Sharp Selections: Wednesday, November 6 NBA Preview

Nov 2, 2024; Houston, Texas, USA; Golden State Warriors forward Jonathan Kuminga (00) handles the ball against the Houston Rockets during the second quarter at Toyota Center.
Image Credit: Erik Williams-Imagn Images

As we dive into Wednesday night’s NBA slate, there are some sharp selections across the board that offer excellent potential for PrizePicks players.

This lineup combines favorable odds, defensive matchups, and player trends to help you make the best picks of the night.

Let’s take a closer look at each selection and why these players are positioned to hit their marks—or fall short of their numbers.

NBA Props Preview: Wednesday, November 6

Let’s break down each pick and the reasons why we’re going MORE or LESS.

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1. Zion Williamson Less Than 27 Points

Starting off with Zion Williamson’s scoring number, which sits at 27 points, and him falling short of this projection looks like a strong value play. Zion faces a Cleveland defense that has been especially tough on power forwards, particularly at home.

Cleveland has allowed the 2nd fewest points to power forwards on their home court this season, and with this lockdown defense, it’s likely Zion will struggle to reach 27 points. This pick stands out as one of the top defensive matchup plays of the night.

2. Jayson Tatum More Than 7.5 Rebounds

Jayson Tatum has been a rebounding force, and with his number set at 7.5 rebounds, this pick is looking promising. Tatum is playing in front of a home crowd, which tends to elevate his performance.

Tatum has been averaging 6.8 defensive rebounds per game while logging well over 30 minutes each night early on this season. Given his court time and rebounding activity, surpassing 7.5 boards looks like a smart move, especially in a game where he should see plenty of defensive rebounding opportunities.

3. Jonathan Kuminga Less Than 19.5 Points + Rebounds

Jonathan Kuminga’s combined number for points and rebounds is set at 19.5. Kuminga is facing a tough Celtics defense, which has been stingy against his position.

Boston allows the 2nd-fewest points to opposing small forwards and ranks 17th in rebounds allowed. With the Celtics’ ability to limit both scoring and rebounding, it’s hard to see Kuminga hitting this number, making this a solid selection.

4. Russell Westbrook More Than 5.5 Rebounds

Russell Westbrook has been a reliable rebounder this season, and tonight he has a prime matchup to surpass 5.5 rebounds. Westbrook is facing an Oklahoma City defense that gives up the most rebounds in the league to point guards, and he should continue to see heavy minutes due to Denver’s injuries.

This combination of odds and matchup supports Westbrook’s ability to hit the glass tonight, making more than 5.5 boards an appealing pick.

5. Domantas Sabonis More Than 24.5 Points + Assists

Domantas Sabonis has a favorable matchup tonight against the Raptors, with a combined number of 24.5 points and assists. Toronto’s defense has also struggled to contain centers. The Raptors rank 15th in points allowed and 27th in assists given up to opposing centers, putting Sabonis in a great spot to exceed this number.

His versatility as both a scorer and facilitator should work to his advantage, especially against a Raptors defense that’s been vulnerable in these areas.

6. Jrue Holiday Less Than 20.5 Points + Rebounds

Finally, with Jrue Holiday’s number is set at 20.5 points and rebounds, going with the under here looks like a smart play. Holiday will be facing a Warriors defense that’s been tough on point guards, allowing the 5th-fewest points and the 13th-fewest rebounds to the position.

Given Golden State’s defensive capability, especially against scoring guards, Holiday may find it challenging to reach 20.5 combined points and rebounds.

Recap of Wednesday Night’s Sharp Selections

Tonight’s six-pack of plays combines strong defensive matchups, high-value odds, and favorable trends to give you an edge. Here’s a quick recap:

  1. Zion Williamson Less Than 27 Points
  2. Jayson Tatum More Than 7.5 Rebounds
  3. Jonathan Kuminga Less Than 19.5 Points + Rebounds
  4. Russell Westbrook More Than 5.5 Rebounds
  5. Domantas Sabonis More Than 24.5 Points + Assists
  6. Jrue Holiday Less Than 20.5 Points + Rebounds

These picks lean heavily on defensive matchups, making them high-potential plays for those looking to build a well-balanced PrizePicks card.

Tip of the Day: Target Defensive Trends

When analyzing potential PrizePicks plays, pay close attention to team defensive trends. For example, if a defense consistently limits a specific stat category, like Cleveland’s ability to contain opposing big men.

Likewise, if a defense struggles in a particular area, such as Toronto’s difficulty limiting center assists, that can signal a solid opportunity to surpass a projection. Using defensive tendencies as a guide can lead to more informed, profitable picks.

Good luck, and here’s to making this Wednesday night a winning one!