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First, our trusted analysts will outline their best NBA player props tonight, then we’ll provide a comprehensive guide to the world of NBA player picks.
Let’s dive into it!
Key news to watch (status as of 3:10 ET)
— Underdog NBA (@UnderdogNBA) January 7, 2026
Questionable:
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, LeBron James, Victor Wembanyama, Cade Cunningham, Ja Morant, Brandon Miller, Draymond Green, Trey Murphy III, Coby White, Herb Jones, Onyeka Okongwu, Ace Bailey
Probable:
James Harden, Joel Embiid,… pic.twitter.com/0pWvfSfUNV
Best NBA Player Props Today: Wednesday, Jan. 7th
Every day during the NBA regular season and playoffs, we run through our favorite picks of the night. Got crushed yesterday, can’t sugarcoat it.
Each play is to return a full unit unless noted otherwise. As always, this content is always 100% FREE!
Here’s who stands out most today:
Jalen Williams > 20.5 Points
Please actually read this blurb! It’s a bit of a risky play that could get big CLV by the evening.
The Thunder are heavy, heavy favorites in this game, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander just got downgraded to questionable. Now, more often than not, players sit in this situation, but this is definitely a risk we’re taking. However, since the Thunder are such massive favorites, this looks like pretty obvious load management by OKC to rest their superstar.
Jalen Williams’ points prop bumped up a few points already, and he hasn’t been fantastic overall this season, I’ll be honest. He’s actually only scored 25 or more points in one game all year – and that game happened to be against the Utah Jazz without Shai Gilgeous-Alexander on the floor.
Here’s the kicker: Williams only played 25 minutes in that game due to a blowout, and he still hit 25 points. So even with limited time, he produced in this exact scenario.
Now, a blowout is still a legitimate concern tonight given the 17.5-point spread. But I expect Williams to shoulder more of the offensive load early. When you look at the numbers, without SGA on the court this year, Williams gets more than a 5% usage increase, up to 30%. That’s massive for his scoring equity.
This is such a great matchup – a massive pace-up spot against the Jazz with minimal defensive resistance. Utah gives up points in bunches, and the Thunder should be running all night.
Just know that if SGA does play, this bet doesn’t look nearly as good. However, I’m going to hit it early in hopes that SGA is ruled out, because if and when that news officially drops, this line will probably go up a few more points.
Play on: Underdog
Houston Rockets Player Props
- Jabari Smith > 23.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists
- Tari Eason > 22.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists
I think there’s a really strong scenario where both players can get there tonight. I would be shocked if BOTH of them missed these numbers.
Houston will be facing Portland, and the Rockets are just 6.5-point road favorites here. Now, the Blazers have been playing some pretty competitive basketball this year despite their sub-.500 record, so this should stay relatively close.
The big thing here is that Alperen Sengun remains out for Houston. That’s massive for the frontcourt usage. I understand Smith and Eason might not play the full 36 minutes tonight, but both of their per-36-minute averages have crushed these lines when Sengun has been off the floor this year.
Smith should see major minutes as the starting big. He’s inefficient at times, but that’s okay – we’ll take the gamble on volume. Tari Eason can rack up peripheral stats easily and just needs to put the ball in the hoop a few more times than he typically does. Sengun’s absence definitely helps both of those scenarios play out.
But the matchup here is what makes a big difference, and I think these lines are both maybe 1 or 2 PRA too short given the pace spot. When you look at Portland, they rank 19th in defensive rating and 4th in pace. That pace stat is the key here.
This is a monster, monster pace-up spot for Houston, who ranks 28th in pace. It doesn’t get much better than this. Houston has a healthy ~114 implied team total, which is 14 more points than they scored two nights ago.
I think even with a bit of inefficiency from both guys, as long as this game is fairly competitive, the pace should help them rack up some peripheral stats across the board.
Play on: Underdog
As always, it’s 100% FREE:
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NBA DFS Pick’Em FAQ
We love the NBA DFS pick’em projections available at top-flight daily fantasy sites like Underdog and Sleeper. They offer a very similar experience to player props.
