Warriors vs. Spurs Player Props & Predictions – Saturday, Mar 9

San Antonio Spurs center Victor Wembanyama (1) controls the ball against the Los Angeles Clippers during the second half at Crypto.com Arena.
Image Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

The Warriors are set to face the San Antonio Spurs on Saturday, Mar 9. The game is scheduled for 8:30 ET while airing on NBCS. Golden State enters this game as 10.5-point favorites with the total set at 227.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Warriors vs Spurs player props and predictions below.

Warriors vs. Spurs Odds

  • Spread: Warriors -10.5
  • Total 227.5

Game Info

  • Date: Saturday, Mar 9
  • Time: 8:30 ET
  • Location: Chase Center, San Francisco CA
  • TV: NBCS

Spurs Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Spurs have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • Through their last ten road contests, the Spurs offense has averaged 111 points per game while allowing an average of 120. San Antonio posted an overall record of 1-9 while going 5-5 ATS.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Spurs have a straight up record of 3-7. But, their mark vs the spread was just 7-3.

Warriors Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Warriors have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Across their last five home contests, Golden State has been good against the spread posting a mark of 4-1. Their overall mark in these games was 4-1, while averaging 116 points per game.
  • In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Warriors have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.

Will San Antonio Shock Everyone at Chase Center?

San Antonio is looking to snap a two-game losing streak as they take on the Warriors. In their last game, the Spurs lost to the Kings by a score of 131-129. The O/U line for that game was 235.5 points.

As the underdog, the Spurs have gone 9-49 this season and are 17-18 ATS on the road. The team’s average scoring differential on the road is -10.2 points per game.

In Western Conference play, the Spurs are 8-28 compared to 5-22 against non-conference opponents. This puts them in 15th place in the West and 5th in the Southwest Division.

For the season, San Antonio’s O/U record is 32-30-1. Today’s line of 227.5 is lower than their season average of 232.8 points per game. Out of their 63 games, 49 have had higher O/U lines than 227.5.

The Spurs have an ATS record of 31-32 this season, with a 14-14 record on the road. In their last two road games, they have covered the spread.

When it comes to scoring, the Spurs are 22nd in the league at 112.4 points per game. However, they have been better at home, averaging 115.2 points compared to 110.2 on the road (24th).

San Antonio has been one of the league’s top teams in terms of pace, ranking 3rd at 101.2 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 25th at 46%.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Spurs are 15th in makes (12.6 per game) but just 27th in percentage (34%). From inside the arc, they are 19th in shooting percentage at 53%.

The Spurs’ defense is presently ranked 26th in the league, allowing an average of 120.4 points per contest. On two point field goal attempts, the Spurs’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 56.1% and allowing 37.9% from beyond the arc.

Can the Warriors Secure a Win at Home?

In Golden State’s games this season, the average over/under line has been 232.9, which is higher than today’s line of 227.5. Overall, the Warriors have a 30-31-1 O/U record this season.

This year, Golden State has been favored in 40 of their 62 games and has a record of 27-13 in those games. As the favorite, they have a scoring margin of +5.3 PPG. As the favorite, their ATS record is 20-20 (14-18 at home).

The Warriors are 9th in the Western Conference with a record of 33-29. In their last game, they lost to the Bulls by a score of 125-122. The O/U line for that game was 223.5, and Golden State was favored by 8.5 points.

So far this season, the Warriors have an ATS record of 34-27 (20-9 on the road and 14-18 at home). In non-conference games, they are 17-8 compared to 16-21 against the Western Conference.

On average, Golden State’s games have finished with 235.6 points this season, which is higher than today’s O/U line of 227.5. The team’s O/U record for the season is 30-31-1.

At home, the Warriors are 11th in the league in scoring at 117.9 points per game. Overall, they are 6th in the NBA at 118.7 points per game. Golden State has outscored the NBA scoring average in 61.3% of their games this season.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Warriors are 2nd in the league in made threes at 15 per game. They are also 7th in pace at 100.3 possessions per game.

Golden State is 16th in field goal percentage at 47% and 13th in true shooting percentage. In terms of assists, they are 4th in the league at 29.1 per game.

The Warriors’ defense is presently ranked 18th in the league, allowing an average of 116.9 points per contest. In their previous matchup vs. the Bulls, the Warriors’ defense struggled, giving up a field goal percentage of 52% leading to 125 points.

Warriors vs. Spurs Player Props

When looking at a player prop for this game, Devin Vassell has a points prop of 22.5 with both the over and under paying out at -113.

In this game against the Warriors, we suggest betting on the under for Devin Vassell and his points prop set at 22.5. Our player projection model anticipates him not reaching his prop, with a projected total of 20.

  • The Prop: Devin Vassell Under 22.5 Points (-113)

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Warriors vs. Spurs Predictions

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Spurs vs. Warriors game, our recommendation is to take the Spurs at +10.5. Despite our model showing the Warriors winning 110-108, we like Spurs as our point-spread pick.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 227.5, and our model predicts the Spurs and Warriors to score a combined 218 points. We recommend betting on the under.

The Pick: Spurs +10.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook