Basketball fans, it’s time to dive into an exciting Wednesday night NBA slate with some intriguing PrizePicks opportunities!
Here are six standout plays that showcase the best value from a mix of favorable matchups, strong odds, and reliable performance metrics.
NBA PrizePicks Preview: Wednesday, October 30th
Let’s break down each pick and the reasons why we’re going MORE or LESS.
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1. Derrick White LESS Than 4.5 Assists
First up is Derrick White’s assist projection, which is set at 4.5. Facing a Pacers defense that has allowed the 4th-fewest assists to point guards this season, White will likely find it difficult to exceed this mark. The Pacers’ defensive approach limits passing lanes for primary ball handlers, which points to White staying below 4.5 assists tonight. Given the odds and matchup, this pick offers strong value.
2. Tobias Harris MORE Than 23.5 PRA (Points + Rebounds + Assists)
Tobias Harris has been an essential piece for the 76ers, and his PRA projection tonight looks very promising. He is positioned to deliver another solid performance, as the 76ers have given up the 8th-most points, 13th-most rebounds, and 7th-most assists to opposing power forwards this season, making this a favorable setup for Harris.
Additionally, he’s been logging significant minutes, averaging over 30 per game, which only increases his chances to hit the over. With this matchup, Harris could easily push past the 23.5 projection, with a strong shot at reaching 26+ PRA.
3. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander MORE Than 34.5 Points + Assists
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continues to impress, and tonight’s matchup provides the perfect setting for him to shine. SGA faces a Spurs team that ranks near the bottom defensively against point guards. San Antonio has given up the 5th-most points and the 9th-most assists to point guards, setting up Shai for a productive game in both scoring and playmaking.
With his natural scoring ability and a favorable opponent, Gilgeous-Alexander has a great chance to exceed 34.5 points and assists combined. Expect him to take advantage of the Spurs’ defense and make an impact on the stat sheet.
4. Chris Paul LESS Than 12 Points + Rebounds
While the Thunder do allow the 6th-most rebounds to point guards, they are much tougher defensively when it comes to scoring, giving up the 5th-fewest points to the position. Given these trends, Paul’s opportunity for points should be limited, which makes the less on 12 PR a solid value pick tonight.
With expected positive value and a matchup that isn’t favorable for Paul’s style, going lower on his points and rebounds projection seems like the smart choice.
5. Paolo Banchero LESS Than 6.5 Assists
Paolo Banchero’s assist projection is set at 6.5, and there’s good reason to believe he might fall short of this number. The Bulls have held opposing teams to the 15th-fewest assists in the league, making this a tougher matchup for Banchero to rack up numbers. Additionally, Banchero won’t have the benefit of a home-court advantage, which can play a role in performance consistency.
With this data in mind, I expect Banchero to finish at 5 or 6 assists, making the less pick a value play worth considering.
6. Norman Powell MORE Than 2.5 Made Threes
Portland’s defense has been weak against shooting guards, giving up the 9th-most three-pointers per game to the position. Powell, known for his shooting efficiency, should have plenty of opportunities to take advantage of this and hit at least three from beyond the arc.
With strong odds, a favorable matchup, and Powell’s shooting ability, this play has a high potential for success, making it a great pick to round out this six-pick lineup.
Tonight’s Top NBA PrizePicks Plays
Each of these six picks is backed by favorable odds, clear matchup data, and player-specific trends that point to strong value.
With Derrick White and Chris Paul in tougher defensive matchups, and players like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Tobias Harris set up for productive games thanks to weak opposing defenses, tonight’s lineup is a balanced mix of high-potential plays.
By focusing on both the odds and matchup trends, you can maximize your chances of success with these PrizePicks selections. Good luck with your plays today!