You’ll often find a lot of value and strong payouts available at legal DFS sites. These apps are also available in many states that don’t yet have legal online sports betting.
Check out our resources on these DFS pick’em sites:
- Best NBA DFS Apps
- Underdog
- Sleeper
- Betr Picks
- Chalkboard
- Boom Fantasy
- ParlayPlay
- DraftKings Pick6
- FanDuel Picks
Where To Place NBA Player Props Bets
The sportsbooks and daily fantasy sites featured in this article offer more than enough options to satisfy your NBA player props needs. As outlined before, always shop around for the best price when it comes to NBA player props.
You can’t go wrong with DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook when it comes to any kind of sports bet. Take a look at the following guides to see if DraftKings and FanDuel are legal in your state:
Best Sweepstakes Sites For NBA Props
- Novig
- Fliff (click here for our full review)
- Thrillzz (click here for our full review)
- Rebet
Best NBA Prediction Market Sites
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Interested in trying it out? Click the link above!
More Sports Betting Resources
Check out the Props.com NBA Betting Guide and Guide To Prop Betting for more on how to bet props on the world’s premier professional basketball league.
For more on the available sports betting bonuses in your state, take a look at some of these Props.com resources:
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PrizePicks and other DFS apps offer fantasy prop contests that are very similar to prop betting. Check out our apps like PrizePicks guide, which outlines some of the best sports gaming options available in most U.S. states (even the ones that haven’t legalized sports betting).
Wondering if the PrizePicks daily fantasy app is legal in California? Check out the Is PrizePicks Legal in California? Guide.
Complete NBA Prop Bet Guide
The National Basketball Association (NBA) has become one of the biggest betting markets in the thriving US sports betting industry. There are several great ways to bet on the NBA, but NBA prop betting is one of the latest trends that is starting to become more popular.
NBA prop betting has now taken on a life of its own in some respects, and you will see more of these betting options available every season. If you have not yet made an NBA prop bet, then this upcoming season is the perfect time to start.
This NBA prop betting guide will help explain what this type of betting is, and it will also give you some tips on how to become a better bettor when it comes to this form of sports wagering.
What Is A Prop Bet?
A prop bet is unlike any other form of betting that is offered in the US sports betting industry. Most typical options focus on the outcome of a sporting event, but that isn’t the case with a prop bet.
This form of betting focuses on events that occur during a game, and that is what makes this betting style unique. NBA prop betting started with only a handful of options, but that is no longer the case. There is currently a vast market for this type of wager, and new NBA prop betting options continue to emerge.
NBA Prop Betting Options
It’s hard to predict what NBA prop betting options will be offered individual sports options arens that are pretty standard. This list has continued to grow over the last few years, and that should be a common theme in the future.
Here are some of the top NBA prop betting markets you will see in the sportsbook, but there could always be more added on a case-by-case basis.
NBA Draft Props
Before the NBA season even starts each year, the NBA Draft takes place. This has turned into one of the biggest nights on the NBA calendar, and it is also a great time to make an NBA prop betting wager.
There are several different ways to bet on the NBA Draft, and all of the different options would be considered a prop bet. Here are some of the common NBA Draft options that you might see:
- Who will be the first player to be drafted overall?
- Will the first player be from the United States or an international prospect?
- Which conference will have the most first-round draft picks?
NBA Player Props
The most common NBA prop betting option that you will see, and also the most popular to make, is what is known as an individual prop bet. This is also called an NBA player prop bet, and it is a wager placed on a certain statistic for an NBA player.
Sportsbooks are going to have long lists for this type of wager as they are trying to get as much action as possible. Usually, only the top players in each game will be featured, but you can also find options for reserves as well.
It’s hard to come up with potential options for this type of bet because there will be such a long list that is out there.
Team Prop Bet
A team prop bet is extremely similar to an individual prop bet, but it focuses on one team as opposed to just one individual. This has become a popular NBA prop betting option as some bettors tend to prefer wagering on a team rather than just looking at one player.
There are times that sportsbooks will put each team in an NBA game against one another to come up with this type of prop betting option. Here are a few NBA team prop betting options that you might see:
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers lead wire-to-wire?
- Who will have more dunks in the game: Chicago Bulls or Detroit Pistons?
- Will there be over/under 2.5 technical fouls for the Cleveland Cavaliers?
Full Season Prop Bets
One of the newest forms of prop betting that you will find is what is known as a full-season prop bet. This closely resembles a futures bet in traditional sports betting, and that has become a popular number of bettors to wager on the NBA.
With a full-season prop bet, most of the bets lock when the regular season begins. The final result of a full-season NBA prop bet isn’t revealed until the end of the season, so some patience is required for this type of bet.
Here are some potential full-season NBA prop bets that you might see:
- Will a center win the NBA MVP Award?
- Will any NBA team win at least 70 games during the regular season?
- Over/Under 2.5 sub-.500 teams that make the NBA Playoffs.
NBA All-Star Game Weekend
The NBA All-Star Game has transformed into a full weekend of festivities, and the sportsbooks in the United States have taken note. The All-Star Game itself is a big draw, but so are the Slam Dunk Contest and the Three-Point Shootout.
If you are someone who is looking to wager on the NBA outside of an actual game, then the All-Star Game weekend might be the perfect time for you. You will find a long list of NBA prop betting options during this time, and here are some that you might see:
- Which participant will win the Slam Dunk Contest?
- Over/Under 28.5 points was the highest score in the three-point shootout.
- Who will win the NBA All-Star Game MVP Award?
Are You Looking For Fun Or Skill Options?
Now that you know some of the top NBA prop betting options that are out there, you also have to ask yourself another question: are you looking for fun prop bets, or do you want to use your NBA knowledge?
Pro actually got its start as a fun way to bet on the Super Bowl, but you can now wager on prop bets that require some knowledge and skill. Before you click the “submit” button on an NBA prop betting wager, it is important to know what type of bet you are making.
Fun Prop Bets
A fun prop bet is a way to get non-sports fans interested in making a wager on an NBA betting market. This type of prop bet doesn’t usually require any basketball knowledge to place the wager, and it focuses on events that take place off of the court.
Here are some examples of potential fun NBA prop bets:
- Will the NBA Championship coach have Gatorade poured on his head?
- Will there be a Budweiser commercial during the first quarter?
- Will a certain celebrity be sitting courtside for this NBA game?
Skill Prop Bets
Nearly all of the prop betting options that are listed above in the previous section would be classified under “skill prop bets.” These are wagers that focus on the action that takes place on the and require some basic or advanced NBA knowledge to win.
If you are going to make a skilled NBA prop bet, then you are going to have to do some research. There can still be some “luck” involved in this type of wager, but the bettor will have a pretty good idea of how a certain game or event will play out.
NBA Player Prop Betting Tips
Now that you have read about some of the top NBA prop betting options that are out there, you are probably excited to get in on the action. Before you start making some NBA prop betting wagers, it is important to look at some tips or strategies that will help you be more successful with this type of betting.
Beware Of Load Management
The term “load management” is typically only used when it comes to the NBA, and it is a term that can have a huge impact on NBA prop betting. Load management refers to teams resting some of their strong efforts to keep them healthy and fresh for the postseason.
When top players are sitting out of games, it can have a big impact on NBA prop betting, especially when it comes to team betting options. This information isn’t always easy to find as you must search long and hard to find out what players might be missing.
Focus On Key Players
If you are planning on making an NBA prop bet on an individual player, then it is wise to only wager on the biggest stars for each team. Those are the players that will have the most information available, and that will allow you to do plenty of research.
It might seem tempting to bet on a reserve player to go over a certain number of points or assists, but you need to be certain that you have researched recent trends and analyzed that particular matchup.
Show Some Restraint
Finally, if you are planning on getting involved in NBA prop bets, you must show some restraint when it comes to betting. You are going to be overwhelmed with NBA prop betting options, but that doesn’t mean that you have to wager on each market.
It is important to use a smaller betting unit when you are making an NBA prop betting wager as this isn’t usually an easy bet to win. If you don’t like any of the NBA prop betting options that are listed, then it is best to take the night off and try again on another date.
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