Pelicans vs. Bucks Player Props, Odds & Predictions – Thursday, Mar 28

Nov 8, 2023; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; New Orleans Pelicans forward Brandon Ingram (14) dribbles against the Minnesota Timberwolves in the third quarter at Target Center
Image Credit: Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports

The Pelicans are ready to clash with the Milwaukee Bucks on Thursday, Mar 28. Today’s matchup is set to tip off at 8:00 ET and will be televised on NBA. Milwaukee enters this game as 1-point favorites, and the over/under total is currently at 224. Can the Bucks pull this one out as the favorite? Below you will find our Pelicans vs. Bucks player props and predictions.

Pelicans vs. Bucks Odds

  • Spread: Bucks -1
  • Total 224

Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!

Game Info

  • Date: Thursday, Mar 28
  • Time: 8:00 ET
  • Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans LA
  • TV: NBA

Bucks Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Bucks have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Across the Bucks last five road games, the team averaged 109 points per game while allowing 123. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 1-4 straight-up.
  • Across their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Bucks have an overall record of 2-1 while going 1-2 against the spread.

Pelicans Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Pelicans have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Although New Orleans has a straight up record of 8-2 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 5-4-1. The team averaged 111 points per game in these games.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Pelicans have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-2.

Taking a Look at the Bucks Chances on the Road

Milwaukee is 43-17 this season as the favorite and has been favored in 60 of their 72 games. As the favorite, they have an average scoring margin of +6.7 points per game. As the favorite, their ATS record is 27-33.

On the road, the Bucks are 15-20 ATS compared to 17-20 ATS at home. Their overall ATS record on the road is 17-20. Today, they are favored by 1 point and have an ATS record of 32-40.

The Bucks are 36-36 on the over/under this season, with an average O/U line of 235.9 points. In their games, the average combined scoring is 237.6 points per game.

In their last game against the Lakers, the Bucks lost by a score of 128-124. The O/U line for that game was 234 points. Milwaukee was favored by 9.5 points in that game, and they did not cover the spread.

Despite the loss, the Bucks are still in 2nd place in the Eastern Conference with a record of 46-26. Against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 31-14 and 10-7 in their division.

This season, the Bucks are the 3rd highest scoring team in the league, averaging 120.6 points per game. However, their scoring has been slightly lower on the road at 118.2 points per game (4th).

When it comes to pace, Milwaukee is 5th in the NBA at 100.5 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 7th in the league at 49%.

One interesting stat for the Bucks is their ability to get to the free-throw line. They are 2nd in the league in free throw attempts per game at 24.5. In terms of three-point shooting, Milwaukee is 4th in made threes (14.4) and 7th in three-point shooting percentage (37%).

The Bucks’ defense is presently ranked 22nd in the league, allowing an average of 117.0 points per contest. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Bucks are forcing 12.2 per game, which is 9th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 16th in blocked shots at 5 per game.

Can New Orleans Lock in a Home Win?

In Pelicans games this season, the average over/under line has been 228.1, which is higher than today’s line of 224. Overall, their games have averaged 226.2 points per game.

Looking at their ATS record, the Pelicans are 39-32 for the season. At home, they are 19-15 against the spread and 20-17 on the road.

New Orleans is 14-13 as the underdog this season and 16-11 against the spread as the underdog. Today, they are getting one point at home.

In their last game against the Thunder, the Pelicans lost 119-112. The O/U line for that game was 223.5, and the Pelicans were 1-point underdogs going into the game.

This season, the Pelicans are 44-28 overall, which is good for 5th place in the Western Conference. Against the West, they are 26-19 and 18-9 against non-conference opponents.

At home this season, the Pelicans are averaging 116.5 points per game, which is 14th in the NBA. Overall, they are 13th in scoring at 115.7 points per game. In terms of pace, they are 18th at 97.5 possessions per game.

When it comes to their shooting, the Pelicans are 8th in field goal percentage at 48%. They are also 8th in three-point shooting at 38%. In terms of free throws, they are 13th in makes at 17.7 per game.

So far this season, the Pelicans have outscored the NBA average in 51.4% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 11th in the league at 27.1 per game.

This season, the Pelicans defense has been impressive, holding the 8th position in the league while permitting an average of 110.5 points per contest. Inside the arc, the Pelicans defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 55.0% and 34.5% from three-point territory.

Pelicans vs. Bucks Player Prop

A player prop we are looking at is Zion Williamson and his points prop of 25.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -115 while the under is at -111. In this game against the Pelicans, we suggest betting on the under for Zion Williamson and his points prop set at 25.5. Our player projection model anticipates him not reaching his prop, with a projected total of 24.

  • The Prop: Zion Williamson Under 25.5 Points (-111)

Pelicans vs. Bucks Predictions

We’re calling a win for the Bucks, with a final score of 119-116, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Bucks at -1.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 224, and our model predicts the Bucks and Pelicans to score a combined 235 points. We recommend betting on the over.

The Pick: Bucks -1 | at Fanduel Sportsbook