Monday night brings an exciting blend of NBA and NFL PrizePicks plays, offering us some high-value picks that are backed by odds, matchups, and recent trends.
Let’s dive into six sharp selections across both leagues, breaking down why each pick has strong potential for success tonight.
NBA & NFL Props Preview: Monday, November 4
Let’s break down each pick and the reasons why we’re going MORE or LESS.
MORE PROPS: NFL | NBA | NHL | PGA | CFB
1. James Harden Less Than 16.5 Rebounds + Assists
James Harden’s number for rebounds and assists is set at 16.5 and he’ll be facing a Spurs defense that has been disciplined against guards. Harden might find it difficult to fill up the box score in these areas.
The Spurs have been strong at limiting production overall so far, which may limit Harden’s chances to hit this number. Considering the defensive setup, this RA pick looks like a solid choice.
2. Scotty Pippen Jr. More Than 16.5 Points + Assists
Scotty Pippen Jr. has a favorable number at 16.5 points + assists and he’s likely set for a productive game against the Nets. Brooklyn ranks in the middle of the pack in defending guards, and the Grizzlies are decimated by injuries right now, so Pippen Jr. should continue to see heavy run on the court.
Pippen’s playmaking and scoring ability should allow him to take advantage of this average defense. Expect him to finish closer to 19 or 20 PA in this spot.
3. Carlton Carrington Less Than 11.5 Rebounds + Assists
Carlton Carrington faces a challenging matchup tonight and is coming in with a projection of 11.5 rebounds + assists on PrizePicks.
The Warriors have been looking pretty scary so far even with an injury to Stephen Curry and have been tough on opposing shooting guards, allowing the 13th-fewest rebounds and 4th-fewest assists to the position. Given the defensive pressure and the odds, Carrington could struggle to hit this RA number.
4. Al Horford More Than 14.5 Points + Rebounds
Al Horford has been a steady performer, and tonight’s matchup against the Hawks gives him a strong opportunity to exceed his number of 14.5 PR. Horford should benefit from Atlanta’s defense, which gives up the 13th-most points and 12th-most rebounds to centers.
With these stats and odds in his favor, Horford should be able to rack up enough points and rebounds to surpass 14.5.
5. Travis Kelce More Than 5.5 Receptions
Shifting to the NFL, Travis Kelce’s projection for receptions is set at 5.5, with heavy backing on him surpassing this number at -142 odds right now. Facing a Buccaneers defense that ranks 14th in receptions allowed to tight ends, Kelce is expected to be heavily involved, with projections estimating around 9 targets.
In what could easily turn into a high-volume game against Tampa Bay, Kelce should be able to cash. The “more than 5.5 receptions” is a top play for tonight’s football action.
6. Patrick Mahomes More Than 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Finally, we have Patrick Mahomes. The Buccaneers’ defense has allowed the 4th-most touchdowns to quarterbacks this season and this game has a good chance to stay close, so it’s rather likely that Mahomes will throw for at least two scores.
Given the odds and favorable matchup, it’s reasonable to expect one of the most talented quarterbacks in the NFL to clear this number on Monday Night Football.
Summary of Monday’s Sharp Selections
Tonight’s six-pack of plays brings together high-value lines from both NBA and NFL matchups, each backed by favorable odds and strong matchups:
- James Harden Less Than 16.5 Rebounds + Assists
- Scotty Pippen Jr. More Than 16.5 Points + Assists
- Carlton Carrington Less Than 11.5 Rebounds + Assists
- Al Horford More Than 14.5 Points + Rebounds
- Travis Kelce More Than 5.5 Receptions
- Patrick Mahomes More Than 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
These picks are designed to leverage each player’s matchup and role, creating a balanced approach for tonight’s action.
Tip of the Day: Follow Player Matchups for Maximum Edge
When crafting your PrizePicks lineups, pay close attention to matchups, as they often reveal key defensive weaknesses that specific players can exploit.
For example, Travis Kelce facing a defense that allows a high completion rate to tight ends adds confidence in his reception line, while Patrick Mahomes’ touchdown line benefits from a defense that has struggled to contain quarterbacks. Using matchups as a foundation helps uncover valuable plays across the board.
Best of luck tonight!
