We’ve got you covered for the best Luka Doncic props today with predictions and Luka best bets on Friday vs the Pelicans. After posting 38 points, 6 rebounds, 7 assists in a road win @ Charlotte (Nov 10), Doncic struggled recently with just 19 points on 7-20 FG in a blowout loss @ Oklahoma City (Nov 12). The 8-4 Lakers (5th in Western Conference) travel to face the 2-9 Pelicans (15th in Western Conference) for an NBA Cup group stage matchup on Friday. The Lakers are 10.5-point favorites, with Doncic expected to carry the offensive load while LeBron James remains sidelined with a back injury. Here’s the complete Luka Doncic props breakdown with stats and fantasy projections.
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Luka Doncic Best Bets – Props Friday & Expert Picks
Through 8 games, Luka Doncic is having one of the most dominant statistical seasons to begin a campaign. He’s averaging 34.9 points per game (on pace for 34.9 PPG over 82 games), 9.1 rebounds, and 8.9 assists on elite 47.6% field goal shooting, 30.8% from three, and 77.5% free throw shooting. His 36.6 minutes per game show he’s shouldering a massive offensive load while LeBron James recovers from a back injury.
2025-26 Season Stats (8 games played through Nov 12):
- Points: 279 (34.9 PPG) — On pace for 2,862 PPG over 82 games
- Rebounds: 73 (9.1 RPG)
- Assists: 71 (8.9 APG) — Triple-double threat nightly
- Field Goal %: 47.6% (69-145 FGA)
- Three-Point %: 30.8% (28-91 from 3)
- Free Throw %: 77.5% (69-89 FTA)
- Minutes: 293 (36.6 MPG)
- Steals: 14 (1.8 per game)
- Blocks: 3 (0.4 per game)
- Turnovers: 31 (3.9 per game)
The Lakers (8-4, 5th in West) are competing for playoff positioning despite LeBron’s absence. Doncic has been forced into an MVP-caliber role early in the season, with his playmaking (8.9 APG) making him one of the league’s elite facilitators alongside his scoring prowess.
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Lakers vs Pelicans Game Info
- Date/Time: Friday, November 14, 2025
- Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
- Lakers Record: 8-4 (5th in Western Conference)
- Pelicans Record: 2-9 (15th in Western Conference)
- Spread: Lakers -10.5
- Format: NBA Cup Group Stage (preseason-style tournament)
Luka Doncic Fantasy Points: DFS Projections Tonight
For DFS players targeting Luka Doncic fantasy points (DraftKings scoring), here’s the breakdown. These projections can help you bet on Doncic over/unders as well:
- Conservative Estimate (28 pts, 8 reb, 7 ast, 3 FGA misses): 48-50 fantasy points
- Expected Estimate (34 pts, 9 reb, 9 ast, 2 turnovers): 58-62 fantasy points
- Ceiling Estimate (42+ pts, 11 reb, 10+ ast, efficient shooting): 72-76 fantasy points
Luka Doncic Game Log 2025
Let’s break down Luka’s recent game log heading into tonight’s game:
- Oct 21 vs Golden State (L 119-109, HOME): 43 pts (17-27 FG, 2-10 3P, 7-10 FT), 12 reb, 9 ast, 41 min
- Oct 24 vs Minnesota (W 128-110, HOME): 49 pts (14-23 FG, 5-12 3P, 16-19 FT), 11 reb, 8 ast, 35 min — Season-high 49 points
- Oct 31 @ Memphis (W 117-112, ROAD): 44 pts (14-27 FG, 6-15 3P, 10-13 FT), 12 reb, 6 ast, 39 min
- Nov 2 vs Miami (W 130-120, HOME): 29 pts (9-22 FG, 1-11 3P, 10-12 FT), 11 reb, 10 ast, 38 min
- Nov 5 vs San Antonio (W 118-116, HOME): 35 pts (9-27 FG, 4-11 3P, 13-17 FT), 9 reb, 13 ast, 42 min — Season-high 13 assists
- Nov 8 @ Atlanta (L 122-102, ROAD): 22 pts (7-17 FG, 4-10 3P, 4-6 FT), 5 reb, 11 ast, 27 min
- Nov 10 @ Charlotte (W 121-111, ROAD): 38 pts (14-28 FG, 5-15 3P, 5-5 FT), 6 reb, 7 ast, 38 min
- Nov 12 @ Oklahoma City (L 121-92, ROAD): 19 pts (7-20 FG, 1-7 3P, 4-7 FT), 7 reb, 7 ast, 33 min
Best Luka Doncic Prop Today – Higher Than 22.5 FGA
I’m expecting Luka to get back on track in a big way. There is a massive spread on this game, so there are surely some blowout concerns. However, if there is a blowout, it’ll likely be due to the guy with the monster usage rate.
- Struggled against elite defenses: 19 pts vs OKC (3rd in defensive rating), 22 pts vs ATL (strong defense)
- Elite vs weak defenses: 43 pts vs GS (weak offense-focus), 49 pts vs MIN (weak defense)
- Playmaking consistent: 6-13 assists in every game (8.9 APG average)
- Recent slump: Last 2 games: 57 pts combined on 11-40 FG (27.5%) — needs rhythm
At worst, I am expecting Luka to get his shots up. And with this being an NBA Cup game, point differential matters, so these guys will be out there longer than usual in a rout.
Expert Pick: Luka Doncic Higher Than 22.5 Field Goals Attempted | Underdog
