Tennessee vs. Purdue Picks and Predictions – Sunday, Mar. 31

Mar 15, 2024; Nashville, TN, USA; Tennessee Volunteers guard Dalton Knecht (3) looks on from the sideline during the second half against the Mississippi State Bulldogs at Bridgestone Arena.
Image Credit: Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports

We have your Tennessee Volunteers vs. Purdue Boilermakers prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Tennessee Volunteers hit the road to face the Purdue Boilermakers.

The stage is set for a titanic Elite Eight clash as the Tennessee Volunteers (27-8) prepare to battle the Purdue Boilermakers (32-4) with a coveted spot in the Final Four on the line.

Tennessee Volunteers vs. Purdue Boilermakers Odds Info

Moneyline: Tennessee Volunteers +143 (Ceasars) / Purdue Boilermakers -162 (FanDuel)

Spread: -3.5 – Tennessee Volunteers -110 (PointsBet) / Purdue Boilermakers -105 (FanDuel)

Total: 147.0 – -109 (BetRivers) / -110 (BetRivers)

Game Info

Date: Sunday, Mar. 31

Time: 01:20 PM

Location: Little Caesars Arena – Detroit, MI


Tennessee Volunteers Betting Trends

  • On the road, Tennessee Volunteers are 8 and 3 this season.
  • Against the spread this season, Tennessee Volunteers are 16 and 16.
  • Against the spread on the road, Tennessee Volunteers are 6 and 8.

Purdue Boilermakers Betting Trends

  • At home, Purdue Boilermakers are 16 and 0 this season.
  • Against the spread this season, Purdue Boilermakers are 16 and 15.
  • Against the spread at home, Purdue Boilermakers are 9 and 10.

Tennessee Volunteers vs. Purdue Boilermakers Predictions

The Tennessee Volunteers, riding a three-game winning streak, are facing a formidable challenge against the Purdue Boilermakers, who are also on a three-game winning streak and have yet to lose at home this season. Both teams have showcased their prowess throughout the tournament, with Tennessee’s defense, ranked third in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, clashing against Purdue’s high-octane offense, which is ranked third in the nation and boasts an impressive 83.8 points per game.

Purdue’s center Zach Edey, a potential repeat National Player of the Year, has been a dominant force, averaging 24.6 points and 12.1 rebounds per game. His presence in the paint will be a significant test for Tennessee’s interior defense. On the other side, Tennessee’s guard Dalton Knecht, averaging 21.2 points per game, will look to exploit Purdue’s defense, which has shown vulnerability to perimeter shooting. The Volunteers will need to leverage their elite effective field goal defense, which ranks fifth in the nation, to contain Purdue’s sharpshooting, which connects at a 41% clip from beyond the arc.

This game is not only a battle of contrasting styles but also a test of depth and resilience. Tennessee’s ability to control the tempo and maintain their defensive intensity against Purdue’s efficient scoring will be key. With both teams having met earlier in the season, where Purdue narrowly emerged victorious, this rematch is set to be an epic showdown with both teams seeking to rewrite the narrative and punch their ticket to the Final Four.

Tennessee Volunteers vs. Purdue Boilermakers Pick

The Tennessee Volunteers have demonstrated a remarkable ability to stifle high-powered offenses with their third-ranked Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, and this game against Purdue will be no different. Despite Purdue’s home-court advantage and Zach Edey’s dominance, Tennessee’s defense has the depth and physicality to challenge Edey in the paint. Moreover, the Volunteers’ guard Dalton Knecht, who has been a consistent offensive threat, is poised to exploit Purdue’s perimeter defense. Tennessee’s previous close encounter with Purdue in the Maui Invitational, where they lost by just four points, suggests that they have the capability to adjust and overcome Purdue’s strengths. With the Volunteers’ recent form and their ability to control the pace of the game, the odds are in favor of a Tennessee victory.

Furthermore, Tennessee’s resilience on the road, with an 8-3 record, indicates their comfort in high-pressure situations away from home. The Volunteers’ ability to force turnovers and convert them into points will be crucial in disrupting Purdue’s rhythm. While Purdue’s offense is undoubtedly efficient, Tennessee’s recent trends, including a three-game winning streak and a strong performance against the spread, signal a team peaking at the right time. Considering the stakes and the Volunteers’ determination to reach their first-ever Final Four, betting on the Tennessee Volunteers moneyline is a calculated risk with a potentially high reward.

The Pick: Tennessee Volunteers +143 (Ceasars)