and the Grizzlies’ ability to battle on the glass—the recommended play is Under 11.5 Rebounds for Wemby. Memphis ranks near the top of the league in rebounding percentage, limiting extra opportunities and making a 12-board night a tall task. If the Spurs fall behind, expect them to push the pace offensively, but big men Jaren Jackson Jr. and Zach Edey will contest Wembanyama’s presence in the paint.
All told, Wednesday’s showdown should be a test of which star can elevate his squad. With San Antonio fighting for playoff positioning and Memphis hoping to hold onto a top-three seed, look for a statement effort from Wembanyama as he attempts to outduel one of the NBA’s deepest rosters. If you’re betting on the big man’s board total, there’s compelling value in the under.
