Here we go with our best college football picks for this Week 5 main slate slate preview. We sifted through tons of daily fantasy sports picks and came up with our top CFB player props for Week 5.
Make sure to check back every week for a new article with all of our best CFB player prop picks.
CFB Player Props – Week 5 Main Slate Picks
Below, Props.com analyst Kyle Krogstad breaks down his top college football player prop picks for Week 5.
Antwane Wells Jr. More Than 46.5 Receiving Yards
The 2-2 Kentucky Wildcats head to Mississippi to take on the #6 ranked Ole Miss Rebels. We’re going to Antwane Wells Jr., the Rebels’ #2 WR, behind Tre Harris.
Ole Miss ranks 88th in pass play percentage, at just over 45% of the time. That being said, they’re 4-0 with four blowout wins, not having to really throw much in any of the second halves of those games. Jaxson Dart, the Ole Miss QB, is leading the country in passing yards, so there will be plenty of yards to go around.
Kentucky has a pretty good pass defense, as they rank 16th in the country in passing yards per game. However, they have not faced an offense remotely close to this Ole Miss offense (maybe Georgia), who they played tough at home.
Wells is the number two receiver on this team. He’s had 19 targets through four games. The volume isn’t quite there, but out of those 19 targets, he has 14 catches for 274 yards and a touchdown in all four games so far.
Dart’s passing line is right around 300 yards, so we’re asking for about 16% of that total. He is the deep threat in one of the most explosive offenses in the country and can make guys miss in the open field. If he can get those 5+ targets again, he should have no issue getting to this number.
Where to play: Antwane Wells Jr. More Than 46.5 Receiving Yards | Sleeper Fantasy
Riley Leonard More Than 0.5 Rushing / Receiving TD
Pretty much an anytime TD here. Notre Dame hosts Louisville in a top-25 matchup Saturday afternoon. We’re going to Notre Dame’s signal-caller, Riley Leonard. Leonard has six rushing TDs in the last 3 games, all while ND has shifted their offensive scheme to extremely run-heavy. Four of his six rushing touchdowns have come in the redzone, where ND really likes to use his legs.
Leonard is averaging 11.5 rushing attempts in the first four games to start the year, which is plenty here. Louisville has been very giving to opposing QBs in the run game. Haynes King had 14 attempts for 58 yards and a TD while Tyler Huff, from Jax State, had 18 carries for 101 yards and a TD. They’ve allowed both dual-threat QBs to reach the endzone and both of those TDs came inside the redzone, which is exactly where ND loves to use Leonard.
ND should be able to get the ball down there and that’s where Leonard can get in for us. He has sneaky speed for a QB and at any time can break a long one for a TD.
Where to play: Riley Leonard More Than 0.5 Rushing/Receiving TD | Underdog
Trevor Etienne More Than 67.5 Rushing Yards
The game of the YEAR. #2 Georgia heads to Tuscaloosa to take on #4 Alabama in a huge regular season matchup. We’re looking to RB Trevor Etienne to have a day against the Crimson Tide. He’s definitely the RB1 in this offense as he had 19 carries in a close win against Kentucky before the bye week. In another game that should be super tight, he will lead the backfield again.
Alabama has NOT been good against the run so far this year. They allowed Wisconsin to run for 150 yards and South Florida for 206 yards. Neither team is remotely close to this Georgia O-line and run game, so they should have their hands full in this matchup. Georgia is running the ball about 50% of the time and I think that’s going to be the point of attack Saturday night.
I like the Dawgs Saturday in what should be a super close game. I think they lean on Etienne and the big men upfront to carry the load in hopes of grabbing a huge road win.
Where to play: Trevor Etienne More Than 67.5 Rushing Yards | PrizePicks
Avery Johnson More Than 20.5 Yards Longest Rush
Back to the well. It’s the third week in a row we’re betting this CFB player prop, and the line keeps going up by 1 yard.
In Week 1, Avery Johnson had 3 carries for 37 yards with a longest rush of 17 yards. In Week 2, he had 8 carries for 40 yards with a longest rush of 18 yards. Week 3 he had 17 carries for 110 yards with a longest rush of 26 yards. Finally, in Week 4 he had 11 carries for 74 yards with a longest rush of 30 yards.
Entering Week 5, the line is at the highest, 20.5, but I still think there is plenty of value here. He is a big play runner, extremely fast, can hit one for 75 at any time of any game. With the way K-State has been designing QB runs and options, this line is still worth a play. This game should be a close one and even if K-State gets a lead, I think they’ll lean on that ground game.
Oklahoma State has allowed both dual-threat QBs (out of 4) to hit this line. The Cowboys have given up an average of 200 rushing yards per game in the first four weeks of the season, and I think it’s a perfect matchup for this K-State offense who is averaging 39 rushing attempts per game so far.
I also like the rushing yards, but this takes the sack risk out of it, which I always prefer doing.
Where to play: Avery Johnson More Than 20.5 Yards Longest Rush | Underdog
LeVeon Moss More Than 79.5 Rushing Yards
Moss enters this game with back-to-back efforts of 90+ rushing yards and 16+ carries. Although Texas A&M likes to rotate backs, he is their #1.
Texas A&M rans 10th in the country with over 45 rushing attempts per game. This could be partially due to the injury of starting QB Conner Weigmen, but even if he returns this game (GTD), I don’t think they are going to switch up the game plan. Arkansas has been solid against the run, allowing only 108 rushing yards per game, which ranks 27th in the county. They completely shut down Ollie Gordon a few weeks back. However, a week ago, Auburn gashed them for almost 6 yards per carry.
A&M has adopted the smash-mouth football approach. I think that will be the game plan again here as the O-line has been playing pretty well. They ran all over Florida a few weeks back and again last week against Bowling Green. This Arkansas defensive front is pretty solid, but I still think A&M can still find success.
Texas A&M is 5.5-point favorites in this game, they’ll lean on defense and the run game to get another win Saturday. I think they will run the ball about 40-50 times with Moss getting the majority of those carries.
Where to play: LeVon Moss More Than 79.5 Rushing Yards | Sleeper Fantasy
