Lakers vs. Warriors Player Props & Predictions – Saturday, Mar 16

Los Angeles Lakers forward LeBron James (23) controls the ball against the Phoenix Suns during the second half at Arena.
Image Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

The Lakers are all set to face off against the Golden State Warriors on Saturday, Mar 16. Today’s game is slated to tip off at 8:30 ET and will be shown on ABC. Los Angeles enters this contest as 2.5-point favorites, and the over/under total stands at 233.5. Can the Warriors come out on top as the favorite? Our Lakers vs. Warriors player props and predictions can be found below.

Lakers vs. Warriors Odds

  • Spread: Lakers -2.5
  • Total 233.5

Game Info

  • Date: Saturday, Mar 16
  • Time: 8:30 ET
  • Location: Arena, Los Angeles CA
  • TV: ABC

Warriors Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Warriors have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • Through their last three road contests, the Warriors offense has averaged 99 points per game while allowing an average of 117. Golden State posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 1-2 ATS.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Warriors have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-2.

Lakers Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Lakers have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Lakers have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 4-6 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 117 points per game in these contests.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Los Angeles has an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 7-3 straight up.

Will the Warriors Exceed Expectations on the Road?

In Golden State’s last game against the Mavericks, the two teams combined for 208 points, falling short of the O/U line of 234. The Warriors lost the game by a score of 109-99.

Today, Golden State is looking to snap a two-game losing streak as the underdog. So far this season, they have gone 6-17 as the underdog and are 14-8 ATS in those games. The Warriors’ ATS record as the underdog on the road is 21-10.

On the season, the Warriors are 35-29 against the spread and have a road ATS record of 21-10. Their straight-up road record is 17-14, and they have an average scoring differential of +2.9 points per game.

In Western Conference play, the Warriors are 17-23 and are currently in 10th place. Against the Pacific Division, they are 5-9 and have a 34-31 overall record.

The average O/U line in Golden State’s games this season is 232.7, and their games have averaged 234.9 points. The team’s O/U record for the season is 31-33-1, and the under has hit in their last two games.

When it comes to scoring on the road, the Warriors are one of the best in the league, averaging 118.8 points per game away from home (2nd). Overall, they are 8th in the NBA at 118.2 PPG.

Golden State has outscored the NBA scoring average in 60% of their games this season. However, they have scored below their own average in their last three games and are 40% on the season.

When it comes to pace, the Warriors are 8th in the league at 100.2 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 16th in the NBA at 47%.

So far, the Warriors’ defense is ranked 18th in the league at 116.7 points per contest. The Golden State defense has allowed opponents to shoot 35.7% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 47.0% of their field goal attempts vs. Golden State.

Is a Home Win Possible for the Lakers?

Today, the Lakers are favored by 2.5 points at home against the Warriors. As the favorite, the Lakers have gone 23-12 this season, and they are 14-21 ATS as the favorite.

In the Western Conference standings, the Lakers are currently in 9th place with a record of 36-31. In the Pacific Division, they are 4th. The Lakers have a 24-22 record against other Western Conference teams and are 12-9 in non-conference games.

On average, the Lakers’ games have finished with 234.7 points per game, which is higher than today’s O/U line of 233.5. This season, their games have averaged an O/U line of 232.6.

In their last game, the Lakers lost to the Kings by a score of 120-107. The Lakers were favored by 2.5 points in that game, and the O/U line was 238.5. The Lakers’ ATS record for the season is 30-37, and they have an average scoring differential of +4.4 points per game at home.

At home, the Lakers are 10th in the NBA in scoring at 118.2 points per game. Overall, they are 10th in the league in scoring at 117.1 points per game. The Lakers are 4th in pace at 100.8 possessions per game.

Los Angeles is 3rd in the NBA in field goal percentage at 49%. They are also 7th in true shooting percentage. In terms of two-point shooting, the Lakers are 8th in the league at 56%.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Lakers are 8th in three-point percentage at 37%. However, they are last in the NBA in three-point attempts at just 30.8 per game. In terms of free throws, the Lakers are 7th in made free throws per game at 18.4.

So far, the Lakers defense is giving up 117.6 points per contest, which has them sitting 22nd in the NBA. One thing to note, is they have given up more points than their season average in two straight matchups. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Lakers squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 54.3% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 37.8% from downtown.

Lakers vs. Warriors Player Props

A player prop we are looking at is Stephen Curry and his points prop of 25.5.

Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -109 while the under is at -125. Our model predicts that Stephen Curry will finish the game going 9/20 from the field and scoring 27 points. Our suggested wager is to bet on the over for his prop bet, which comes with a payout of -109.

  • The Prop: Stephen Curry Over 25.5 Points (-109)

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Lakers vs. Warriors Predictions

We’re putting our money on the Lakers to win, and have the projected score sitting at 118-115. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Lakers at -2.5.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 233.5 and our model has the Warriors and Lakers finishing with a combined 233 points. Our pick is to take the under.

The Pick: Lakers -2.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook