Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Player Props & Predictions – Game 7

Minnesota Timberwolves guard Mike Conley (10) and guard Anthony Edwards (5) talk against the Denver Nuggets in the fourth quarter during game six of the second round for the 2024 NBA playoffs at Target Center.
Image Credit: Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports

For your Nuggets vs. Timberwolves prediction needs, we’ve got you covered as the Timberwolves hit the road to face the Nuggets on Sunday, May 19 at 8:00 ET. Currently, the total sits at 198.5, with the Nuggets favored by 5 at home. Keep reading to get our Nuggets vs. Timberwolves player props and predictions.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds

  • Spread: Nuggets -5
  • Total 198.5

Nuggets vs. Wolves Player Props Special

This is a no-brainer prop for NEW USERS of Underdog Fantasy on Sunday, May 19.

NBA player props - Anthony Edwards Underdog promo

Underdog Fantasy has a promotion for you to take Anthony Edwards over/under 0.5 points. Pro tip: take the over!

  • New customers can also get up to a $100 deposit bonus with promo code PROPS.
  • You can pair this with one of the aforementioned props or utilize our cheat sheets below for guidance.
  • This presents a fantastic opportunity to boost your bankroll.

To redeem this exclusive offer, simply click here or on the image above.

Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, May 19
  • Time: 8:00 ET
  • Location: Ball Arena, Denver CO
  • TV: TNT

Timberwolves Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Timberwolves have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • Minnesota has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 4-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 111 points per game while allowing 103. The team also performed well vs the spread at 4-1.
  • The Timberwolves have played well in their last five games as the betting underdog, going 4-1 straight up and 4-1 against the spread.

Nuggets Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Nuggets have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
  • Through their last ten home games, Denver has an ATS record of just 5-5. However, their overall record was 6-4 while averaging 109 points per game.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the favorite, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-2.

The Timberwolves picked up a huge win in the most recent game of this series, as they won 115-70. Minnesota was favored by two points heading into the game, and they easily covered the spread. The over/under line for the game was at 205.5 points, and the teams fell 20.5 points short of that mark.

Minnesota’s defense was outstanding in this game, as they held the Nuggets to just 30.2% shooting from the field and seven made threes. As for the Timberwolves, they hit 15 threes and shot 37.5% from beyond the arc. Anthony Edwards led all scorers with 27 points, and Jaden McDaniels also had a big game with 21 points.

Are the Timberwolves Ready for a Win at Denver?

Minnesota’s O/U record for the season is 48-44, and today’s line of 198.5 is lower than all of their previous games. On average, their games have finished with 218.5 points.

Against the spread, Minnesota is 47-44 this season, going 26-19 on the road and 21-25 at home. As the underdog, they are 15-9 ATS compared to 32-35 as the favorite.

In their last game against the Nuggets, the Timberwolves won by a score of 115-70. They were favored by 2 points and easily covered the spread. The O/U line for that game was 205.5 points.

Minnesota’s overall record this season is 56-26, which is good for 3rd place in the Western Conference. In non-conference games, they are 19-11 compared to 37-15 against the West.

The average scoring differential for Minnesota on the road is +5.0 points per game. Today, they are 5-point underdogs and have a 13-11 record as the underdog. This season, their games have averaged 198.5 points.

Minnesota comes into the game as the NBA’s 18th ranked scoring offense, averaging 113 points per game. They have been slightly better on the road, at 113.7 points per game, compared to 111.5 at home. The Timberwolves are near the bottom of the league in pace, averaging just 97 possessions per game.

Anthony Edwards is averaging 27 points per game over his last five games, hitting 53.9% of his shots from the field. In this stretch, he also averaged six assists. For the season, Edwards is at 25.9 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 5.1 assists. Karl-Anthony Towns has hit 2 threes per game over his last five games and is shooting 41.6% from downtown for the season. For the year, he is averaging 21.8 points and 8.3 rebounds.

So far this season, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been the best defensive team in the NBA, allowing just 105.9 points per game. They have also been the best team in the league at defending the field goal, allowing opponents to shoot just 45.2% from the floor.

Minnesota has been particularly effective at defending inside the arc, as they have given up just 50.8% shooting on two-point attempts, which is also tops in the NBA. Overall, they are 7th in blocked shots (6.1 per game) and 7th in steals (7.9 per game).

Over their last five games, the Timberwolves have been even better on defense, allowing just 98.8 points per game. However, they have given up a higher percentage from three-point range in that span (38%).

Will the Nuggets Secure A Victory as Home Favorites?

The Nuggets are favored by 5 points in today’s game against the Timberwolves. This season, Denver has been favored in 79 of their 82 games and has gone 57-22 straight-up as the favorite.

In games where Denver has been favored, they have gone 35-42 against the spread. On average, they have outscored their opponents by 5.8 points per game when favored.

Denver is 38-53-2 on the over/under this season, with an average O/U line of 224.2 points. Their games have averaged a combined 222.5 points.

The Nuggets are 2nd in the Western Conference with a record of 57-25. In the West, they are 33-19 against other teams and 24-6 in non-conference play.

Denver’s last game was also against the Timberwolves, and they lost by a score of 115-70. This was well below the O/U line of 205.5 points, and the Nuggets were 2-point underdogs going into the game.

For the season, Denver is 43-48 ATS, including a 23-23 record at home. On average, they have an ATS scoring margin of +8.5 points per game at home and +.3 points per game on the road.

Denver comes into the game as the 17th ranked scoring team, averaging 114.9 points per game. At home, they are 11th in the league, at 116.4 points per contest. The Nuggets are near the bottom of the league in pace, averaging 96.2 possessions per game.

Nikola Jokic is averaging 27.4 points per game over his last five games, while hitting 55.1% of his shots from the field. In these games, he averaged 10.6 rebounds and 7.8 assists. Aaron Gordon has hit 64.8% of his shots in his last five games, averaging 18 points and 6.2 rebounds.

When it comes to defense, the Denver Nuggets have been one of the best teams in the NBA this season. They are currently 6th in the league in points allowed per game at 109.0. Over their last five games, they have been even better, ranking 4th in the league in points allowed at 103.0.

One area where the Nuggets have been particularly strong this season is defending the three-point line. On the year, they are 2nd in the NBA in three-pointers made allowed per game at 11.1. Over their last five games, they have given up just 35.5% shooting from beyond the arc.

Overall, opponents have scored less than their season average in 82.9% of their games vs. the Nuggets. That number is even lower when playing in Denver, as opponents have scored less than their season average in 30.5% of their games.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Player Props

  • Nuggets F Nikola Jokic Over 8.5 Assists (-125)

Jokic averaged 9.0 assists in the regular season, and he should see all the minutes he can handle in Game 7.

He has gone over 8.5 assists in 7 of his last 10 playoff games, and we should see his top performance in this elimination game.

I’m expecting Minnesota to collapse and double-team him when possible, so look for Jokic to be a passer on Sunday.

Where to bet: Nikola Jokic over 8.5 assists | -125 at Bet365

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Predictions

As the underdogs with a spread of +5, we recommend going with the Timberwolves on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 198.5, and our model predicts the Timberwolves and Nuggets to score a combined 225 points. We recommend betting on the over.

The Pick: Timberwolves +5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook