Welcome to Longshot Logic, where each day I’m going to pick a longshot parlay, using … well, something a little less than logic.
But then we will let logic take over in the form of Gambly and ask it to give us its own math-based longshot parlay.
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Longshot Logic: Thursday, December 5th
MORE PROPS: NFL | NBA | NHL | PGA | CFB
Who will reign supreme between man and machine? Well, hopefully both of us over the long term, but in the interest of my ego, I kind of hope it’s me.
Thursday, December 5th NFL/NBA Preview
Today, I’m going to BetMGM to do a little cross-sport player props parlay, starting with Isaiah Hartenstein to go over 1.5 blocks against the Toronto Raptors at +140.
Hartenstein has averaged a little under a block per game in his career, but the Raptors are averaging nearly three shots blocked per game, third only to Houston. Meanwhile, Hartenstein is seeing 30 minutes per game so far this year, more than five minutes more than he’s ever averaged.
Hartenstein is leg one, and leg two will take us to Detroit, where I’m going to add both Jameson Williams (+200) and Christian Watson (+225) to find the endzone tonight.
Both the Lions and Packers are dealing with injuries to on the defensive side of the ball, and I like the idea of this game shooting out. And these are the two big-play receivers.
Mash it together, we’re at +1220.
Over at Gambly, we asked for the best-looking – by expected ROI – +1200 or so player prop parlay on the evening, and it gave us this three-point barrage at DraftKings:
The robots’ +1311 parlay picks for tonight’s NBA action:
OG Anunoby over 1.5 threes at +140
Jamal Murray over 2.5 threes at +140
Luguentz Dort over 2.5 threes at +145
It should be noted Gambly recently added operators like Underdog and PrizePicks also, making the product that much more helpful for finding value.
Thursday Longshot Parlays:
Here’s a recap of Thursday’s picks from both myself and Gambly:
Man: Isaiah Hartensein OVER 1.5 blocks, Jameson Williams anytime TD, Christian Watson anytime TD (+1220)
Machine: OG Anunoby OVER 1.5 threes, Jamal Murray OVER 2.5 threes, Luguentz Dort OVER 2.5 threes (+1311)
Remember that this content was produced earlier today and that the biggest edges on Gambly are likely to change later on as more player news gets released.
What is Gambly and why should I be using it?
Gambly is your sports betting co-pilot. It uses market data to calculate each bet’s expected ROI, allowing you to find the biggest edges in any situation.
With bet slip integration, click a bet on Gambly and have it load directly on your sportsbook.
You can also create alerts and receive push and email notifications when lines are posted or odds change.
Sports betting lovers can access Gambly either through the website or via the mobile app, which is now available in the App Store. The tool is currently FREE for all, so be sure to check it out if you want to improve your process even more!
Looking for more information on Gambly and how it works? Head over to their website FAQ to find more in-depth information about the product.
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