As we approach another exciting Sunday slate, I’ve identified three standout PrizePicks plays that offer great value based on projections, game scripts, and the crucial detail that all of these games will be played in domes—taking weather out of the equation.
Let’s dive into these three plays, each backed by solid data and favorable projections.
Sunday’s Sharp Selections: Week 4 PrizePicks NFL Preview
Let’s break down these plays and the reasons behind each pick, so you can take full advantage this weekend.
Play 1: Jakobi Meyers More Than 44.5 Receiving Yards
Jakobi Meyers is primed for a big game this week, and PrizePicks has him set at a modest 44.5 receiving yards. The sportsbooks give us -113 odds for him to go over this number, and with Davante Adams sidelined, Meyers steps into an even larger role in the passing game.
Meyers is projected to see around 8.1 targets, which significantly boosts his chances of surpassing 44.5 receiving yards. Projections have him closer to 60 receiving yards, giving us a solid margin of comfort for this pick. Adding to the appeal, this game will be played in a dome, so weather conditions won’t disrupt the passing attack.
With the volume and opportunity increased due to Adams’ absence, Meyers should comfortably clear the 44.5-yard line, making this one of the stronger plays on the board.
Play 2: Derek Carr More Than 206.5 Passing Yards
Derek Carr is another player whose PrizePicks line offers a lot of value this week. Set at 206.5 passing yards, Carr has -113 odds on sportsbooks to hit the over, and he’s projected to throw for almost 250 yards. The Raiders come into the game as 4-point underdogs, meaning a pass-heavy game script is likely as they look to play catch-up.
Carr’s recent track record against the Falcons is also notable, having thrown for 264 and over 300 yards in his last two meetings against them. These stats, combined with a favorable game script, make the over on 206.5 a strong play. Once again, the fact that this game is played in a dome means we don’t have to worry about external weather conditions affecting Carr’s ability to rack up passing yards.
All in all, the numbers and recent history are in Carr’s favor, and this play looks set to hit the over comfortably.
Play 3: Trevor Lawrence More Than 223.5 Passing Yards
The final play I’m targeting this week is Trevor Lawrence to go over 223.5 passing yards. The Jaguars are 3.5-point underdogs, which typically sets up a passing-heavy script. Lawrence has -113 odds to go over, and projections have him clearing 250 passing yards, giving us a solid buffer.
Lawrence has also shown he can excel against this particular opponent, throwing for 364 yards against Houston last season. Add in the fact that this game will also be played in a dome, and you remove any worries about the weather impacting his performance.
Given the game script, his previous success against Houston, and favorable projections, Lawrence looks like a smart play to surpass 223.5 passing yards this week.
Final Thoughts: PrizePicks Plays for Sunday
Here’s a recap of the three plays to lock in for this Sunday’s NFL action:
- Jakobi Meyers More Than 44.5 Receiving Yards – Meyers steps into a larger role with Davante Adams out, backed by strong projections and a favorable matchup.
- Derek Carr More Than 206.5 Passing Yards – A pass-heavy game script and Carr’s track record against the Falcons make this a great value play.
- Trevor Lawrence More Than 223.5 Passing Yards – With projections above 250 yards and a strong history against Houston, Lawrence is set to clear this line.
All of these games will be played in domes, ensuring ideal conditions for passing and maximizing the opportunity for these plays to hit.
Tip of the Day: Leverage Projections and Game Scripts
When building your PrizePicks card, always consider game scripts and projections, especially when teams are underdogs. Underdogs often find themselves needing to pass more, which can lead to higher yardage totals for quarterbacks and receivers. Combining this strategy with favorable projections gives you an edge when locking in your plays.
Good luck, and here’s to another exciting Sunday of football!