The Thunder are gearing up to take on the Houston Rockets on Wednesday, Mar 27. The game is slated for 8:00 ET and will be broadcast on BSO. Oklahoma City comes into this game as 7.5-point favorites with the total set at 231.5. How will this matchup unfold? Let’s get into the Thunder vs. Rockets predictions below.
Thunder vs. Rockets Odds
- Spread: Thunder -7.5
- Total 231.5
Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!
Game Info
- Date: Wednesday, Mar 27
- Time: 8:00 ET
- Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City OK
- TV: BSO
Rockets Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Rockets have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 5-0 vs. the spread.
- Houston has played well in their previous three road games, going 3-0 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 117 points per game while allowing 106. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
- The Rockets have played well in their last three games as the betting underdog, going 2-1 straight up and 3-0 against the spread.
Thunder Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Thunder have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
- Through their last ten home games, Oklahoma City has an ATS record of just 5-5. However, their overall record was 7-3 while averaging 117 points per game.
- Through their last three games as the favorite, the Thunder have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 3-0.
Will Houston Come Through as Road Underdogs?
The Rockets have won 9 straight games and are 36-35 on the season. In the Western Conference, they are currently 11th and are 3rd in the Southwest Division.
Houston has an ATS record of 41-29 this season, including going 14-19 ATS on the road. As underdogs, they have covered the spread in their last 5 games and are 22-21 vs. the spread as underdogs this season.
This season, Rockets games have averaged 226.6 points per game, which is lower than today’s O/U line of 231.5. Their O/U record for the season is 33-38.
In their last game, the Rockets beat the Trail Blazers by a score of 110-92. The O/U line for that game was 224.5, and Houston covered the spread as 14.5-point favorites.
When it comes to scoring, the Rockets are 15th in the league at 114.2 points per game. However, their offense has been better at home compared to on the road, averaging 116.7 points in Houston compared to 111.5 on the road.
Overall, Houston’s offense is 26th in field goal percentage at 46%. From beyond the arc, they are hitting 35% of their shots, which is 23rd in the NBA. In terms of pace, the Rockets are 14th in the league at 99.2 possessions per game.
So far this season, Houston has outscored the NBA scoring average in 43.7% of their games. When it comes to two-point shooting, the Rockets are 24th in the league at 52%. In terms of assists, they are 25th in the NBA at 24.8 per game.
On defense, the Rockets come into the game ranked 10th in the league in points allowed at 112.4 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 109.3 points per contest (29th). When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Rockets squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 53.8% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 34.3% from downtown.
Can the Thunder Secure a Win at Home?
The Thunder have won two straight games at home and are 22-13 ATS at home this season. Overall, they are 41-13 as the favorite and are favored by 7.5 points today.
Oklahoma City’s O/U record for the season is 37-33-1, and their games have averaged 233.2 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 231.5.
In their last game, the Thunder defeated the Pelicans by a score of 119-112. The O/U line for that game was 223 points.
Oklahoma City’s Western Conference record is 32-15, which is good for 2nd place. In non-conference games, they are 18-6. Overall, they are 50-21 and are also 2nd in the Northwest Division.
For the season, the Thunder are 42-29 ATS and have covered the spread in five straight games. Their ATS record at home is 22-13, and they have an average scoring differential of +11.4 points per game at home.
At home, the Thunder are averaging 122.7 points per game, which is 5th in the league. Overall, they are 4th in the NBA with 120.3 points per game. They have outscored the NBA scoring average in 70.4% of their games this season.
When it comes to shooting, the Thunder are 2nd in the league in field goal percentage at 49%. They are also 2nd in true shooting percentage. From three-point range, Oklahoma City is 2nd in three-point shooting percentage at 39%.
So far this season, the Thunder have been strong inside the arc. They are 5th in two-point shooting percentage and have made the 4th most two-pointers per game in the NBA. In terms of pace, they are 10th in the league.
On defense, the Thunder come into the game ranked 12th in the league in points allowed at 112.9 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 111 points per contest (18th). The Oklahoma City defense has allowed opponents to shoot 36.6% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 45.7% of their field goal attempts vs. Oklahoma City.
Thunder vs. Rockets Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and his points prop of 29.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -119 while the under is at -115. With his prop at 29.5, our model suggests taking the over as we have him finishing with 30. We have him finishing with a field goal percentage of 55.0% and knocking down one three.
- The Prop: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 29.5 Points (-119)
Thunder vs. Rockets Predictions
When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Rockets vs. Thunder game, our recommendation is to take the Rockets at +7.5. Despite our model showing the Thunder winning 114-111, we like Rockets as our point-spread pick.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 231.5 and given that our model is projecting 225 points between the teams, we like the under.
The Pick: Rockets +7.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook