It’s once again time to go through our best college football picks for this Week 11 Saturday slate. We sifted through tons of daily fantasy sports picks and came up with our top CFB player props for Saturday.
Make sure to check back every week for a new article with all of our best college football player prop picks.
CFB Player Props – Week 11 Saturday Picks
Below, Props.com analyst Kyle Krogstad breaks down his top CFB player props for Week 11.
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Quintrevion Wisner Less Than 80.5 Rushing Yards
The first play of the week is a rare player falling short of a number.
First, Wisner has fallen short of this number in 5 of 7 games this season. He was the backup at the beginning of the year, and since taking over the starting role, he has surpassed this number in 2 of those 4 games. The “starting” role is not super clear for this Texas offense as Jaydon Blue has seen carries as well.
Florida ranks 96th against the run, allowing 176 rushing yards per game. Now, it seems like they’re awful up front, but they have played some pretty run-heavy teams: Texas A&M ran it 55 times, UCF ran it 40 times, and Tennessee ran it 43 times. These were all heavy, run-first offenses. Texas also ranks 90th in the country at “run-play” percentage. They only run the ball about 49% of the time.
Now, to the pass-= game. Texas ranks in the top 50 in passing plays per game at over 50%. They want to throw the ball and that is where they find success. Florida, ranks 73rd in the country in pass defense, allowing just over 230 passing yards per game. Like I said before, they’ve played some really run-heavy teams that didn’t really throw much on them.
Where to play: Quintrevion Wisner Less Than 80.5 Rushing Yards | PrizePicks
Phil Mafah Higher Than 98.5 Rushing Yards
Mafah should not have a projection under 100 yards anymore. He is in an absolute workhorse role for an offense that has been fantastic throughout this season.
Mafah has surpassed this number in 5 of 8 games with a few misses coming from blowouts. Over the past four weeks, he is averaging 23 carries for 128 yards. He has shown more and more each week that he can carry the load for this offense. A great example is the 30 carries last week against Louisville in a game they were trailing in most of the time.
Virginia Tech ranks 76th in the country in run defense, allowing 158 rush yards per game. No one is contending for carries with Mafah anymore except the QB, but every run play should be his.
In a game that should be close, I expect Clemson to feed Mafah with at least 20+ carries.
Where to play: Phil Mafah Higher Than 98.5 Rushing Yards | Underdog
Jalen Milroe Higher Than 16.5 Yards Longest Rush
This is probably my favorite play of the week.
Alabama heads to LSU to take on the Tigers in a night game. The last time we saw LSU was at Texas A&M, where Marcel Reed came into the game and went full Lamar Jackson mode. He gashed them play after play on zone reads / QB runs. Out of the few dual-threat QBs LSU has played, they’ve allowed quite a few big plays. Sellers (SC) had a 75-yard TD on a zone-read, Dart (Ole Miss) had a 17-yard QB draw, and like I mentioned above, Reed had multiple runs of 17+ yards against them.
Alabama knows this has been a weakness for the Tigers, and LSU knows they haven’t been great stopping the QB run. It will be a matchup to watch all night and I think Milroe eventually burns them… at least once.
In a game expecting some rain, possibly a lot, this could turn into a run-fest from both teams. If this is the case, Milroe should have 15-20 carries.
Where to play: Jalen Milroe Higher Than 16.5 Yards Longest Rush | Underdog
Jayden Higgins Higher Than 80.5 Receiving Yards
Higgins has surpassed this number in 3 of 8 games this season, but I like him to have another big game on Saturday against the Jayhawks.
Higgins leads this Iowa State offense in targets, averaging 12 targets a game over the past 5 games. Kansas ranks 68th in the country in pass defense, allowing 227 passing yards per game. They’ve allowed tons of QBs/WRs to have big games against them. He’s also coming off 16 targets and 10 receptions for 140 yards in his last game.
This performance came in Iowa State’s lone loss of the season. I think this is important because Iowa State is only a 2.5-point favorite against Kansas. The Jayhawks have the offensive ability to score a bunch of points, which may mean we are in for a shootout.
With Iowa State’s season on the line, they cannot afford another loss. I think Higgins will have another 10+ target game like he’s been doing almost every week this season. That should be plenty of volume for him to eclipse the 80-yard mark.
Where to play: Jayden Higgins Higher Than 80.5 Receiving Yards | Underdog
Eric Singleton Jr. More Than 60.5 Receiving Yards
We’re going back to the big play WR as Georgia Tech hosts #4 Miami on Saturday.
Singleton has surpassed this number in just 4 of 9 games this season, but this is a great spot for him. Miami’s pass defense has been awful, ranking 65th in the country, allowing 225 passing yards per game. If you’ve watched this team, you know they’re probably worse than that. Week-in and week-out we see this Miami team in a shootout, and we could be in store for another one Saturday.
Haynes King is returning for Georgia Tech, which is huge. He should be able to get the ball down the field much more efficiently than either of his backups. Even without King the past two weeks, Singleton saw 11 and 12 targets.
In a game Georgia Tech will be playing catch-up in, they should be throwing the ball all over the field in this one. The script and matchup line up perfectly.
Where to play: Eric Singleton Jr. More Than 60.5 Receiving Yards | Sleeper
