Need a Thunder vs. Rockets prediction? We’ve got what you need, as the Rockets hit the road to face the Thunder on Tuesday, Feb 27 at 10:00 ET. The current total stands at 235.5, with the Thunder being favored by 10.5 at home. Keep reading to get our Thunder vs. Rockets player props and predictions.
Thunder vs. Rockets Odds
- Spread: Thunder -10.5
- Total 235.5
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Game Info
- Date: Tuesday, Feb 27
- Time: 10:00 ET
- Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City OK
- TV: TNT
Rockets Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Rockets have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- Through their last three road games, Houston has an ATS record of just 0-3. However, their overall record was 0-3 while averaging 110 points per game.
- Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Rockets have gone 1-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.
Thunder Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Thunder have an over/under record of 4-0-1 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
- Oklahoma City has played well in their previous three home games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 120 points per game while allowing 123. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
- As the betting favorite, the Thunder have an ATS mark of just 6-4 in their last ten games. Oklahoma City posted a straight up mark of 8-2 in these matchups.
Can the Rockets Lock in a Win at Oklahoma City?
Houston’s O/U record this season is 26-31, and the under has hit in their last two games. Today’s O/U line of 235.5 is higher than 50 of their previous games, and their games have averaged 226.3 points per game.
The Rockets are 9-17 ATS on the road this season, and they have failed to cover the spread in their last four road games. Overall, their ATS record is 29-27.
In their most recent game against the Thunder, the Rockets lost by a score of 123-110. They were 6.5-point underdogs in that game and are currently 11.5-point underdogs.
Going into today’s game, the Rockets are 25-32 on the season, which is 12th in the Western Conference. Against the West, they are 17-16 and 8-16 against non-conference opponents.
In terms of being the underdog, the Rockets have gone 11-27 this season. As the underdog, they have a scoring differential of -4 points per game. On the road, their ATS scoring differential is -6.3 PPG.
When it comes to scoring, the Rockets have been below the NBA average in 63.2% of their games this season. Overall, they are 21st in the league with 113.1 points per game. On the road, Houston is averaging 111.0 points per game.
When it comes to their pace of play, the Rockets are 13th in the league at 99.4 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Houston is 27th in the NBA at 45%. From three-point range, they are shooting 35% (26th).
One area where the Rockets have been strong is getting to the free-throw line. They are 7th in the league in free-throw attempts at 23.9 per game. In terms of assists, Houston is 27th in the NBA with 24.7 per game.
At this time, the Rockets’ defense is positioned 12th in the NBA, permitting 113.1 points per game. So far this season, the Rockets’ defense has struggled with fouls, averaging 3rd in fouls per contest. On average, opponents are getting to the line 26.0 times per game vs. Houston.
Will Oklahoma City Secure A Victory as Home Favorites?
Today, the Thunder will look to extend their win streak to six games as they host the Rockets. Oklahoma City is favored by 10.5 points and has a 31-10 record as the favorite this season.
Oklahoma City’s ATS record for the season is 37-20, and they have covered the spread in their last five games. At home, they have an average scoring differential of +11.6 PPG.
In their most recent game against the Rockets, the Thunder won by a score of 123-110. They were favored by 6.5 points going into the game and covered the spread by 13 points.
This season, the Thunder have an O/U record of 32-24-1. Today’s over/under line is 235.5, and their games have averaged 234.8 PPG.
Oklahoma City’s win over Houston improved their overall record to 40-17, which is currently the 2nd best in the Western Conference. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 24-13 and 16-4 in non-conference play.
Heading into tonight’s game, the Thunder have been one of the league’s top offensive teams, ranking 3rd in scoring at 121.5 points per game. At home, they are averaging 124 points per game, which is 2nd in the NBA.
Oklahoma City’s offense has been efficient this season, shooting 50% from the field (2nd) and leading the league in three-point shooting percentage at 39%. Overall, they are 11th in pace at 99.8 possessions per game.
When it comes to getting to the free-throw line, the Thunder are 18th in attempts but have made an average of 18.2 free throws per game (12th).
Coming into the game, the Thunder defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 42.1% of their games. Currently, they are 13th in the NBA at 113.3 points per game allowed. The Oklahoma City defense has allowed opponents to shoot 36.5% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 45.2% of their field goal attempts vs. Oklahoma City.
Thunder vs. Rockets Player Props
A player prop we are looking at is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and his points prop of 31.5.
Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -115 while the under is at -119. Our projections have Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finishing with a stat line of 31 points, 5 and 6 assists. As for his points prop, we like the under at 31.5.
- The Prop: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 31.5 Points (-119)
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Thunder vs. Rockets Predictions
Not only do we have the Thunder winning this one by a score of 140-117, but we see them covering the spread. Our pick is to grab the Thunder at -10.5.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 235.5 and given that our model is projecting 257 points between the teams, we like the over.
The Pick: Thunder -10.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook
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