In this new weekly feature, we will take a closer look at the upcoming PGA Tour event to see what the best outright winner values are on the board and also analyze some of our other favorite golf picks.
Let’s see if we can nail some outright winners and make some money along the way.
Top PGA Prop Sites in Virginia
PGA Tour & DP World Tour Outright Winner Props
This week we are going to take a look at both the PGA Tour and the DP World Tour as we have big events on both continents, with a slew of stars, including many LIV golfers, teeing it up across the pond.
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PGA Tour Picks: Black Desert Championship
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PGA Tour Picks – Sanderson Farms Championship
First, the PGA Tour stops in Mississippi for a weaker-field event, and there really isn’t a lot of competition or big names to crowd the top of the leaderboard.
Nick Dunlap has already snagged not one but TWO events that fit this same criteria this year, and is listed as one of the favorites here, but early in his career he may still be getting underestimated by the data analysts.
In this age of numbers-based oddsmaking, everything is about playing the averages, but for win bets in golf, we don’t really care at all about the average performance, we just care about the outlier performance, and that is exactly what Nick Dunlap has shown he is capable of delivering.
Aside from his two wins, he also has a performance at the FedEx St. Jude just two starts ago where he beat a playoff field by more than 12 strokes – a performance that would have produced a runaway victory against a field like we have this week.
The course is perfect for him as it plays to both his length and putt-making ability, and he’s available with good line value at +2800 on BetMGM, which is way better than the +2200 offered at most other books.
PGA Tour Outright Winner Pick: Nick Dunlap (+2800)
Editor’s Note: Looking for more golf props content? Be sure to check out our PGA first round leader predictions for this week’s event before locking in all of your golf picks!
DP World Tour – Alfred Dunhill Links Championship
Now, in what might be the week’s “main event” we have a ton of the top players in the world teeing it up for the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship on the DP World Tour.
There’s a lot to play for here, and Jon Rahm has been acting like a man on a mission, playing with a chip on his sleeve and having one of the most dominant seasons of his career, which is saying a lot.
Not only that, but his past five tournaments have been putting the pedal to the metal and really going into another gear, and sometimes in these situations, the oddsmakers just cannot keep up.
It’s a “boring” pick perhaps, but boring golf is good golf, and even at +700, +650, or +600, there’s no need to get cute here – the data says he’s still the golfer in the field with the biggest edge.
DP World Tour Outright Winner Pick: Jon Rahm (+700)