Sharp Selections: Week 6 TNF PrizePicks NFL Preview

Sep 9, 2024; Santa Clara, California, USA; San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk (11) is introduced to the crowd before the game against the New York Jets at Levi's Stadium.
Image Credit: Darren Yamashita-Imagn Images

We have another exciting Thursday Night Football matchup as the Seahawks and 49ers offer some great PrizePicks NFL opportunities. With favorable projections, game scripts, and key insights, we have two top plays for tonight’s game that provide excellent value.

Thursday’s Sharp Selections: Week 6 TNF PrizePicks NFL Preview

Let’s break down these plays and the reasons behind each pick, so you can take full advantage this week.

Play 1: Kenneth Walker More Than 3 Receptions

Kenneth Walker has become a crucial part of the Seahawks’ offense, and his role in the passing game makes this PrizePicks play a standout. PrizePicks has his receptions number set at 3, while FanDuel has -174 odds on him reaching at least 3 receptions, showing strong confidence in Walker surpassing this number.

Walker is projected to grab around 3.3 receptions on 4.8 targets, which fits perfectly with the game script. The Seahawks come in as 5-point underdogs, meaning they are likely to lean on the pass more often, especially as they try to play catch-up against the 49ers.

Walker has been dependable in the receiving game, hitting 3 or more receptions in 67% of his games this season, including hauling in 4 receptions in their last matchup against San Francisco.

Given the projections, favorable game script, and his consistency, Walker is a smart play to surpass 3 receptions tonight.

Play 2: Brandon Aiyuk More Than 4.5 Receptions

Brandon Aiyuk has been one of the most consistent pieces of the 49ers’ passing attack, and his PrizePicks number is set at 4.5 receptions. With sportsbooks averaging -131 odds for him to surpass this number, there’s already solid backing for this play. Projections have Aiyuk catching around 5 passes on 7 targets, making this a good value play.

The Seahawks’ defense has struggled against wide receivers this season, allowing an eye-popping 69% completion rate to opposing receivers. This matchup sets up well for Aiyuk, who should see plenty of opportunities to make catches in a game where the 49ers will likely take advantage of the Seahawks’ defensive shortcomings.

With a favorable target share and a Seahawks defense that has allowed wide receivers to consistently rack up catches, Aiyuk is a great play to hit more than 4.5 receptions.

Final Thoughts: Thursday Night’s Must-Hit PrizePicks Plays

Here’s a quick recap of tonight’s top plays:

  1. Kenneth Walker More Than 3 Receptions – Strong sportsbook odds, a pass-heavy game script, and consistent production make this an excellent value play.
  2. Brandon Aiyuk More Than 4.5 Receptions – With a favorable matchup against a defense allowing a high completion rate, Aiyuk should have no problem hitting more than 4.5 receptions.

These plays are supported by solid projections, game flow, and matchups, making them prime picks for Thursday Night Football.

Tip of the Day: Focus on Player Roles & Matchups

When making your PrizePicks selections, always consider each player’s role in their team’s offensive scheme and how that matches up against the opposing defense.

Players with consistent targets or touches, especially in favorable matchups, offer more reliable value. Keep an eye on defensive weaknesses, like Seattle’s struggles against wide receivers, to find the best opportunities for your picks.

Stay sharp, and good luck tonight!