There might only be four games on this weekend’s NFL playoff schedule, but that doesn’t mean there are only four wagering opportunities. Sportsbooks from coast to coast are offering dozens of NFL Divisional Round prop bets targeting individual players and teams, as well as game situations.
That means there are countless ways in which you can get your fill of playoff action throughout the weekend.
Here are Props.com’s five favorite NFL Divisional Round props for 49ers vs. Packers, a rematch of a Week 3 classic in San Francisco that saw Green Bay kick a game-winning field goal as time expired.
Odds via BetMGM, DraftKings, and The SuperBook, and updated as of 8:30 p.m. ET on Jan. 20.
San Francisco 49ers: QB Jimmy Garoppolo
The prop: Longest Completion 35.5 Yards
The odds: Over -120/Under -110
All Jimmy G does is win. And all 49ers fans do is diss him. (Good thing Aaron “Thin Skin” Rodgers didn’t go No. 1 overall to San Francisco back in the day!)
Granted, Garoppolo’s performance in Dallas last week was hardly a masterpiece — he went just 16-for-25 for 172 yards and made some ill-advised decisions late. But he did have some success pushing the ball down the field, including a catch-and-run long completion of 37 yards to wideout Brandon Aiyuk.
Garoppolo has now completed a pass of at least 36 yards in four straight games overall, six of his last eight, and 11 of 16 on the season. That includes a 39-yard strike in the 49ers’ Week 3 home loss to Green Bay. Garoppolo’s long passes in road games this season: 37, 43, 56, 25, 48, 34, 83, 40 and 79.
Green Bay’s defense didn’t allow a catch of longer than 30 yards in its final two regular-season games, but the opposing QBs were Jared Goff (Lions) and Sean Mannion (Vikings). Prior to that, five straight quarterbacks completed at least one pass of 36-plus yards against the Packers. That includes Bears rookie Justin Fields — and he did it twice in Green Bay (54- and 46-yard completions).
Obviously, there are legit injury concerns with Garoppolo (thumb, shoulder), so make sure to keep an eye on his status before firing on the Over here.
Green Bay Packers: QB Aaron Rodgers
The prop: 261.5 Total Passing Yards
The odds: Over -115/Under -115
Let’s be honest: We could’ve devoted this entire space to Rodgers props — and had at least five left over for another article.
We settled on this always-popular yardage prop for a few reasons. First, the number is nearly identical to how many yards Rodgers passed for in San Francisco back in late September (261). Secondly, this total is right around Rodgers’ per-game yardage average for the season (257.2). And lastly, the matchup is so damn good: The about-to-be-repeat MVP winner against a stellar pass defense.
About that head-to-head matchup in Week 3: Rodgers’ final completion was a 17-yarder to Davante Adams that set up Green Bay’s game-winning field goal, but left him a hair short of clearing this prop number. In fact, Rodgers failed to eclipse 261 passing yards in each of his first four games and six of his first eight.
Since returning from his COVID timeout, though, the future Hall of Famer has averaged 277.6 passing yards across eight games. And if you remove his 138-yard effort in Week 18 at Detroit (when Rodgers only played a half), that average jumps to 297.6, with Rodgers topping 261 yards in six of seven contests. Also, here are Rodgers’ yardage numbers in his last six games at Lambeau Field: 274, 292, 307, 341, 202, 288.
Of course, just as Rodgers has been sensational lately, so too has San Francisco’s pass defense. The 49ers held Dak Prescott and the high-octane Cowboys to 230 passing yards last week — and that’s the most they’ve permitted in the last five games. Even more impressive, since Week 2, San Francisco has given up more than 261 passing yards twice in 17 games.
San Francisco 49ers: WR/RB Deebo Samuel
The prop: 4.5 Total Receptions
The odds: Over -115/Under -115
With apologies to the guy mentioned directly above (and directly below), the 49ers’ breakout star just might be the most electrifying, can’t-take-your-eyes-off-him player on the field Saturday night. He’s certainly the most versatile, as Samuel has split time between wide receiver (his natural position) and running back since midseason.
The position split has been a boon to San Francisco’s offense, as Samuel combined for 1,770 rushing/receiving yards and 14 total touchdowns in the regular season, then added 110 yards and a score last week in Dallas. However, Samuel’s backfield responsibilities have significantly cut into his touches through the air.
The numbers: Through the 49ers’ first eight games, the former South Carolina star had 49 receptions (on 81 targets) and just six rushing attempts. In nine games since, the receptions/carries split is 31/63. As it pertains to this prop number, Samuel had five or more catches in eight of his first nine contests, but he’s done it only once since (nine catches in Week 16 at Tennessee).
Given Samuel’s production out of the backfield, there’s no way 49ers coach Kyle Shanahan stops handing him the rock (even though primary tailback Elijah Mitchell had 21 carries each of the last two weeks, after missing a month with an injury).
So the Under seems like the logical play in this NFL Divisional Round prop bets market. Although it’s worth mentioning that Samuel hauled in five of 10 targets against the Packers earlier this season.
Green Bay Packers: WR Davante Adams
The prop: Score Anytime Touchdown
The odds: -135
It’s not every week that a wide receiver is an odds-on favorite in the NFL props betting market to score a touchdown. Then again, not every wide receiver is Davante Adams. And not every wide receiver has Aaron Rodgers chucking pigskins in their direction. Adams hit paydirt 11 times this season, with most of that production coming in the second half (he had three TDs through his first nine games; eight in his last seven). The perennial Pro Bowler found the end zone at least once in five of those season-closing contests. And one of the two times he “bageled” was in Week 18 at Detroit, when he departed early in a meaningless game.
Rodgers looked Adams’ way repeatedly back in Week 3, with the duo connecting 12 times on 18 targets for 132 yards and one touchdown. That continued a career-long trend of Adams torturing the 49ers’ defense: In four meetings, he’s caught a whopping 39 passes for 480 yards and five TDs (including at least one in every game).
Given those impressive stats, it’s impossible to question why oddsmakers have installed Adams as a sizable favorite to score Saturday night — except to ask: “Why isn’t this prop juiced even more?”
Green Bay Packers: PK Mason Crosby
The prop: 1.5 Total Field Goals Made
The odds: Over -130/Under +100
First off, we apologize to all the fantasy football owners out there who rostered Crosby back in 2018 and had to sit through a kicking debacle for the ages in Detroit. We understand merely mentioning his name can trigger traumatizing PTSD.
We can only hope you didn’t go back to the Crosby well this season, as the onetime Mr. Automatic had his worst field-goal performance in nine years. Crosby connected on just 25 of 34 attempts (73.5%). And he was particularly brutal from 30-49 yards out, going 13-for-21 (61.9%).
To be fair, Crosby was rock solid down the stretch, splitting the uprights on 10 of his last 11 attempts, making the last seven in a row. But here’s the rub with respect to this prop: Those seven straight makes occurred across the final five games, during which Crosby kicked multiple field goals just once (a 3-for-3 effort at home against Minnesota in Week 17).
