Nuggets vs. Knicks Player Props, Odds & Predictions – Thursday, Mar 21

Nov 30, 2023; New York, New York, USA; New York Knicks forward Julius Randle (30) runs up court after a basket against the Detroit Pistons during the second half at Madison Square Garden.
Image Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

The Nuggets are all set to face off against the New York Knicks on Thursday, Mar 21. Today’s game is slated to tip off at 9:00 ET and will be shown on ALT. Denver enters this contest as 9.5-point favorites, and the over/under total stands at 207.5. Can the Knicks come out on top as the favorite? Our Nuggets vs. Knicks predictions can be found below.

Nuggets vs. Knicks Odds

  • Spread: Nuggets -9.5
  • Total 207.5

Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!

Game Info

  • Date: Thursday, Mar 21
  • Time: 9:00 ET
  • Location: Ball Arena, Denver CO
  • TV: ALT

Knicks Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Knicks have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 3-1-1 vs. the spread.
  • When looking at their past three road matchups, New York has an ATS record of 2-0-1 while averaging 107 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
  • The Knicks have played well in their last three games as the betting underdog, going 3-0 straight up and 3-0 against the spread.

Nuggets Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Nuggets have an over/under record of 3-1-1 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 7-3 while going 6-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 112 points per game in this stretch.
  • Through their previous five contests as the betting favorite, the Nuggets have a strong record of 4-1. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 2-3.

Do the Knicks Stand a Chance in Denver?

The Knicks have won four straight games and are currently 41-27 on the season, which is good for 4th place in the Eastern Conference. In the Atlantic Division, they are in 2nd place.

New York’s ATS record for the season is 37-30, and they have covered the spread in their last two games. On the road, they are 19-13 ATS compared to 18-17 at home.

As the underdog, the Knicks are 12-18 this season and have covered the spread in their last three games. Today, they are 9.5-point underdogs.

This season, the Knicks have played in games with higher over/under lines than 207.5 in 66 of their 68 games. Their O/U record for the season is 24-43-1, and their games have averaged 219.9 points.

In their last game, the Knicks beat the Warriors by a score of 119-112. They were 6.5-point underdogs going into the game. The O/U line for that game was 211.5.

When it comes to scoring, the Knicks are 22nd in the league at 112 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 113.7 points per contest.

New York is 25th in field goal percentage at 46%. In terms of pace, they are the slowest team in the league at 94.9 possessions per game.

So far this season, the Knicks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 41.2% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 29th in the league at 23.8 per game.

This season, the Knicks defense has been impressive, holding the 2nd position in the league while permitting an average of 107.9 points per contest. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Knicks defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 53.7% while allowing 36.4% from downtown.

Can the Nuggets Lock in a Home Win?

The Nuggets are 9.5-point favorites against the Knicks today and have gone 44-15 as the favorite this season. In the Western Conference, the Nuggets are in 2nd place with a record of 48-21.

In games against other Western Conference teams, the Nuggets are 27-15 and 7-5 against their division. Their non-conference record is 21-6.

Denver has won three straight games at home and has an average scoring margin of +9.3 points per game at home. On the ATS, they are 16-16 at home.

Denver’s O/U record for the season is 26-41-2, and today’s line of 207.5 is lower than all of their previous games. On average, their games have finished with 224.9 points.

In their last game, the Nuggets beat the Timberwolves by a score of 115-112. The O/U line for that game was 215.5, and Denver won by 3 points as 7.5-point favorites.

Denver’s ATS record for the season is 31-36, and they have failed to cover the spread in their last two games. In their win over the Timberwolves, they were favored by 7.5 points.

The Nuggets are one of the most efficient shooting teams in the league, ranking 4th in field goal percentage at 49%. However, they are just 28th in pace, averaging 96.1 possessions per game.

So far, Denver has made 11.5 threes per game, which is 28th in the NBA. They have also struggled at the free-throw line, ranking 29th in both attempts and makes.

At home, the Nuggets are averaging 118.9 points per game compared to 110.8 on the road. Overall, they are 14th in the league in scoring at 114.7 points per game.

On defense, the Nuggets come into the game ranked 7th in the league in points allowed at 110.2 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 108.3 points per contest (17th). When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Nuggets squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 52.5% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 35.7% from downtown.

Nuggets vs. Knicks Player Prop

A player prop we are looking at is Nikola Jokic and his points prop of 25.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -125 while the under is at -109. With his prop line at 25.5, our model indicates that taking the over is the way to go as we project him to end up with 27. We foresee him having a field goal percentage of 61.1% and connecting on one three.

  • The Prop: Nikola Jokic Over 25.5 Points (-125)

Nuggets vs. Knicks Predictions

For a pick on the point-spread in this Nuggets vs. Knicks matchup, our bet is to grab the Knicks at +9.5. Even though our projections have the Nuggets winning 111-108, we see the Knicks as the play on the point-spread.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 207.5 and our model has the Knicks and Nuggets finishing with a combined 219 points. Our pick is to take the over.

The Pick: Knicks +9.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook