Nuggets vs. Kings Player Props, Odds & Predictions – Wednesday, Feb 28

Nov 24, 2023; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Sacramento Kings guard De'Aaron Fox (5) handles the ball against the Minnesota Timberwolves during the first quarter at Target Center.
Image Credit: Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

If you’re looking for Nuggets vs. Kings predictions, you’ve come to the right place. The Kings are on the move to take on the Nuggets on Wednesday, Feb 28 at 9:00 ET. At present, the total is set at 231, and the Nuggets are favored by 7.5 at home. Keep reading to get our Nuggets vs. Kings player props and predictions.

Nuggets vs. Kings Odds

  • Spread: Nuggets -7.5
  • Total 231

Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!

Game Info

  • Date: Wednesday, Feb 28
  • Time: 9:00 ET
  • Location: Ball Arena, Denver CO
  • TV: NBCS

Kings Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Kings have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • The Kings are 2-1 ATS in their three last road games and 2-1 straight-up.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Kings have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.

Nuggets Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Nuggets have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • Denver has played well in their previous three home games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 113 points per game while allowing 109. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Denver has an ATS mark of 4-5-1 while going 8-2 straight up.

Will the Kings’ Defense Show Up in Denver?

Sacramento is 33-24 this season and currently sits in 7th place in the Western Conference. In games against other Western Conference teams, they are 22-15 and 11-9 in non-conference games.

On the road, the Kings are 17-14 this season and have won their last two games as the underdog. Against the spread, they are 18-13 on the road and 29-28 overall.

Sacramento’s O/U record for the season is 30-26-1, and their games have averaged 236.4 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 231 points.

In their last game, the Kings lost to the Heat by a score of 121-110. The O/U line for that game was 224.5 points. Sacramento was favored by 7 points going into the game.

For the season, the Kings have an ATS record of 29-28, and they have failed to cover in their last two games on the road. As the underdog, their ATS record is 10-7 compared to 19-21 as the favorite.

When it comes to scoring, the Kings are 8th in the NBA at 118.5 points per game. However, on the road, they are averaging 115.9 points per game compared to 121.6 at home. Overall, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in 64.9% of their games.

One of the reasons the Kings are one of the top-scoring teams in the league is their three-point shooting. They are 4th in both three-pointers made and attempted per game. In terms of pace, Sacramento is 10th in the NBA.

So far this season, the Kings have been an above-average shooting team, ranking 11th in field goal percentage. When it comes to getting to the free-throw line, they are 21st in attempts and 26th in made free throws per game.

On defense, the Kings come into the game ranked 23rd in the league in points allowed at 117.9 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 116.7 points per contest (25th). When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Kings squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 54.4% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 39.3% from downtown.

Will the Nuggets Win at Home?

The Nuggets are currently favored by 7.5 points at home against the Kings. In their last game, Denver covered the spread as 2-point underdogs in a 119-103 win over the Warriors.

Denver has won three straight games and is 39-19 on the season, which is good for 3rd place in the Western Conference. In games against other Western Conference teams, the Nuggets are 22-13 and 5-5 against other teams in the Northwest Division.

When looking at their ATS record, the Nuggets are 25-31 overall and 13-13 at home. They have covered the spread in three straight games and have an average scoring margin of +9.6 points per game at home.

This season, the average over/under line in Nuggets games is 227.7, which is lower than today’s line of 231. Overall, their games have averaged 225.2 points per game, and their O/U record for the season is 21-36-1.

In their last game against the Warriors, the Nuggets won 119-103. The O/U line for that game was 232.5, and Denver was the 2-point underdog going into the game.

At home, the Nuggets are averaging 119.1 points per game (9th). Overall, they are 16th in the NBA at 114.5 points per game. In terms of pace, Denver is 29th in the league at 96.1 possessions per game.

When it comes to field goal percentage, the Nuggets are 6th in the NBA at 49%. However, they are just 27th in three-point shooting percentage (36%). In terms of three-point attempts, Denver is 27th in the league.

So far this season, the Nuggets have outscored the NBA scoring average in 46.6% of their games. In terms of free throws, Denver is 27th in the league at 15.6 made free throws per game.

Coming into today’s game, the Nuggets’ defense is giving up an average of 110.7 points per contest. Inside the arc, the Nuggets defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 52.6% and 36.2% from three-point territory.

Nuggets vs. Kings Player Prop

A player prop we are looking at is De’Aaron Fox and his points prop of 25.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -129 while the under is at -106. Considering his prop is set at 25.5, our model recommends taking the over, as we expect him to finish with 27. We anticipate him shooting 47.6% from the field and making three threes.

  • The Prop: De’Aaron Fox Over 25.5 Points (-129)

Nuggets vs. Kings Predictions

For a pick on the point-spread in this Nuggets vs. Kings matchup, our bet is to grab the Kings at +7.5. Even though our projections have the Nuggets winning 123-122, we see the Kings as the play on the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 231, and our model predicts the Kings and Nuggets to score a combined 245 points. We recommend betting on the over.

The Pick: Kings +7.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook