Looking for the best Rico Dowdle prediction Sunday with props this week, and Dowdle fantasy points projections? Dowdle is having a breakout 2025 season after signing with the Carolina Panthers in free agency (March 2025), fleeing the Dallas Cowboys, where he was underutilized. Through 9 games, Dowdle has 735 rushing yards, 5.6 yards per carry (elite efficiency), and is now the lead back after taking over from Chuba Hubbard. Against the New Orleans Saints in Week 10, Dowdle is positioned for a monster game. Here’s the complete Rico Dowdle props today breakdown with Dowdle fantasy points targets for Sunday’s NFC South divisional matchup.
Let’s dive into it.
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Rico Dowdle Props Sunday – Top Picks & Best Bets
The Saints have one of the worst run defenses in the league, and Dowdle has already shown he thrives in high-volume situations (Week 6 vs Cowboys: 183 yards on 30 carries). Our Rico Dowdle props today assume he’s at full health (he had a quad injury, but he’s trending to PLAY, per coaches) and a normal 15-20-carry workload. At home against a defenseless opponent, expect Dowdle fantasy points to give you a high floor at worst.
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Rico Dowdle Fantasy Points: DFS Projections vs Saints
For DFS players targeting Rico Dowdle fantasy points, here’s the breakdown (according to aggregate industry projections):
Projected Dowdle Fantasy Points This Week:
- Conservative Estimate (14 att, 75 rush yards, 2 rec for 15 yards): 14-16 fantasy points
- Expected Estimate (17 att, 95 rush yards, 4 rec for 30 yards): 22-24 fantasy points
- Ceiling Estimate (19+ att, 110 rush yards, 5+ rec for 40 yards, 1 TD): 30-34 fantasy points
Best Rico Dowdle Props Today: Sunday, November 9th – Week 10
Best Rico Dowdle Prop Today: Higher Than 89.5 Receiving Yards
According to Fantasy Points, the Saints are yielding the fifth-highest missed tackles forced per attempt in the league, meaning they cannot wrap up! New Orleans also allows the 12th-highest yards before contact per attempt, meaning opposing offensive lines are getting push at the line of scrimmage.
Those are definitely worrisome numbers for a defense against a tailback who has found his groove, and the Panthers have given up the reins of the backfield. Dowdle surely deserves this opportunity, and he has a great chance to make his mark on Sunday in what oddsmakers believe will be a competitive game.
Where to play: Rico Dowdle Higher Than 89.5 Rushing Yards | Underdog
