We’ve reached Week 10 of the 2024 NFL season, and it’s once again time for the Underdog 10x play of the week.
Let’s get right to it.
NFL Week 10 Main Slate Parlay – 10X Value Picks
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We’re starting with James Cook of the Buffalo Bills to go higher than 63.5 rushing yards against the Colts in Indianapolis.
This one isn’t too hard to break down: The Bills are good, Cook is good, the Colts aren’t good. To wit: He’s gone over this number four times this year, and probably would’ve gone over the number almost every time if he got more field time. To be fair, he’s only been above 60% snap share once this season.
But the Colts are so bad against the run – they’ve getting tagged for 115 yards a game – it would certainly seem to make sense to feed Cook the ball early and often.
Next up, Najee Harris higher than 65.5 rushing yards. Harris has looked better than he ever has this year, and he’s on a heater right now, going over 100 yards in three straight games. And he started the season going higher than 65.5 yards in the first three games. Sandwiched in between are two games where he missed.
On top of his 6-for-8 success rate, the Steelers are facing off against the Washington Commanders, yet another team that violently struggles against the run, giving up 5.2 yards per carry. As long as the Steelers keep this game competitive – which they are bound to do – we expect a healthy dose of Harris and him easily going higher than 65.5 rushing yards.
From here, we’re going to add Breece Hall to go higher than 100.5 rush + receiving yards.
Hall has only done this three times so far this year, but we love his chances to go higher than that this week against the Cardinals. He’s averaging 15 carries and almost five targets a game over the last four, and the Cardinals are giving up over 145 yards per game to running backs between rushing and receiving. Lock button this one.
Finally, we’re going to go with DeMario Douglas higher than 3.5 receptions against the Bears.
Douglas is by leaps and bounds Drake Maye’s favorite target. In the two healthy games they’ve played together, Douglas has 18 targets and 13 receptions. There are no guarantees in this life, but … well, higher than 3.5 receptions. We like it.
NFL Week 10 Picks
James Cook higher than 63.3 rushing yards
Najee Harris higher than 65.5 rushing yards
Breece Hall higher than 100.5 rush +receiving yards
DeMario Douglas higher than 3.5 receptions
10x at Underdog
As a reminder, this is a longer-shot combo of picks that carries more risk but a higher return if all hit. Good luck with all of your NFL plays in Week 10!