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Don’t Look Down – NFL Conference Championship Ladder Bets

Justin Bales

Last updated: January 26, 2025

Jan 19, 2025; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Eagles running back Saquon Barkley (26) carries the ball to score a touchdown against the Los Angeles Rams in the second half in a 2025 NFC divisional round game at Lincoln Financial Field.

We asked our Props analyst, Justin Bales, to come up with his best NFL ladder bets for the Conference Championship matchups. Let’s dive into the top NFL betting picks today.

If you’re not familiar with this kind of play, a ladder bet is essentially betting on a prop at multiple lines with the odds getting progressively larger the further up the ladder you go.

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Don’t Look Down – NFL Conference Championship Ladder Bets

We’ve done the research for you here and below we’ll dive into all of the rationale for our best NFL ladder bets for the Conference Championship matchups.

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Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards Ladder

Barkley recorded one of the best rushing seasons in NFL history. He posted 2,005 yards and 13 touchdowns on 345 carries. He also didn’t play in the final game of the season or there would be a real chance he’d break the single-season rushing record. 

Barkley’s also looked incredible in the postseason. He recorded 119 yards on 25 carries in the Wildcard Round against the Green Bay Packers. He followed that up with 205 yards and 2 touchdowns on 26 carries against the Los Angeles Rams. 

Barkley gets an elite matchup against the Washington Commanders this weekend. They’re allowing the fourth-most rushing yards (113.8) per game to opposing running backs. The Commanders are also giving up 4.9 yards per carry. 

Barkley’s already faced off against Washington twice this season. He posted 146 yards and 2 touchdowns on 26 carries in Week 11. He dominated them for the second time, recording 150 yards and 2 touchdowns on 29 carries in Week 16. 

The Philadelphia Eagles are clearly happy to ride Barkley throughout the playoffs, and I don’t see that changing this week. We’re getting an extremely high total here, but we could see upwards of 30 carries for the star running back. 

I don’t believe he’s going to go for 200 yards again, but he makes an elite option on this slate. 

What to Bet: Saquon Barkley 130+ rushing yards through 180+ rushing yards

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Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards Ladder

Kincaid took a step back for the Buffalo Bills this season. He recorded 44 receptions for 448 yards and 2 touchdowns on 71 targets across 13 games. Surprisingly, he topped out at 53 yards against the Detroit Lions in Week 15. 

Kincaid’s seen mixed results in the playoffs. He posted 3 receptions for 47 yards on 3 targets against the Denver Broncos in the Wildcard Round. He only recorded 11 yards against the Baltimore Ravens, but Buffalo didn’t need to throw a ton in that game. 

Kincaid gets an elite matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs this weekend. They’re allowing a league-high 70.1 receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends this season. The Chiefs are also giving up 6.2 receptions on 8.0 targets per game to the position. 

Kansas City’s only played one game in the playoffs thus far, but they continued to struggle against tight ends. Dalton Schultz posted 63 yards on 4 targets, which was the second-most of any Houston receiver. 

The Bills are small underdogs in this game, and they’re likely to be throwing throughout the entire game. Kincaid doesn’t play the natural tight end position, but he should still find plenty of success in this game. 

What to Bet: Dalton Kincaid 40+ receiving yards through 90+ receiving yards

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