As we gear up for another exciting night of football action, it’s time to explore some high-value plays on PrizePicks NFL that are backed by solid data and strong odds.
Let’s take a closer look at two PrizePicks NFL plays to understand why they make sense for Week 3 Thursday Night Football.
Week 3 Thursday Night Football PrizePicks NFL – Jets/Patriots
As we get ready for Thursday Night Football, I’ve locked in two PrizePicks plays that offer a lot of value based on odds, projections, and game situations. Remember that there is a chance the projections could very well change on these picks as we get closer to kickoff.
While both plays may seem to contrast with each other in some ways, there’s a method to the madness. Let’s break down the two picks and why I believe they’re solid choices for the matchup between the Patriots and Jets.
Play 1: Demario Douglas MORE Than 21.5 Receiving Yards
First up, I’m rolling with Demario Douglas to have more than 21.5 receiving yards.
This pick is at -132 odds at some sportsbooks, and various projection sources have Douglas hitting around 34 receiving yards. That’s a comfortable gap above the PrizePicks number, making this play a strong candidate.
The Patriots come into this game as 7.5-point underdogs against the Jets, and this could work in our favor. When teams are playing from behind, they’re forced to pass more often, and that should give Douglas more opportunities to make plays and hit this number.
Additionally, Douglas is averaging over 6 yards after the catch, which means he doesn’t need a ton of receptions to hit that over. A couple of quick passes and some solid yards after the catch, and this play could easily cash.
Pick: Demario Douglas MORE Than 21.5 Receiving Yards | PrizePicks
Play 2: Breece Hall MORE Than 32.5 Receiving Yards
Next, I’m taking Breece Hall to finish with more than 32.5 receiving yards.
Yes, this might seem to contradict the first play since the Jets are favored and expected to control most of the game, but let’s not forget—before they can sit on a lead, they have to build one. Hall has been an active part of the Jets’ passing game, and he’s got the odds on his side, sitting at -132 to hit at least 30 receiving yards.
Projections are putting him closer to 40 receiving yards, and with an expected 6+ targets, he should have plenty of chances to hit this number.
What strengthens this play even more is the Patriots’ defense, which has allowed the 9th-most pass attempts in the league so far. The Jets are going to pass, and Hall will be involved—simple as that.
Pick: Breece Hall MORE Than 32.5 Receiving Yards | PrizePicks
Final Thoughts: Key Takeaways & Tip of the Day
These two plays—Demario Douglas over 21.5 receiving yards and Breece Hall over 32.5 receiving yards—both present great PrizePicks NFL value based on odds and projections.
Though their game scripts might seem to be working in opposite directions, both players should have ample opportunity to hit their marks.
Tip of the Day:
You won’t win every play. That is an unfortunate fact. Losing is part of the process, but what separates successful players from the rest is solid bankroll management.
A good rule of thumb is to put no more than 1% of your bankroll on any single play. This helps ensure that you stay in the game longer, giving yourself more opportunities to capitalize on smart plays and ultimately grow your bankroll over time.
Good luck, and as always, play it smart!