Spurs vs. Warriors Player Props, Odds & Predictions – Monday, Mar 11

Dec 2, 2023; Los Angeles, California, USA; Golden State Warriors guard Stephen Curry (30) moves the ball up court against the Los Angeles Clippers during the first half at Crypto.com Arena.
Image Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

The Spurs host the Golden State Warriors on Monday, Mar 11. Today’s game is set for 8:00 ET and will be shown on NBCS. Golden State comes into this game as 4.5-point favorites with the total set at 227.5. Keep reading to get our Spurs vs. Warriors player props and predictions.

Spurs vs. Warriors Odds

  • Spread: Warriors -4.5
  • Total 227.5

Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!

Game Info

  • Date: Monday, Mar 11
  • Time: 8:00 ET
  • Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio TX
  • TV: NBCS

Warriors Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Warriors have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • Golden State has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 106 points per game while allowing 114. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Warriors have a strong straight up record of 3-2. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.

Spurs Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Spurs have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Spurs have a straight up record of 2-8 while going 6-4 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 112 points per game in these contests.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, San Antonio has an ATS mark of 2-1 while going 1-2 straight up.

Will the Warriors Pull Through as the Favored Road Team?

Golden State’s O/U record for the season is 31-31-1, and their last two games have gone over the posted totals. This season, their games have averaged 235.7 points per game, compared to today’s line of 227.5.

Against the spread, the Warriors are 34-28 for the season, and they have failed to cover in their last two games. On the road, they are 20-9 ATS compared to 14-19 ATS at home.

In the Western Conference, the Warriors are currently in 10th place with a record of 33-30. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 16-22 and 5-9 against the Pacific Division.

When favored, the Warriors have a record of 27-14 and are favored by 4.5 points today. On the road, they are 16-13 compared to 17-17 at home. Their straight-up road record is 16-13.

The Warriors are looking to bounce back from a 126-113 loss to the Spurs. In that game, they were favored by 12.5 points. The O/U line was 225, and the teams combined for 239 points.

On offense, the Warriors are 7th in the NBA in points per game at 118.7. However, they are 11th in points per game at home compared to 2nd on the road. Golden State is also 7th in pace at 100.2 possessions per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Warriors are 16th in field goal percentage at 47%. They are also 18th in two-point shooting at 54%. However, they are 2nd in three-pointers made per game at 15 and 9th in three-point shooting at 37%.

Overall, Golden State is 5th in assists and 5th in offensive rebounds. In terms of free throws, they are 20th in makes and 19th in attempts.

On defense, the Warriors come into the game ranked 18th in the league in points allowed at 117.0 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 113.7 points per contest (25th). On two point field goal attempts, the Warriors’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 54.4% and allowing 35.9% from beyond the arc.

Can San Antonio Lock in a Home Win?

San Antonio is 10-49 as the underdog this season and is currently getting 4.5 points against the Warriors. In the Western Conference, the Spurs are in 15th place and have a record of 14-50.

At home, the Spurs are 7-21 straight-up and have won their last two games vs. the spread. On average, they have been outscored by -5.2 points per game at home.

This season, the Spurs have an O/U record of 33-30-1, and their games have averaged 232.9 points per game. In their last two games, the final score has gone over the O/U line.

In their most recent game, the Spurs defeated the Warriors by a score of 126-113. San Antonio was 12.5-point underdogs in that game. This season, they are 32-32 vs. the spread, including an ATS record of 14-14 at home.

At home, the Spurs are averaging 115.2 points per game, which is 16th in the NBA. Overall, they are 21st in scoring at 112.6 points per game. In terms of pace, the Spurs are 3rd in the league at 101.2 possessions per game.

San Antonio is 24th in field goal percentage at 46% and 26th in true shooting percentage. From beyond the arc, they are hitting 35% of their shots (27th) and are 15th in three-pointers made per game.

When it comes to two-point shooting, the Spurs are 19th in the NBA. In terms of free throws, they are 29th in attempts but have made an average of 15.7 per game (26th).

The Spurs’ defense is presently ranked 25th in the league, allowing an average of 120.3 points per contest. For the season, San Antonio is ranked 27th in fewest fouls per game. Team’s are averaging 21.7 free-throws per game vs. the Spurs and have an overall field goal percentage of 49.2%.

Spurs vs. Warriors Player Prop

A player prop we are looking at is Devin Vassell and his points prop of 21.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -111 while the under is at -123. According to our projections, Devin Vassell is expected to record 20 points, 4 rebounds, and 4 assists. Regarding his points prop, we recommend taking the under at 21.5.

  • The Prop: Devin Vassell Under 21.5 Points (-123)

Spurs vs. Warriors Predictions

The Warriors is our selection to secure the victory, with a projected score of 112-105. We also like them to cover the spread, so we suggest betting on the Warriors at -4.5.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 227.5 and given that our model is projecting 217 points between the teams, we like the under.

The Pick: Warriors -4.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook