Mavericks vs. Wizards Player Props & Predictions – Monday, Feb 12

Nov 1, 2023; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Washington Wizards forward Kyle Kuzma (33) dribbles against the Atlanta Hawks in the second half at State Farm Arena.
Image Credit: Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports

For your Mavericks vs. Wizards predictions needs, we’ve got you covered as the Wizards hit the road to face the Mavericks on Monday, Feb 12 at 8:30 ET. Currently, the total sits at 247.5, with the Mavericks favored by 13.5 at home. Keep reading to get our Mavericks vs. Wizards player props and predictions.

Mavericks vs. Wizards Odds

  • Spread: Mavericks -13.5
  • Total 247.5

Game Info

  • Date: Monday, Feb 12
  • Time: 8:30 ET
  • Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas TX
  • TV: BSSW

Wizards Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Wizards have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-2-1 vs. the spread.
  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Washington has an ATS record of 5-0 while averaging 120 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
  • In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Wizards have a straight up record of 2-8 and an ATS mark of 4-5-1.

Mavericks Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Mavericks have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
  • Across their last three home contests, Dallas has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-0. Their overall mark in these games was 3-0, while averaging 119 points per game.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 6-4. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-5.

Can Washington Pull Out the Win as Road Underdogs?

In their last game, the Wizards lost to the 76ers by a score of 119-113. The O/U line for that game was 243.5, and Washington covered the spread as 5.5-point underdogs.

For the season, the Wizards are 9-43 and are currently in 14th place in the Eastern Conference. Against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 6-31 and 2-10 against teams in their division.

Washington has lost six straight games and is 17-9 ATS on the road this season. As the underdog, they have covered the spread in their last six games and have an overall ATS record of 24-27 on the road.

As the underdog this season, the Wizards are 9-40 and are 24-24 ATS as the underdog. Today, they are 13.5-point underdogs, and their O/U record for the season is 24-28.

On average, the Wizards’ games have seen a combined scoring total of 238.7 points. Today’s O/U line is set at 247.5, and 43 of their games have had lower O/U lines than that.

Heading into their matchup with the Mavericks, the Wizards are ranked 17th in the NBA in scoring at 114.8 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 115.3 points per game compared to 114.2 at home.

Washington is the top-ranked team in terms of pace, averaging 102.4 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, the Wizards are 15th in the league at 47%. They are also 9th in assists at 28 per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Wizards are 19th in made threes at 12.1 per game. However, their three-point shooting percentage of 35% is 27th in the NBA.

Facing Dallas, the Wizards aim for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 123.9 points allowed per game (30th). When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Wizards squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 56.8% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 37.0% from downtown.

Will the Mavericks Come Through as Home Favorites?

The Mavericks have won four straight games and are currently 30-23 on the season. In the Western Conference, they are in 8th place and 2nd in the Southwest Division.

Dallas is favored by 13.5 points today and has gone 21-8 straight-up as the favorite. In these games, they have an average scoring margin of +6.2 points per game. As the favorite, they have gone 18-11 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +3.1 points per game.

On average, Mavericks games have seen 236.8 points scored this season, which is lower than today’s O/U line of 247.5. The team’s O/U record for the season is 28-25, and the over has hit in their last two games.

In their last game, the Mavericks defeated the Thunder by a score of 146-111. The O/U line for that game was 238.5 points. Dallas covered the spread as 1.5-point underdogs.

This season, the Mavericks are 7th in the NBA in scoring at 118.8 points per game. At home, they are averaging 120.8 points per game, which is 8th in the league. In terms of pace, Dallas is 12th at 99.5 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Mavericks are 2nd in both three-pointers made and attempted. However, they are just 10th in three-point shooting percentage at 37%. Overall, the team is 13th in field goal percentage.

So far, the Mavericks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 58.5% of their games. They have also outscored their own scoring average in each of their last three games. In terms of assists, Dallas is 22nd in the league.

The Mavericks’ defense is presently ranked 21st in the league, allowing an average of 117.9 points per contest. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Mavericks defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 56.0% while allowing 36.9% from downtown.

Mavericks vs. Wizards Player Prop

A player prop we are looking at is Luka Doncic and his points prop of 33.5.

Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -104 while the under is at -122. Considering his prop is set at 33.5, our model recommends taking the over, as we expect him to finish with 34. We anticipate him shooting 45.8% from the field and making four threes.

  • The Prop: Luka Doncic Over 33.5 Points (-104)

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Mavericks vs. Wizards Predictions

For a point-spread bet in this Wizards vs. Mavericks matchup, we’re leaning towards the Wizards at +13.5. Although our projections show the Mavericks winning 130-118, we suggest placing your bet on the Wizards for the point-spread.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 247.5 and given that our model is projecting 248 points between the teams, we like the over.

The Pick: Wizards +13.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook