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Sharp Selections: Week 5 MNF PrizePicks NFL Preview

Griffin Alvey

Last updated: October 7, 2024

Sep 29, 2024; Inglewood, California, USA; Kansas City Chiefs running back Kareem Hunt (29) runs for a first down before he is forced out of bounds by Los Angeles Chargers linebacker Daiyan Henley (0) in the second half at SoFi Stadium.

As we gear up for Monday Night Football, there are two standout PrizePicks plays worth locking in. With favorable game scripts, strong projections, and matchups that provide an edge, these selections could bring solid value.

Let’s break down why these two picks are primed to hit for Monday’s game.

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Monday’s Sharp Selections: Week 5 MNF PrizePicks NFL Preview

Let’s break down these plays and the reasons behind each pick, so you can take full advantage this weekend.

Play 1: Chris Olave More Than 59.5 Receiving Yards

Chris Olave is a key piece of the Saints’ passing attack, and PrizePicks has set his receiving yardage number at 59.5. Olave is projected for more than 65 receiving yards, and with an expected 8.3 targets. There’s plenty of opportunity for him to eclipse this mark.

The Saints enter this game as 8-point underdogs against the Chiefs, which points to a pass-heavy game script. When trailing, teams often rely more on their aerial attack, giving Olave ample chances to accumulate yards.

Furthermore, the weather won’t be a factor, as low winds are forecasted, ensuring the Saints can stick to their passing game without hindrance. With volume and favorable conditions on his side, Olave looks well-positioned to surpass the 59.5-yard line.

Play 2: Kareem Hunt More Than 45.5 Rushing Yards

Kareem Hunt is expected to play a significant role in the Chiefs’ backfield this week, and his rushing yard number is set at 45.5 on PrizePicks. The Chiefs are 8-point favorites, which usually results in a run-heavy script as the team looks to protect its lead by controlling the clock. Hunt’s usage is expected to increase, making this over even more appealing.

Hunt is projected to approach 50 rushing yards, and the matchup against the Saints defense further solidifies this play. The Saints have one of the weakest collections of defensive tackles in the NFL, leaving them vulnerable to the run. With the Chiefs likely to lean on Hunt to wear down the clock, he should have no problem surpassing 45.5 rushing yards in this game.

Final Thoughts: Monday Night’s Top PrizePicks Plays

Here’s a recap of the two plays to target for Monday Night Football:

  1. Chris Olave More Than 59.5 Receiving Yards – A projected pass-heavy script and 65+ receiving yards make Olave a strong pick to hit.
  2. Kareem Hunt More Than 45.5 Rushing Yards – Hunt is poised for increased utilization in a favorable matchup, making his rushing yards a high-value play.

These plays are backed by favorable game conditions, matchups, and projections, making them excellent additions to your PrizePicks lineup for Monday Night Football.

Tip of the Day: Leverage Game Flow for Smarter Picks

When making your PrizePicks selections, always consider the likely game flow. If a team is favored, they often shift towards a run-heavy strategy to control the clock. On the flip side, underdogs usually rely more on their passing game to play catch-up. Aligning your picks with these game scripts can give you an edge and increase your chances of success.

Good luck, and here’s to a profitable Monday night!

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