Sharp Selections: Week 6 Main Slate PrizePicks NFL Preview

Sep 8, 2024; Tampa, Florida, USA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Chris Godwin (14) reacts after a play against the Washington Commanders in the fourth quarter at Raymond James Stadium.
Image Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images

As we approach another thrilling NFL Sunday, it’s time to take advantage of some valuable PrizePicks plays. This week’s matchups provide a few key opportunities to cash in on some picks, especially for wide receivers and tight ends.

Let’s break down three plays with favorable projections, matchups, and game scripts that make them prime targets for Sunday’s slate.

Sunday’s Sharp Selections: Week 6 Main Slate PrizePicks NFL Preview

Let’s break down these plays and the reasons behind each pick, so you can take full advantage this week.

Play 1: Chris Godwin More Than 65.5 Receiving Yards

Chris Godwin has been a steady contributor in the Buccaneers’ passing game, and this week, PrizePicks has his receiving yardage set at 65.5. DraftKings has him at -120 odds to go over this number, and projections show Godwin exceeding 75 receiving yards, making this a strong play to cash.

The matchup couldn’t be better. The Saints’ defense ranks 26th in the league when it comes to giving up receiving yards to wide receivers. Godwin is expected to see more than 9 targets in this game, which bodes well for his ability to rack up yards.

Additionally, the game will be played in a dome, meaning weather won’t be a factor—perfect conditions for a pass-heavy attack. The Saints also force opposing quarterbacks to attempt the third-most passes in the league, further boosting Godwin’s chances of surpassing 65.5 receiving yards.

With a favorable matchup, high target share, and ideal conditions, this play offers strong value for Sunday.

Play 2: CeeDee Lamb More Than 88.5 Receiving Yards

CeeDee Lamb has been the focal point of the Cowboys’ passing game, and with a PrizePicks number set at 88.5 receiving yards, he’s in a great position to cash for us. Lamb is projected for nearly 90 receiving yards, and given the game script, there’s a good chance he’ll have plenty of opportunities to surpass that number.

The Lions’ defense has struggled all season, ranking 27th in the league in giving up receiving yards to opposing wide receivers. Opposing quarterbacks average 41 pass attempts per game against this defense, setting up Lamb to receive a high volume of targets.

Similar to Godwin’s situation, Lamb will also benefit from playing in a dome, where weather won’t limit passing attempts. Plus, the Cowboys come in as underdogs, which could lead to an even more pass-heavy game script as they try to stay competitive.

With the Lions’ defensive struggles and a high-volume passing attack in play, Lamb looks poised to exceed 88.5 receiving yards.

Play 3: Zach Ertz More Than 30.5 Receiving Yards

Zach Ertz might be flying under the radar this week, but with a receiving yardage number of 30.5 on PrizePicks, he’s a strong pick this weekend. Ertz is projected to gain more than 35 receiving yards on about 5.2 targets in this matchup, making this play one with a solid buffer.

The Cardinals are 8-point underdogs, which typically results in a pass-heavy game plan. This is particularly advantageous because opposing offenses are attempting the fifth-most passes in the league against the Ravens’ defense.

In addition, the Ravens rank 31st in the league in terms of receiving yards allowed to tight ends, giving Ertz a favorable matchup to exploit.

With the Cardinals likely trailing, Ertz should see increased involvement in the passing game, making this an attractive play.

Final Thoughts: Sunday’s Best PrizePicks Plays

Here’s a quick recap of the top plays to target for Sunday:

  1. Chris Godwin More Than 65.5 Receiving Yards – With favorable odds, a high target share, and a weak opposing defense, Godwin is set to surpass this line.
  2. CeeDee Lamb More Than 88.5 Receiving Yards – Lamb should thrive in a high-volume passing game against a defense that struggles to contain wide receivers.
  3. Zach Ertz More Than 30.5 Receiving Yards – A favorable matchup against a defense that struggles to contain tight ends, combined with a pass-heavy game script, makes Ertz a solid pick.

Each of these plays is backed by strong projections and favorable game conditions, making them excellent additions to your PrizePicks lineup.

Tip of the Day: Exploit Weak Defenses

When evaluating PrizePicks plays, always keep an eye on defensive weaknesses. Teams like the Lions and Ravens have consistently struggled against certain positions, and identifying those vulnerabilities can help you make smarter picks.

Look for matchups where players are going up against defenses ranked poorly in key areas, as this can give you an edge when selecting yardage totals.

Good luck, and let’s make this a Sunday Sweep!